Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Toronto FC

1 – 1

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Wed 25 Jun 2025 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Alonso Coello Camarero 66' Y

Y 80' Mohammed Sofo

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at BMO Field.

Toronto FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

Toronto FC 17 games · Avg 2.5 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2025-06-25 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2025-03-22 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC 2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls 2024-06-22 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC 2023-10-07 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC

Recent Form

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jun	New York Red Bulls	H	1–1	D
31 May	Charlotte FC	H	0–2	L
28 May	Philadelphia Union	H	1–2	L
24 May	Nashville SC	H	1–2	L
17 May	Montreal Impact FC	A	6–1	W
14 May	FC Cincinnati	H	0–1	L

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jun	Toronto FC	A	1–1	D
15 Jun	Austin FC	A	1–2	L
31 May	Atlanta United FC	H	2–0	W
28 May	Charlotte FC	H	4–2	W
24 May	D.C. United SC	A	2–0	W
17 May	New York City FC	A	0–2	L

Season Stats

Toronto FC		New York Red Bulls
#11	Position	#5
14	Points	22
14	Played	15
3 / 5 / 6	W / D / L	6 / 4 / 5
22	Scored	25
29	Conceded	32
-7	GD	-7
1.00	PPG	1.47
21%	Win %	40%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

20% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/5

61-75

4/4

76+

5/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

5/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/5

46-60

3/5

61-75

1/2

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Toronto FC to score. At the same time, New York Red Bulls does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' It’s high time Sandro Schwarz made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alexander Hack is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Toronto FC.
15' New York Red Bulls fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
20' Mohammed Sofo is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
24' The whistle greets Lewis Morgan as he departs to be replaced by Wiktor Bogacz.
29' Toronto FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
34' A quiet spell here at BMO Field. New York Red Bulls seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
39' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Raoul Petretta made 172 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
41' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kosi Thompson is hanging Zane Monlouis on the field on 41 minute.
46' New York Red Bulls has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
51' GOAL! Theo Corbeanu scores on 51. Assisted by Sigurd Rosted
56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with New York Red Bulls winning 0% of all matches.
61' Toronto FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
62' It is a substitution in New York Red Bulls team. Wikelmann Carmona is replaced by Serge Ngoma on 62 minute.
66' It’s gonna be a card for Alonso Coello Camarero.
71' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toronto FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
76' Tyrese Spicer gets the nod from Toronto FC. He replaces Theo Corbeanu and will look to change the dynamic.
77' Time for substitution for New York Red Bulls. Wiktor Bogacz is replaced by Dennis Gjengaar.
80' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Mohammed Sofo on 80 minutes.
81' Toronto FC make a change. Sigurd Rosted trudges off to be replaced by Lazar Stefanovic on 81 minutes.
84' It is a substitution in New York Red Bulls team. Mohammed Sofo is replaced by Julian Hall on 84 minute.
89' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Robin Fraser

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

26
Tim Parker
15
Sean Nealis
1
AJ Marcucci
81
Serge Ngoma ↑ 62'
48
Ronald Donkor ↑ 62'
5
Omar Valencia ↑ 62'
16
Julian Hall ↑ 84'
22
Dennis Gjengaar
7
Wiktor Bogacz ↑ 24'

Coach Sandro Schwarz

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lewis Morgan	5
Luquinhas	3
Tom Barlow	3
Emil Forsberg	3
Elias Manoel	2
Kemar Lawrence	2
Caden Clark	2
Brian White	2

Head to Head

Toronto FC Form

2025-06-25 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2025-05-31 Toronto FC 0–2 Charlotte FC L 2025-05-28 Toronto FC 1–2 Philadelphia Union L 2025-05-24 Toronto FC 1–2 Nashville SC L 2025-05-17 Montreal Impact FC 1–6 Toronto FC W 2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati L

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-06-25 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2025-06-15 Austin FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2025-05-31 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Atlanta United FC W 2025-05-28 New York Red Bulls 4–2 Charlotte FC W 2025-05-24 D.C. United SC 0–2 New York Red Bulls W 2025-05-17 New York City FC 2–0 New York Red Bulls L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.6 Toronto FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.94 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Toronto FC or New York Red Bulls 75% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Toronto FC31% Draw25% New York Red Bulls44%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.54

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw

56%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

69%

Toronto FC or New York Red Bulls

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Toronto FC25% Draw40% New York Red Bulls35%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

8.5%

2 – 1

2 – 2

6.7%

0 – 2

5.5%

1 – 3

5.4%

0 – 1

5.1%

2 – 3

4.3%

0 – 0

4.3%

1 – 0

2 – 0

3.7%

3 – 1

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap	Toronto FC covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	9%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	16%	69%
-0.5	31%	—	69%
+0.5	55%	—	45%
+1	55%	19%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	14%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.