Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Toronto FC

1 – 1

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Wed 25 Jun 2025 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Alonso Coello Camarero 66' Y

Y 80' Mohammed Sofo

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at BMO Field.

Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Toronto FC 17 games · Avg 2.5 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2025-06-25 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2025-03-22 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC 2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls 2024-06-22 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC 2023-10-07 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC

Recent Form

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jun	New York Red Bulls	H	1–1	D
31 May	Charlotte FC	H	0–2	L
28 May	Philadelphia Union	H	1–2	L
24 May	Nashville SC	H	1–2	L
17 May	Montreal Impact FC	A	6–1	W
14 May	FC Cincinnati	H	0–1	L

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jun	Toronto FC	A	1–1	D
15 Jun	Austin FC	A	1–2	L
31 May	Atlanta United FC	H	2–0	W
28 May	Charlotte FC	H	4–2	W
24 May	D.C. United SC	A	2–0	W
17 May	New York City FC	A	0–2	L

Season Stats

Toronto FC		New York Red Bulls
#12	Position	#8
17	Points	25
18	Played	18
3 / 8 / 7	W / D / L	7 / 4 / 7
24	Scored	29
32	Conceded	39
-8	GD	-10
0.94	PPG	1.39
17%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

16% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC

0-15

1/2

16-30

1/3

31-45

4/3

46-60

2/5

61-75

4/4

76+

6/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/1

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

1/5

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	9 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds BMO Field will turn into a battlefield for Toronto FC and New York Red Bulls.
5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
10' New York Red Bulls has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
15' Matthew Longstaff has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
20' GOAL! Mohammed Sofo fires home to make it 0-1!
24' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 24 minute. Lewis Morgan leaves to be changed by Wiktor Bogacz.
29' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Wikelmann Carmona made 286 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
34' It looks surprising Toronto FC does not make any changes. Lewis Morgan has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
39' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toronto FC that had 284 games and scored 371 goals.
41' Zane Monlouis makes way for Kosi Thompson at the 41 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toronto FC.
46' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toronto FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
51' The deadlock is broken! Theo Corbeanu gets on the scoresheet on 51 minutes.
56' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Toronto FC and New York Red Bulls are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
61' The 23-year-old Daniel Edelman has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
62' New York Red Bulls manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Serge Ngoma is hanging Wikelmann Carmona on the field on 62 minute.
66' Toronto FC player sees a card in front of him.
71' New York Red Bulls looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
76' Tyrese Spicer is ready to make an impact after coming on for Theo Corbeanu at the 76 minute mark.
77' Time for substitution for New York Red Bulls. Wiktor Bogacz is replaced by Dennis Gjengaar.
80' Mohammed Sofo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 80.
81' Another change for Toronto FC made on 81 minute. Sigurd Rosted leaves to be changed by Lazar Stefanovic.
84' The supporters are chanting for Julian Hall. He replaces Mohammed Sofo on 84 minute.
89' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
It finishes all square. Toronto FC and New York Red Bulls share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Robin Fraser

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

26
Tim Parker
15
Sean Nealis
1
AJ Marcucci
81
Serge Ngoma ↑ 62'
48
Ronald Donkor ↑ 62'
5
Omar Valencia ↑ 62'
16
Julian Hall ↑ 84'
22
Dennis Gjengaar
7
Wiktor Bogacz ↑ 24'

Coach Sandro Schwarz

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lewis Morgan	5
Emil Forsberg	3
Luquinhas	3
Tom Barlow	3
Caden Clark	2
Brian White	2
Pozuelo	2
Elias Manoel	2

Head to Head

Toronto FC Form

2025-06-25 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2025-05-31 Toronto FC 0–2 Charlotte FC L 2025-05-28 Toronto FC 1–2 Philadelphia Union L 2025-05-24 Toronto FC 1–2 Nashville SC L 2025-05-17 Montreal Impact FC 1–6 Toronto FC W 2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati L

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-06-25 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2025-06-15 Austin FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2025-05-31 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Atlanta United FC W 2025-05-28 New York Red Bulls 4–2 Charlotte FC W 2025-05-24 D.C. United SC 0–2 New York Red Bulls W 2025-05-17 New York City FC 2–0 New York Red Bulls L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.46 Toronto FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.79 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Toronto FC or New York Red Bulls 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Toronto FC31% Draw26% New York Red Bulls43%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.25

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	41%	59%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw

57%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

69%

Toronto FC or New York Red Bulls

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Toronto FC24% Draw42% New York Red Bulls34%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

8.7%

2 – 1

7.1%

2 – 2

6.3%

0 – 1

6.2%

0 – 2

6.2%

0 – 0

5.4%

1 – 3

5.2%

1 – 0

4.9%

2 – 0

4.1%

2 – 3

3.8%

0 – 3

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap	Toronto FC covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	16%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	56%	—	44%
+1	56%	20%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	14%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.