Thursday , 2 July 2026

Como 1907 vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Como 1907 vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Matteo Marchetti (Italy)
6 games this season 🟨 1.5/game 4.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb ACF Fiorentina H 1–2 L
01 Feb Atalanta BC H 0–0 D
24 Jan Torino FC H 6–0 W
19 Jan SS Lazio A 3–0 W
15 Jan AC Milan H 1–3 L
10 Jan Bologna FC 1909 H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Como 1907 A 2–1 W
07 Feb Torino FC H 2–2 D
31 Jan SSC Napoli A 1–2 L
24 Jan Cagliari Calcio H 1–2 L
18 Jan Bologna FC 1909 A 2–1 W
11 Jan AC Milan H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Como 1907 ACF Fiorentina
#4 Position #15
71 Points 42
38 Played 38
20 / 11 / 7 W / D / L 9 / 15 / 14
65 Scored 41
29 Conceded 50
+36 GD -9
1.87 PPG 1.11
53% Win % 24%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Como 1907 are 4th (71 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Como 1907 Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.82 Como 1907 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Como 190750% Draw26% ACF Fiorentina24%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Como 1907 or Draw
76%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
50%
Como 1907 or ACF Fiorentina
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Como 190739% Draw44% ACF Fiorentina17%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.4%
0 – 0
7.6%
3 – 1
5.8%
3 – 0
5.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 2
3%
0 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Como 1907

Handicap Como 1907 covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Como 1907 keeps clean sheet
36%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.