Saturday , 14 November 2026

US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sun 20 Oct 2024 · 13:00 UTC Stadio Via del Mare 25,124 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 20' Danilo Cataldi
0–2 34' Andrea Colpani
0–3 45' Danilo Cataldi
0–4 54' Andrea Colpani
0–5 61' Lucas Beltran
0–6 72' Fabiano Parisi

Overview

Match Preview

US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Stadio Via del Mare.

Match Details

  • Referee Francesco Fourneau
  • Assistant 1 Christian Rossi
  • Assistant 2 Dario Garzelli (Italy)
5 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 10.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct ACF Fiorentina H 0–6 L
05 Oct Udinese Calcio A 0–1 L
27 Sep AC Milan A 0–3 L
21 Sep Parma Calcio 1913 H 2–2 D
15 Sep Torino FC A 0–0 D
31 Aug Cagliari Calcio H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct US Lecce A 6–0 W
06 Oct AC Milan H 2–1 W
29 Sep Empoli FC A 0–0 D
22 Sep SS Lazio H 2–1 W
15 Sep Atalanta BC A 2–3 L
01 Sep AC Monza H 2–2 D

Season Stats

US Lecce ACF Fiorentina
#14 Position #15
10 Points 9
11 Played 11
3 / 1 / 7 W / D / L 2 / 3 / 6
12 Scored 17
22 Conceded 25
-10 GD -8
0.91 PPG 0.82
27% Win % 18%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season

US Lecce are 14th (10 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

US Lecce
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/8
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/5
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
5/3
61-75
3/5
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

US Lecce
Lassana Coulibaly 2 G 2 A
Tiago Gabriel 2 G 1 A
Olaf Gorter 1 G
ACF Fiorentina
Mateo Pellegrino 4 G
Franco Mastantuono 4 G
Alieu Njie 3 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41 US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.48 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
US Lecce24% Draw23% ACF Fiorentina53%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.89
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

US Lecce or Draw
47%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
76%
US Lecce or ACF Fiorentina
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
US Lecce18% Draw37% ACF Fiorentina45%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–6 not predicted
0 – 6
Actual
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 1
8%
1 – 3
7%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 3
5.1%
2 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.9%
0 – 1
4.7%
1 – 4
4.4%
0 – 0
3.2%
0 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — US Lecce

Handicap US Lecce covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 11% 80%
-0.5 20% — 80%
+0.5 40% — 60%
+1 40% 20% 40%
+1.5 60% — 40%
+2 60% 18% 22%
+2.5 78% — 22%

Clean Sheet

US Lecce keeps clean sheet
9% ✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
25% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.