Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Burnley FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 13 Apr 2024 · 14:00 UTC Turf Moor HT 45' · FT 45'
Josh Brownhill 74' 1–0
1–1 79' Arijanet Muric og

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC — Premier League at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Simon Hooper
  • Assistant 1 Adrian Holmes
  • Assistant 2 Simon Long

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–1 D
06 Apr Everton FC A 0–1 L
02 Apr Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
30 Mar Chelsea FC A 2–2 D
16 Mar Brentford FC H 2–1 W
10 Mar West Ham United FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr Burnley FC A 1–1 D
06 Apr Arsenal FC H 0–3 L
03 Apr Brentford FC A 0–0 D
31 Mar Liverpool FC A 1–2 L
14 Mar AS Roma H 1–0 W
10 Mar Nottingham Forest FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Brighton & Hove Albion FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
2/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Pascal Gross 3 G 3 A
Charalampos Kostoulas 2 G 1 A
Jack Hinshelwood 2 G
Malick Yalcouye 2 G
Maxim De Cuyper 1 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Turf Moor will turn into a battlefield for Burnley FC and Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 14' Igor has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pervis Estupinan on 14 minute.
  • 19' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burnley FC and Brighton & Hove Albion FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 24' Brighton & Hove Albion FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 28' A moment of madness from Josh Cullen on 28 minutes earns him a card. Burnley FC will be frustrated.
  • 33' Over 33 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 38' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 43' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 47' Charlie Taylor is replacing Vitinho for the Burnley FC side.
  • 52' The travelling Brighton & Hove Albion FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 57' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burnley FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 62' It is a substitution in Burnley FC team. David Fofana is replaced by Jay Rodriguez on 62 minute.
  • 67' Josh Brownhill is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hjalmar Ekdal at the 67 minute mark.
  • 72' Jacob Bruun Larsen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 74' The England Josh Brownhill breaks the deadlock on 74 minutes. 1-0!
  • 77' The crowd applauds Danny Welbeck as he leaves the pitch. Facundo Buonanotte steps in for Brighton & Hove Albion FC.
  • 79' Arijanet Muric adds to his 0 season tally! Burnley FC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 84' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 86' Burnley FC make a change. Jacob Bruun Larsen trudges off to be replaced by Mike Tresor on 86 minutes.
  • 90' Brighton & Hove Albion FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • 90' Brighton & Hove Albion FC make a change. Joao Pedro trudges off to be replaced by Mark O'Mahony on 90 minutes.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.28 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC43% Draw30% Brighton & Hove Albion FC27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
57%
Burnley FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC29% Draw51% Brighton & Hove Albion FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.5%
1 – 0
11.9%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.