Thursday , 2 July 2026

US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
Fri 2 Feb 2024 · 19:45 UTC Stadio Via del Mare HT 45' · FT 45'
Remi Oudin 17' 1–0
1–1 50' Rolando Mandragora
1–2 67' Lucas Beltran
Roberto Piccoli 90+1' 2–2
Patrick Dorgu 90+4' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

US Lecce vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at Stadio Via del Mare.

Match Details

  • Referee Antonio Giua
  • Assistant 1 Stefano Del Giovane
  • Assistant 2 Francesca Di Monte (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Feb ACF Fiorentina H 3–2 W
28 Jan Genoa CFC A 1–2 L
21 Jan Juventus FC H 0–3 L
14 Jan SS Lazio A 0–1 L
06 Jan Cagliari Calcio H 1–1 D
30 Dec Atalanta BC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Feb US Lecce A 2–3 L
28 Jan FC Internazionale Milano H 0–1 L
14 Jan Udinese Calcio H 2–2 D
06 Jan US Sassuolo Calcio A 0–1 L
29 Dec Torino FC H 1–0 W
22 Dec AC Monza A 1–0 W

Season Stats

US Lecce ACF Fiorentina
#17 Position #15
38 Points 42
38 Played 38
10 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 9 / 15 / 14
28 Scored 41
50 Conceded 50
-22 GD -9
1.00 PPG 1.11
26% Win % 24%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

US Lecce are 17th (38 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stadio Via del Mare!
  • 5' Riccardo Sottil has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' A moment of madness from Lucas Martinez Quarta on 15 minutes earns him a Yellow card. ACF Fiorentina will be frustrated.
  • 16' ACF Fiorentina player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 17' What a moment for Remi Oudin! That strike on 17 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 22' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 27' With 0 assists to his name this season, Antonino Gallo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for ACF Fiorentina.
  • 32' US Lecce are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined ACF Fiorentina backline.
  • 37' A quiet spell here at Stadio Via del Mare. ACF Fiorentina seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 42' US Lecce are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against ACF Fiorentina's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Rolando Mandragora. He replaces Alfred Duncan on 46 minute.
  • 47' The ACF Fiorentina manager makes a substitution. Lucas Martinez Quarta departs to be replaced by Nikola Milenkovic.
  • 50' Rolando Mandragora adds to his 0 season tally! ACF Fiorentina lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 50' A meaty challenge results in booking for Pontus Almqvist on 50.
  • 55' Over 55 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 60' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering US Lecce that had 190 games and scored 161 goals.
  • 65' The ACF Fiorentina manager makes a substitution. Riccardo Sottil departs to be replaced by Nicolas Gonzalez.
  • 67' Lucas Beltran is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 69' The whistle greets Remi Oudin as he departs to be replaced by Roberto Piccoli.
  • 72' That is a Yellow card for ACF Fiorentina. Luca Ranieri will be fuming at that decision.
  • 75' Patrick Dorgu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Antonino Gallo on 75 minute.
  • 76' Mohamed Kaba makes way for Joan Gonzalez at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from US Lecce.
  • 77' Lameck Banda was booked on 77.
  • 78' The whistle greets Lameck Banda as he departs to be replaced by Nicola Sansone.
  • 82' Valentin Gendrey has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 82.
  • 87' The home supporters are growing impatient. US Lecce must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nicolas Gonzalez on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for ACF Fiorentina.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.26 US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: US Lecce or ACF Fiorentina 72% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
US Lecce36% Draw28% ACF Fiorentina36%
Actual: US Lecce win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

US Lecce or Draw
64%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
64%
US Lecce or ACF Fiorentina
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
US Lecce24% Draw47% ACF Fiorentina29%
Actual: US Lecce win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
8.6%
0 – 0
8.6%
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — US Lecce

Handicap US Lecce covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 20% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

US Lecce keeps clean sheet
24%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.