Thursday , 24 September 2026

UD Las Palmas vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Thu 29 Aug 2024 · 19:30 UTC Estadio de Gran Canaria 31,192 HT 45' · FT 45'
Alberto Moleiro 5' 1–0
1–1 69' Vinicius Junior pen

Overview

Match Preview

UD Las Palmas vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga at Estadio de Gran Canaria.

Match Details

  • Referee Mateo Busquets Ferrer (Spain)
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game 15.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug Real Madrid CF H 1–1 D
25 Aug CD Leganes A 1–2 L
16 Aug Sevilla FC H 2–2 D
26 May Deportivo Alaves H 1–1 D
19 May Cadiz CF A 0–0 D
16 May Real Betis Balompie H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug UD Las Palmas A 1–1 D
25 Aug Real Valladolid CF H 3–0 W
18 Aug RCD Mallorca A 1–1 D
01 Jun Borussia Dortmund A 2–0 W
25 May Real Betis Balompie H 0–0 D
19 May Villarreal CF A 4–4 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for UD Las Palmas to score. At the same time, Real Madrid CF does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' A goal from the Spain international Alberto Moleiro! He fires home on 5 to make it 1-0!
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. UD Las Palmas must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' Real Madrid CF come into this ranked 6 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' Real Madrid CF seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 40' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ferland Mendy.
  • 45' Kirian Rodriguez, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 46' Real Madrid CF make a change. Ferland Mendy trudges off to be replaced by Fran Garcia on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 56' Jasper Cillessen is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for UD Las Palmas so far.
  • 61' A change in the UD Las Palmas ranks — Alberto Moleiro exits the field as Benito Ramirez enters on 61.
  • 63' Real Madrid CF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Arda Guler is hanging Luka Modric on the field on 63 minute.
  • 68' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 69' GOAL! Vinicius Junior fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 74' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 75' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Luis Carrion on 75 minutes.
  • 76' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Lucas Vazquez departs to be replaced by Dani Carvajal.
  • 78' UD Las Palmas manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Viti is hanging Oliver McBurnie on the field on 78 minute.
  • 81' Manuel Fuster gets the nod from UD Las Palmas. He replaces Kirian Rodriguez and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Vinicius Junior by Endrick on 86 minute.
  • 88' Eder Militao picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.21 UD Las Palmas xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: UD Las Palmas or Real Madrid CF 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
UD Las Palmas33% Draw30% Real Madrid CF37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

UD Las Palmas or Draw
62%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
67%
UD Las Palmas or Real Madrid CF
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
UD Las Palmas24% Draw48% Real Madrid CF28%
Actual: UD Las Palmas win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — UD Las Palmas

Handicap UD Las Palmas covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

UD Las Palmas keeps clean sheet
26%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.