US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Stadio Via del Mare.
- US Lecce 38 games · 38 pts (2026/27)
- ACF Fiorentina 38 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Antonio Giua
- Assistant 1 Stefano Del Giovane
- Assistant 2 Francesca Di Monte (Italy)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb | ACF Fiorentina | H | 3–2 | W |
| 28 Jan | Genoa CFC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Jan | Juventus FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 14 Jan | SS Lazio | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Jan | Cagliari Calcio | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Dec | Atalanta BC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb | US Lecce | A | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Jan | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Jan | Udinese Calcio | H | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Jan | US Sassuolo Calcio | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Dec | Torino FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Dec | AC Monza | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| US Lecce | ACF Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #15 |
| 38 | Points | 42 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 10 / 8 / 20 | W / D / L | 9 / 15 / 14 |
| 28 | Scored | 41 |
| 50 | Conceded | 50 |
| -22 | GD | -9 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 26% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
US Lecce are 17th (38 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stadio Via del Mare!
- 5' Riccardo Sottil has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' A moment of madness from Lucas Martinez Quarta on 15 minutes earns him a Yellow card. ACF Fiorentina will be frustrated.
- 16' ACF Fiorentina player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 17' What a moment for Remi Oudin! That strike on 17 puts his side firmly in control.
- 22' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 27' With 0 assists to his name this season, Antonino Gallo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for ACF Fiorentina.
- 32' US Lecce are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined ACF Fiorentina backline.
- 37' A quiet spell here at Stadio Via del Mare. ACF Fiorentina seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 42' US Lecce are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against ACF Fiorentina's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Rolando Mandragora. He replaces Alfred Duncan on 46 minute.
- 47' The ACF Fiorentina manager makes a substitution. Lucas Martinez Quarta departs to be replaced by Nikola Milenkovic.
- 50' Rolando Mandragora adds to his 0 season tally! ACF Fiorentina lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 50' A meaty challenge results in booking for Pontus Almqvist on 50.
- 55' Over 55 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 60' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering US Lecce that had 190 games and scored 161 goals.
- 65' The ACF Fiorentina manager makes a substitution. Riccardo Sottil departs to be replaced by Nicolas Gonzalez.
- 67' Lucas Beltran is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 69' The whistle greets Remi Oudin as he departs to be replaced by Roberto Piccoli.
- 72' That is a Yellow card for ACF Fiorentina. Luca Ranieri will be fuming at that decision.
- 75' Patrick Dorgu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Antonino Gallo on 75 minute.
- 76' Mohamed Kaba makes way for Joan Gonzalez at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from US Lecce.
- 77' Lameck Banda was booked on 77.
- 78' The whistle greets Lameck Banda as he departs to be replaced by Nicola Sansone.
- 82' Valentin Gendrey has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 82.
- 87' The home supporters are growing impatient. US Lecce must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nicolas Gonzalez on 90.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for ACF Fiorentina.
Lineups
US Lecce Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 29
-
10
Remi Oudin ↓ Roberto Piccoli 69'
-
25
Antonino Gallo ↓ Patrick Dorgu 75'
- 5
- 9
- 17
-
22
Lameck Banda ↓ Nicola Sansone 78'
- 30
- 7
-
77
Mohamed Kaba ↓ Joan Gonzalez 76'
- 6
Bench
-
11
Nicola Sansone ↑ 78'
- 21
-
91
Roberto Piccoli ↑ 69'
- 50
- 12
- 8
- 59
-
16
Joan Gonzalez ↑ 76'
- 40
- 18
-
13
Patrick Dorgu ↑ 75'
- 45
Coach
Roberto D'Aversa
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
-
8
Maxime Lopez ↓ Fabiano Parisi 78'
- 22
- 5
- 3
- 7
- 32
- 1
-
9
Lucas Beltran ↓ Fabiano Parisi 78'
- 18
- 28
Bench
-
10
Nicolas Gonzalez ↑ 65'
-
–
Andrea Belotti ↑ 46'
-
4
Nikola Milenkovic ↑ 47'
- 72
-
38
Rolando Mandragora ↑ 46'
-
65
Fabiano Parisi ↑ 78'
- 19
- 30
- 40
- 33
- 37
Coach
Vincenzo Italiano
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andrea Colpani | 2 |
| Danilo Cataldi | 2 |
| Lucas Beltran | 2 |
| Christian Kouame | 2 |
| Patrick Dorgu | 1 |
| Assan Ceesay | 1 |
| Antonino Gallo | 1 |
| Nicolas Gonzalez | 1 |
Head to Head
US Lecce Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.26
US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44
ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for:
US Lecce or ACF Fiorentina 72% + Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: US Lecce win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
US Lecce or Draw
64%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
64%
US Lecce or ACF Fiorentina
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: US Lecce win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–2 not predicted3 – 2Actual
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
8.6%
0 – 0
8.6%
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
3.1%
Asian Handicap — US Lecce
| Handicap | US Lecce covers | Push | ACF Fiorentina covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 18% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 20% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

