Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Toronto FC

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Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Wed 25 Jun 2025 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Alonso Coello Camarero 66' Y

Y 80' Mohammed Sofo

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at BMO Field.

Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 27 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	27	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	St. Louis City	27	47
18	FC Dallas	27	47
19	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Seattle Sounders FC	27	38
23	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	27	21

Head-to-Head

Toronto FC 17 games · Avg 2.5 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2025-06-25 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2025-03-22 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC 2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls 2024-06-22 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC 2023-10-07 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC

Recent Form

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jun	New York Red Bulls	H	1–1	D
31 May	Charlotte FC	H	0–2	L
28 May	Philadelphia Union	H	1–2	L
24 May	Nashville SC	H	1–2	L
17 May	Montreal Impact FC	A	6–1	W
14 May	FC Cincinnati	H	0–1	L

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jun	Toronto FC	A	1–1	D
15 Jun	Austin FC	A	1–2	L
31 May	Atlanta United FC	H	2–0	W
28 May	Charlotte FC	H	4–2	W
24 May	D.C. United SC	A	2–0	W
17 May	New York City FC	A	0–2	L

Season Stats

Toronto FC		New York Red Bulls
#13	Position	#10
29	Points	33
27	Played	27
6 / 11 / 10	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 12
39	Scored	34
51	Conceded	51
-12	GD	-17
1.07	PPG	1.22
22%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

22% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC

0-15

1/3

16-30

2/5

31-45

5/6

46-60

4/7

61-75

7/6

76+

9/10

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/5

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/6

46-60

5/8

61-75

2/6

76+

5/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC

Daniel Salloi	7 G	5 A
Josh Sargent	7 G	2 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	10 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Toronto FC welcome New York Red Bulls for this crunch clash at BMO Field.
5' Theo Corbeanu has been relatively quiet despite scoring 13 goals in his last 347 appearances.
10' Emil Forsberg has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 14 cards already picked up this season.
15' New York Red Bulls is showing some good football. However, New York Red Bulls are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
20' Against the run of play, Mohammed Sofo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
24' The New York Red Bulls manager makes a substitution. Lewis Morgan departs to be replaced by Wiktor Bogacz.
29' Over 29 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
34' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
39' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
41' Another change for Toronto FC made on 41 minute. Zane Monlouis leaves to be changed by Kosi Thompson.
46' Toronto FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined New York Red Bulls backline.
51' What composure from Theo Corbeanu! The Canada international strokes it home. 1-1.
56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ola Brynhildsen, as he is very good at scoring at BMO Field with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
62' The supporters are chanting for Serge Ngoma. He replaces Wikelmann Carmona on 62 minute.
66' Controversy at the stadium! Alonso Coello Camarero argues furiously but the card stands.
71' Omar Valencia is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for New York Red Bulls so far.
76' A tactical swap from Toronto FC — Tyrese Spicer on, Theo Corbeanu off on 76 minutes.
77' New York Red Bulls make a change. Wiktor Bogacz trudges off to be replaced by Dennis Gjengaar on 77 minutes.
80' Mohammed Sofo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 80.
81' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Sigurd Rosted departs to be replaced by Lazar Stefanovic.
84' New York Red Bulls make a change. Mohammed Sofo trudges off to be replaced by Julian Hall on 84 minutes.
89' New York Red Bulls looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Toronto FC 1-1 New York Red Bulls.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Robin Fraser

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

26
Tim Parker
15
Sean Nealis
1
AJ Marcucci
81
Serge Ngoma ↑ 62'
48
Ronald Donkor ↑ 62'
5
Omar Valencia ↑ 62'
16
Julian Hall ↑ 84'
22
Dennis Gjengaar
7
Wiktor Bogacz ↑ 24'

Coach Sandro Schwarz

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lewis Morgan	5
Luquinhas	3
Tom Barlow	3
Emil Forsberg	3
Pozuelo	2
Elias Manoel	2
Kemar Lawrence	2
Caden Clark	2

Head to Head

Toronto FC Form

2025-06-25 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2025-05-31 Toronto FC 0–2 Charlotte FC L 2025-05-28 Toronto FC 1–2 Philadelphia Union L 2025-05-24 Toronto FC 1–2 Nashville SC L 2025-05-17 Montreal Impact FC 1–6 Toronto FC W 2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati L

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-06-25 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2025-06-15 Austin FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2025-05-31 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Atlanta United FC W 2025-05-28 New York Red Bulls 4–2 Charlotte FC W 2025-05-24 D.C. United SC 0–2 New York Red Bulls W 2025-05-17 New York City FC 2–0 New York Red Bulls L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.4 Toronto FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.65 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Toronto FC or New York Red Bulls 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Toronto FC32% Draw27% New York Red Bulls41%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.05

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	58%	42%
± 3.5	36%	64%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw

58%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

68%

Toronto FC or New York Red Bulls

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Toronto FC25% Draw44% New York Red Bulls31%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

8.7%

2 – 1

7.4%

0 – 1

0 – 0

6.4%

0 – 2

6.4%

2 – 2

6.1%

1 – 0

5.8%

1 – 3

4.8%

2 – 0

4.6%

3 – 1

3.4%

0 – 3

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap	Toronto FC covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	17%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	20%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	13%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.