US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Stadio Via del Mare.
- US Lecce 38 games · 38 pts (2026/27)
- ACF Fiorentina 38 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Francesco Fourneau
- Assistant 1 Christian Rossi
- Assistant 2 Dario Garzelli (Italy)
4 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 3.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct | ACF Fiorentina | H | 0–6 | L |
| 05 Oct | Udinese Calcio | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | AC Milan | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | Parma Calcio 1913 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Sep | Torino FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Aug | Cagliari Calcio | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| US Lecce | ACF Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #15 |
| 38 | Points | 42 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 10 / 8 / 20 | W / D / L | 9 / 15 / 14 |
| 28 | Scored | 41 |
| 50 | Conceded | 50 |
| -22 | GD | -9 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 26% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
US Lecce are 17th (38 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Stadio Via del Mare. Ninety minutes of football awaits between US Lecce and ACF Fiorentina.
- 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 9' It is a substitution in ACF Fiorentina team. Albert Gudmundsson is replaced by Lucas Beltran on 9 minute.
- 14' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 18' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Andrea Colpani on 18 minutes.
- 20' Assisted by Edoardo Bove with the perfectly-timed delivery and Danilo Cataldi makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 25' The travelling ACF Fiorentina supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 30' ACF Fiorentina is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 34' Andrea Colpani doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 39' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 42' Yacine Adli picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 43' That is a card for US Lecce. Antonino Gallo will be fuming at that decision.
- 45' Danilo Cataldi doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 46' ACF Fiorentina manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Christian Kouame is hanging Moise Kean on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ylber Ramadani is clearly more than just a goal scorer for US Lecce.
- 54' GOAL! Andrea Colpani scores on 54.
- 57' Fresh legs for ACF Fiorentina! Amir Richardson comes on to replace Yacine Adli.
- 59' Robin Gosens has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 59.
- 61' Assisted by Christian Kouame with the perfectly-timed delivery and Lucas Beltran makes no mistake. 0-5!
- 66' The whistle greets Robin Gosens as he departs to be replaced by Fabiano Parisi.
- 71' US Lecce started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 71.
- 72' Fabiano Parisi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 72 minutes.
- 75' Ylber Ramadani makes way for Mohamed Kaba at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from US Lecce.
- 80' A meaty challenge results in booking for Luca Ranieri on 80.
- 85' Amir Richardson picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 87' Time for substitution for US Lecce. Frederic Guilbert is replaced by Gaby Jean.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from ACF Fiorentina to claim maximum points.
Lineups
US Lecce Lineups
4-3-1-2Starting XI
-
12
Frederic Guilbert ↓ Gaby Jean 87'
-
10
Remi Oudin ↓ Lameck Banda 46'
-
3
Ante Rebic ↓ Tete Morente 46'
- 25
- 9
- 30
- 75
-
20
Ylber Ramadani ↓ Mohamed Kaba 75'
- 6
- 4
- 13
Bench
- 1
- 11
-
29
Lassana Coulibaly ↑ 46'
-
7
Tete Morente ↑ 46'
- 2
- 50
-
22
Lameck Banda ↑ 46'
- 8
- 98
-
77
Mohamed Kaba ↑ 75'
- 27
-
19
Gaby Jean ↑ 87'
- 32
Coach
Luca Gotti
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 6
- 10
- 43
-
29
Yacine Adli ↓ Amir Richardson 57'
-
20
Moise Kean ↓ Christian Kouame 46'
-
21
Robin Gosens ↓ Fabiano Parisi 66'
- 23
- 32
- 2
-
4
Edoardo Bove ↓ Riccardo Sottil 57'
- 15
Bench
- 11
- 3
-
7
Riccardo Sottil ↑ 57'
-
99
Christian Kouame ↑ 46'
- 1
-
9
Lucas Beltran ↑ 9'
-
65
Fabiano Parisi ↑ 66'
-
24
Amir Richardson ↑ 57'
- 28
- 30
- 33
- 22
Coach
Raffaele Palladino
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lucas Beltran | 2 |
| Christian Kouame | 2 |
| Andrea Colpani | 2 |
| Danilo Cataldi | 2 |
| Rachid Ghezzal | 1 |
| Hamza Rafia | 1 |
| Tiago Gabriel | 1 |
| Patrick Cutrone | 1 |
Head to Head
US Lecce Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.95
US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.09
ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 58% + ACF Fiorentina to win 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: ACF Fiorentina win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.04
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
US Lecce or Draw
45%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
79%
US Lecce or ACF Fiorentina
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–6 not predicted0 – 6Actual
0 – 2
10.3%
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 1
9.5%
0 – 3
7%
1 – 3
6.7%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 1
4.3%
1 – 0
3.8%
0 – 4
3.7%
1 – 4
3.5%
Asian Handicap — US Lecce
| Handicap | US Lecce covers | Push | ACF Fiorentina covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -0.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| +0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +1 | 38% | 23% | 39% |
| +1.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +2 | 61% | 19% | 20% |
| +2.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
Clean Sheet
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

