Thursday , 2 July 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs Cagliari Calcio, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Sat 24 Jan 2026 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs Cagliari CalcioSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Guida
13 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 3.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Cagliari Calcio H 1–2 L
18 Jan Bologna FC 1909 A 2–1 W
11 Jan AC Milan H 1–1 D
07 Jan SS Lazio A 2–2 D
04 Jan US Cremonese H 1–0 W
27 Dec Parma Calcio 1913 A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan ACF Fiorentina A 2–1 W
17 Jan Juventus FC H 1–0 W
12 Jan Genoa CFC A 0–3 L
08 Jan US Cremonese A 2–2 D
02 Jan AC Milan H 0–1 L
27 Dec Torino FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina Cagliari Calcio
#15 Position #14
42 Points 43
38 Played 38
9 / 15 / 14 W / D / L 11 / 10 / 17
41 Scored 40
50 Conceded 53
-9 GD -13
1.11 PPG 1.13
24% Win % 29%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts). Cagliari Calcio are 14th (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

Cagliari Calcio Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.47 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Cagliari Calcio xG
I would bet for: ACF Fiorentina or Cagliari Calcio 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina42% Draw28% Cagliari Calcio30%
Actual: Cagliari Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
70%
Draw or Cagliari Calcio
58%
ACF Fiorentina or Cagliari Calcio
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina30% Draw47% Cagliari Calcio23%
Actual: Cagliari Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
9%
0 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push Cagliari Calcio covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
30%
Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.