Sunday , 16 August 2026

US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
Mon 17 Oct 2022 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Via del Mare HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

US Lecce vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at Stadio Via del Mare.

Match Details

  • Referee Alberto Tegoni
  • Referee Daniele Doveri
  • Referee Marco Guida
  • Referee Sergio Ranghetti
  • Referee Mauro Vivenzi
  • Referee Luca Massimi

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Oct ACF Fiorentina H 1–1 D
09 Oct AS Roma A 1–2 L
02 Oct US Cremonese H 1–1 D
16 Sep US Salernitana 1919 A 2–1 W
11 Sep AC Monza H 1–1 D
05 Sep Torino FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Oct US Lecce A 1–1 D
10 Oct SS Lazio H 0–4 L
02 Oct Atalanta BC A 0–1 L
18 Sep Hellas Verona FC H 2–0 W
11 Sep Bologna FC 1909 A 1–2 L
03 Sep Juventus FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

US Lecce ACF Fiorentina
#20 Position #18
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

US Lecce are 20th (0 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 18th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.56 US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.53 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 89% + Under — clean sheet likely 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
US Lecce33% Draw42% ACF Fiorentina25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes20% 0% No80%
Avg goals/match: 1.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 64%
36%
± 1.5 31%
69%
± 2.5 11%
89%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

US Lecce or Draw
74%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
67%
US Lecce or ACF Fiorentina
58%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
US Lecce15% Draw71% ACF Fiorentina14%
Actual: US Lecce win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
36.3%
1 – 0
16.8%
0 – 1
16%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
4.2%
2 – 1
3%
1 – 2
2.9%
2 – 2
1%
3 – 0
0.8%
0 – 3
0.7%
3 – 1
0.6%

Asian Handicap — US Lecce

Handicap US Lecce covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 20% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 19% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

US Lecce keeps clean sheet
59%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
57%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.