Sunday , 16 August 2026

Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC, Ligue 1 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2023-24
3 1
Full Time
Sun 25 Feb 2024 · 14:00 UTC Stadium Municipal 24,110 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 45' Hakon Haraldsson
Christian Mawissa 49' 1–1
Vincent Sierro pen 60' 2–1
Thijs Dallinga 66' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Lille OSCLigue 1 at Stadium Municipal.

Match Details

  • Referee Mathieu Vernice
  • Assistant 1 Julien Garrigues (France)
  • Assistant 2 Erwan Finjean

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb Lille OSC H 3–1 W
22 Feb Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–0 D
18 Feb AS Monaco FC A 2–1 W
15 Feb Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 1–2 L
11 Feb FC Nantes H 1–2 L
04 Feb Stade de Reims A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb Toulouse FC A 1–3 L
17 Feb Le Havre AC H 3–0 W
10 Feb Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–3 L
04 Feb Clermont Foot 63 H 4–0 W
28 Jan Montpellier HSC A 0–0 D
14 Jan FC Lorient H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Toulouse FC Lille OSC
#11 Position #5
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts). Lille OSC are 5th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Toulouse FC get us underway at Stadium Municipal.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Stadium Municipal. Lille OSC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' Rasmus Nicolaisen is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Lille OSC so far.
  • 25' Christian Mawissa has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 30' The 25-year-old Bafode Diakite has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 34' Poor challenge from Frank Magri. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 39' Toulouse FC are deployed in a 3-4-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against Lille OSC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 44' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 45' What composure from Hakon Haraldsson! The Iceland international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 46' Toulouse FC ring the changes. Niklas Schmidt has done his job and it is now time for Thijs Dallinga to step up.
  • 49' What a moment for Christian Mawissa! That strike on 49 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 54' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Toulouse FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 59' Lille OSC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 60' The Switzerland central midfielder Vincent Sierro breaks the deadlock on 60 minutes. 2-1!
  • 63' Another change for Lille OSC made on 63 minute. Yusuf Yazici leaves to be changed by Edon Zhegrova.
  • 66' Assisted by Yann Gboho with the perfectly-timed delivery and Thijs Dallinga makes no mistake. 3-1!
  • 70' The referee has no hesitation. Vincent Sierro is booked for Toulouse FC — card on 70.
  • 74' The Toulouse FC manager makes a substitution. Cristian Casseres Jr. departs to be replaced by Stijn Spierings.
  • 79' Lille OSC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 83' The Lille OSC manager makes a substitution. Alexsandro Ribeiro departs to be replaced by Bafode Diakite.
  • 84' Aron Donnum is ready to make an impact after coming on for Frank Magri at the 84 minute mark.
  • 89' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.8 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.62 Lille OSC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 82% + Toulouse FC or Draw 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC39% Draw37% Lille OSC24%
Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes27% 0% No73%
Avg goals/match: 1.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 73%
27%
± 1.5 42%
58%
± 2.5 18%
82%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Lille OSC
61%
Toulouse FC or Lille OSC
63%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC21% Draw64% Lille OSC15%
Actual: Lille OSC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
26.8%
1 – 0
17.7%
0 – 1
13.3%
1 – 1
13%
2 – 0
7.2%
2 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
1.9%
2 – 2
1.7%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 3
0.9%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push Lille OSC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 23% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 17% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
54%
Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.