Thursday , 2 July 2026

US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sun 20 Oct 2024 · 13:00 UTC Stadio Via del Mare 25,124 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 20' Danilo Cataldi
0–2 34' Andrea Colpani
0–3 45' Danilo Cataldi
0–4 54' Andrea Colpani
0–5 61' Lucas Beltran
0–6 72' Fabiano Parisi

Overview

Match Preview

US Lecce vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at Stadio Via del Mare.

Match Details

  • Referee Francesco Fourneau
  • Assistant 1 Christian Rossi
  • Assistant 2 Dario Garzelli (Italy)
4 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct ACF Fiorentina H 0–6 L
05 Oct Udinese Calcio A 0–1 L
27 Sep AC Milan A 0–3 L
21 Sep Parma Calcio 1913 H 2–2 D
15 Sep Torino FC A 0–0 D
31 Aug Cagliari Calcio H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct US Lecce A 6–0 W
06 Oct AC Milan H 2–1 W
29 Sep Empoli FC A 0–0 D
22 Sep SS Lazio H 2–1 W
15 Sep Atalanta BC A 2–3 L
01 Sep AC Monza H 2–2 D

Season Stats

US Lecce ACF Fiorentina
#17 Position #15
38 Points 42
38 Played 38
10 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 9 / 15 / 14
28 Scored 41
50 Conceded 50
-22 GD -9
1.00 PPG 1.11
26% Win % 24%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

US Lecce are 17th (38 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Stadio Via del Mare. Ninety minutes of football awaits between US Lecce and ACF Fiorentina.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 9' It is a substitution in ACF Fiorentina team. Albert Gudmundsson is replaced by Lucas Beltran on 9 minute.
  • 14' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 18' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Andrea Colpani on 18 minutes.
  • 20' Assisted by Edoardo Bove with the perfectly-timed delivery and Danilo Cataldi makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 25' The travelling ACF Fiorentina supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 30' ACF Fiorentina is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 34' Andrea Colpani doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 39' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 42' Yacine Adli picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 43' That is a card for US Lecce. Antonino Gallo will be fuming at that decision.
  • 45' Danilo Cataldi doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 46' ACF Fiorentina manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Christian Kouame is hanging Moise Kean on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ylber Ramadani is clearly more than just a goal scorer for US Lecce.
  • 54' GOAL! Andrea Colpani scores on 54.
  • 57' Fresh legs for ACF Fiorentina! Amir Richardson comes on to replace Yacine Adli.
  • 59' Robin Gosens has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 59.
  • 61' Assisted by Christian Kouame with the perfectly-timed delivery and Lucas Beltran makes no mistake. 0-5!
  • 66' The whistle greets Robin Gosens as he departs to be replaced by Fabiano Parisi.
  • 71' US Lecce started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 71.
  • 72' Fabiano Parisi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 72 minutes.
  • 75' Ylber Ramadani makes way for Mohamed Kaba at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from US Lecce.
  • 80' A meaty challenge results in booking for Luca Ranieri on 80.
  • 85' Amir Richardson picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 87' Time for substitution for US Lecce. Frederic Guilbert is replaced by Gaby Jean.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from ACF Fiorentina to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.95 US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.09 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 58% + ACF Fiorentina to win 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
US Lecce21% Draw24% ACF Fiorentina55%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 3.04
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

US Lecce or Draw
45%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
79%
US Lecce or ACF Fiorentina
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
US Lecce14% Draw42% ACF Fiorentina44%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–6 not predicted
0 – 6
Actual
0 – 2
10.3%
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 1
9.5%
0 – 3
7%
1 – 3
6.7%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 1
4.3%
1 – 0
3.8%
0 – 4
3.7%
1 – 4
3.5%

Asian Handicap — US Lecce

Handicap US Lecce covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 10% 85%
-0.5 15% 85%
+0.5 38% 62%
+1 38% 23% 39%
+1.5 61% 39%
+2 61% 19% 20%
+2.5 80% 20%

Clean Sheet

US Lecce keeps clean sheet
13%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.