Udinese Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2025-26

Udinese Calcio

3 – 0

Full Time

ACF Fiorentina

Mon 2 Mar 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Udinese Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A .

Udinese Calcio 38 games · 50 pts (2026/27)
ACF Fiorentina 38 games · 42 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Luca Pairetto

6 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 3.2 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Internazionale Milano	38	87
2	SSC Napoli	38	76
3	AS Roma	38	73
4	Como 1907	38	71
5	AC Milan	38	70
6	Juventus FC	38	69
7	Atalanta BC	38	59
8	Bologna FC 1909	38	56
9	SS Lazio	38	54
10	Udinese Calcio	38	50
11	US Sassuolo Calcio	38	49
12	Parma Calcio 1913	38	45
13	Torino FC	38	45
14	Cagliari Calcio	38	43
15	ACF Fiorentina	38	42
16	Genoa CFC	38	41
17	US Lecce	38	38
18	US Cremonese	38	34
19	Hellas Verona FC	38	21
20	AC Pisa 1909	38	18

Head-to-Head

Udinese Calcio 24 games · Avg 2.4 goals ACF Fiorentina

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-02 Udinese Calcio 3–0 ACF Fiorentina 2025-12-21 ACF Fiorentina 5–1 Udinese Calcio 2025-05-25 Udinese Calcio 2–3 ACF Fiorentina 2024-12-23 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 Udinese Calcio 2024-01-14 ACF Fiorentina 2–2 Udinese Calcio

Recent Form

Udinese Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Mar	ACF Fiorentina	H	3–0	W
23 Feb	Bologna FC 1909	A	0–1	L
15 Feb	US Sassuolo Calcio	H	1–2	L
08 Feb	US Lecce	A	1–2	L
02 Feb	AS Roma	H	1–0	W
26 Jan	Hellas Verona FC	A	3–1	W

ACF Fiorentina

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Mar	Udinese Calcio	A	0–3	L
23 Feb	AC Pisa 1909	H	1–0	W
14 Feb	Como 1907	A	2–1	W
07 Feb	Torino FC	H	2–2	D
31 Jan	SSC Napoli	A	1–2	L
24 Jan	Cagliari Calcio	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

Udinese Calcio		ACF Fiorentina
#10	Position	#15
50	Points	42
38	Played	38
14 / 8 / 16	W / D / L	9 / 15 / 14
45	Scored	41
48	Conceded	50
-3	GD	-9
1.32	PPG	1.11
37%	Win %	24%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Udinese Calcio are 10th (50 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Udinese Calcio and ACF Fiorentina.
With this win, Udinese Calcio is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Udinese Calcio Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Gaetano Castrovilli	3
Stefano Okaka	2
Florian Thauvin	2
Lorenzo Lucca	2
Moise Kean	2
Giacomo Bonaventura	2
Nikola Milenkovic	2
Sandi Lovric	1

Head to Head

Udinese Calcio Form

2026-03-02 Udinese Calcio 3–0 ACF Fiorentina W 2026-02-23 Bologna FC 1909 1–0 Udinese Calcio L 2026-02-15 Udinese Calcio 1–2 US Sassuolo Calcio L 2026-02-08 US Lecce 2–1 Udinese Calcio L 2026-02-02 Udinese Calcio 1–0 AS Roma W 2026-01-26 Hellas Verona FC 1–3 Udinese Calcio W

ACF Fiorentina Form

2026-03-02 Udinese Calcio 3–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2026-02-23 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 AC Pisa 1909 W 2026-02-14 Como 1907 1–2 ACF Fiorentina W 2026-02-07 ACF Fiorentina 2–2 Torino FC D 2026-01-31 SSC Napoli 2–1 ACF Fiorentina L 2026-01-24 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 Cagliari Calcio L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.78 Udinese Calcio xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.22 ACF Fiorentina xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Udinese Calcio50% Draw25% ACF Fiorentina25%

Actual: Udinese Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 3

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Udinese Calcio or Draw

75%

Draw or ACF Fiorentina

50%

Udinese Calcio or ACF Fiorentina

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Udinese Calcio36% Draw44% ACF Fiorentina20%

Actual: Udinese Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.7%

2 – 1

9.2%

1 – 0

8.1%

2 – 0

7.7%

0 – 0

6.7%

1 – 2

6.4%

2 – 2

5.7%

3 – 1

5.5%

0 – 1

5.2%

3 – 0

Actual

0 – 2

3.7%

3 – 2

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Udinese Calcio

Handicap	Udinese Calcio covers	Push	ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	15%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	22%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	15%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Udinese Calcio keeps clean sheet

30% ✗

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.