Sunday , 16 August 2026

Burnley FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 13 Apr 2024 · 14:00 UTC Turf Moor HT 45' · FT 45'
Josh Brownhill 74' 1–0
1–1 79' Arijanet Muric og

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FCPremier League at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Simon Hooper
  • Assistant 1 Adrian Holmes
  • Assistant 2 Simon Long

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–1 D
06 Apr Everton FC A 0–1 L
02 Apr Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
30 Mar Chelsea FC A 2–2 D
16 Mar Brentford FC H 2–1 W
10 Mar West Ham United FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr Burnley FC A 1–1 D
06 Apr Arsenal FC H 0–3 L
03 Apr Brentford FC A 0–0 D
31 Mar Liverpool FC A 1–2 L
14 Mar AS Roma H 1–0 W
10 Mar Nottingham Forest FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Burnley FC Brighton & Hove Albion FC
#2 Position #15
22 Points 0
38 Played 0
4 / 10 / 24 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
38 Scored 0
75 Conceded 0
-37 GD +0
0.58 PPG
11% Win %

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts). Brighton & Hove Albion FC are 15th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.63 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.47 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 89% + Under — clean sheet likely 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC36% Draw41% Brighton & Hove Albion FC23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes20% 0% No80%
Avg goals/match: 1.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 64%
36%
± 1.5 31%
69%
± 2.5 11%
89%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
64%
Burnley FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
59%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC18% Draw71% Brighton & Hove Albion FC11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
36.1%
1 – 0
19.2%
0 – 1
13.7%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6%
2 – 1
3.4%
0 – 2
3.2%
1 – 2
2.5%
3 – 0
1.2%
2 – 2
1%
3 – 1
0.8%
0 – 3
0.5%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 23% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 16% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
63%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
54%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.