Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Burnley FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 2 Sep 2023 · 14:00 UTC Turf Moor 21,750 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lyle Foster 4' 1–0
1–1 16' Heung-min Son
1–2 45+2' Christian Romero
1–3 54' James Maddison
1–4 63' Heung-min Son
1–5 66' Heung-min Son
Josh Brownhill 90+4' 2–5

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC — Premier League at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren England
  • Assistant 1 Simon Bennett
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Robathan
6 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 5.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–5 L
27 Aug Aston Villa FC H 1–3 L
11 Aug Manchester City FC H 0–3 L
08 May Cardiff City FC H 3–0 W
29 Apr Bristol City FC A 2–1 W
25 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep Burnley FC A 5–2 W
26 Aug AFC Bournemouth A 2–0 W
19 Aug Manchester United FC H 2–0 W
13 Aug Brentford FC A 2–2 D
28 May Leeds United FC A 4–1 W
20 May Brentford FC H 1–3 L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Tottenham Hotspur FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Tottenham Hotspur FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/3
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99 Tottenham Hotspur FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC24% Draw25% Tottenham Hotspur FC51%
Actual: Tottenham Hotspur FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
49%
Draw or Tottenham Hotspur FC
76%
Burnley FC or Tottenham Hotspur FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC19% Draw42% Tottenham Hotspur FC39%
Actual: Tottenham Hotspur FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–5 not predicted
2 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
10.7%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.1%
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 3
6.2%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 3
5.2%
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
3.8%
1 – 4
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Tottenham Hotspur FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 46% — 54%
+1 46% 22% 32%
+1.5 68% — 32%
+2 68% 17% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
Tottenham Hotspur FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.