Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Real Madrid CF vs UD Las Palmas, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Wed 27 Sep 2023 · 17:00 UTC Santiago Bernabeu 65,017 HT 45' · FT 45'
Brahim Diaz 45+3' 1–0
Joselu 54' 2–0
Y 79' Saul Coco

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs UD Las Palmas — La Liga at Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Munuera Montero (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Inigo Prieto Lopez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Antonio Martinez Moreno (Spain)
4 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 19.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

3
1
Real Madrid CF 4 games · Avg 3.0 goals UD Las Palmas

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep UD Las Palmas H 2–0 W
24 Sep Club Atlético de Madrid A 1–3 L
20 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–0 W
17 Sep Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 2–1 W
02 Sep Getafe CF H 2–1 W
25 Aug RC Celta de Vigo A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Real Madrid CF A 0–2 L
24 Sep Granada CF H 1–0 W
17 Sep Sevilla FC A 0–1 L
03 Sep Girona FC A 0–1 L
25 Aug Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 0–0 D
18 Aug Valencia CF A 0–1 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Santiago Bernabeu. Real Madrid CF are looking to make home advantage count against UD Las Palmas.
  • 5' It looks surprising UD Las Palmas does not make any changes. Eduardo Camavinga has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' UD Las Palmas are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' Real Madrid CF are deployed in a 4-3-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against UD Las Palmas's 4-5-1 shape.
  • 20' It’s high time Carlo Ancelotti made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' UD Las Palmas come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 30' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 35' Both keepers have barely been tested. Real Madrid CF and UD Las Palmas are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 40' It is a cagey affair so far. Real Madrid CF in their 4-3-1-2 trying to find a way past UD Las Palmas's compact 4-5-1.
  • 41' The Real Madrid CF bench stirs into life. David Alaba is withdrawn and Lucas Vazquez gets his opportunity.
  • 46' Fresh legs for UD Las Palmas! Sergi Cardona comes on to replace Daley Sinkgraven.
  • 48' Brahim Diaz does the damage! The net is bulging and Real Madrid CF surge ahead!
  • 53' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 54' Against the run of play, Joselu has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 57' Dani Ceballos is ready to make an impact after coming on for Brahim Diaz at the 57 minute mark.
  • 62' Jonathan Viera has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 67' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 72' Alvaro Valles Rosa has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 77' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 77 minute. Ferland Mendy leaves to be changed by Fran Garcia.
  • 79' Saul Coco has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 79.
  • 84' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 89' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kepa Arrizabalaga, as he is very good at scoring at Santiago Bernabeu with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Real Madrid CF to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.59 UD Las Palmas xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF60% Draw26% UD Las Palmas14%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 2.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
86%
Draw or UD Las Palmas
40%
Real Madrid CF or UD Las Palmas
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF39% Draw51% UD Las Palmas10%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
17.3%
0 – 0
14%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
8.1%
3 – 0
6.9%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 2
3%
4 – 0
2.7%
2 – 2
2.5%
0 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push UD Las Palmas covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 19% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 27% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 9% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
56% ✓
UD Las Palmas keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.