Saturday , 14 November 2026

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
New York Red Bulls
2 – 1
Full Time
Toronto FC
Sat 22 Mar 2025 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 24' Matthew Longstaff
Y 45' Raoul Petretta
Y 45' Federico Bernardeschi
Y 73' Derrick Etienne
Serge Ngoma 74' Y
Felipe Carballo 90' Y
Felipe Carballo 90' YR

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 34 77
2 Internacional CF Miami 34 60
3 New England Revolution 34 58
4 Chicago Fire FC 34 55
5 Charlotte FC 34 54
6 Philadelphia Union 34 50
7 Columbus Crew SC 34 47
8 FC Cincinnati 34 46
9 Orlando City SC 34 46
10 New York City FC 34 42
11 New York Red Bulls 34 42
12 Toronto FC 34 39
13 Atlanta United FC 34 33
14 D.C. United SC 34 33
15 Montreal Impact FC 34 26
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 34 64
17 FC Dallas 34 58
18 St. Louis City 34 54
19 San Jose Earthquakes 34 52
20 Houston Dynamo 34 51
21 Los Angeles FC 34 47
22 Portland Timbers 34 46
23 Seattle Sounders FC 34 46
24 Real Salt Lake 34 45
25 Minnesota United FC 34 44
26 Los Angeles Galaxy 34 44
27 Colorado Rapids SC 34 43
28 San Diego FC 34 38
29 Austin FC 34 34
30 Sporting Kansas City 34 26

Head-to-Head

11
5
2
New York Red Bulls 18 games · Avg 2.5 goals Toronto FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-22 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC 2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls 2024-06-22 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC 2023-10-07 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC 2023-05-17 Toronto FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar Toronto FC H 2–1 W
15 Mar Orlando City SC H 2–2 D
09 Mar Atlanta United FC A 0–0 D
02 Mar Nashville SC H 2–0 W
23 Feb FC Cincinnati A 0–1 L
19 Oct Columbus Crew SC H 2–3 L
Toronto FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar New York Red Bulls A 1–2 L
15 Mar Chicago Fire FC H 1–2 L
09 Mar FC Cincinnati A 0–2 L
02 Mar Orlando City SC A 2–4 L
23 Feb D.C. United SC A 2–2 D
05 Oct Internacional CF Miami H 0–1 L

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls Toronto FC
#11 Position #12
42 Points 39
34 Played 34
12 / 6 / 16 W / D / L 9 / 12 / 13
48 Scored 52
62 Conceded 67
-14 GD -15
1.24 PPG 1.15
35% Win % 26%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
12% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls
0-15
7/7
16-30
4/3
31-45
8/7
46-60
7/10
61-75
4/6
76+
8/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls
Julian Hall 13 G 3 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba 8 G 1 A
Toronto FC
Josh Sargent 10 G 4 A
Daniel Salloi 9 G 6 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. New York Red Bulls get us underway at Red Bull Arena.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His New York Red Bulls side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 24' The referee has no hesitation. Matthew Longstaff is booked for Toronto FC — card on 24.
  • 29' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Robin Fraser will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 34' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering New York Red Bulls that had 302 games and scored 443 goals.
  • 39' New York Red Bulls are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Toronto FC backline.
  • 44' The Sweden Emil Forsberg breaks the deadlock on 44 minutes. 1-0!
  • 45' Poor challenge from Raoul Petretta. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Toronto FC — Kosi Thompson on, Henry Wingo off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' It’s high time Sandro Schwarz made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 56' Another change for Toronto FC made on 56 minute. Raoul Petretta leaves to be changed by Derrick Etienne.
  • 61' New York Red Bulls seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 66' Time for substitution for New York Red Bulls. Peter Stroud is replaced by Felipe Carballo.
  • 70' What an equalizer from Deandre Kerr!
  • 72' Toronto FC make a change. Nicksoen Gomis trudges off to be replaced by Kobe Franklin on 72 minutes.
  • 73' Derrick Etienne has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 73.
  • 74' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Serge Ngoma on 74 minutes.
  • 76' Emil Forsberg is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the .
  • 81' Noah Eile has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 86' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 88' It is a substitution in New York Red Bulls team. Serge Ngoma is replaced by Ronald Donkor on 88 minute.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Felipe Carballo.
  • 90' Fresh legs for New York Red Bulls! Tim Parker comes on to replace Emil Forsberg.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Toronto FC.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sandro Schwarz

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Robin Fraser

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Lewis Morgan 5
Luquinhas 3
Tom Barlow 3
Emil Forsberg 3
Pozuelo 2
Kemar Lawrence 2
Caden Clark 2
Elias Manoel 2

Head to Head

2025-03-22 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC 2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls 2024-06-22 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC 2023-10-07 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC 2023-05-17 Toronto FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-03-22 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC W 2025-03-15 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Orlando City SC D 2025-03-09 Atlanta United FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls D 2025-03-02 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Nashville SC W 2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls L 2024-10-19 New York Red Bulls 2–3 Columbus Crew SC L

Toronto FC Form

2025-03-22 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC L 2025-03-15 Toronto FC 1–2 Chicago Fire FC L 2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC L 2025-03-02 Orlando City SC 4–2 Toronto FC L 2025-02-23 D.C. United SC 2–2 Toronto FC D 2024-10-05 Toronto FC 0–1 Internacional CF Miami L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.18 New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
New York Red Bulls59% Draw21% Toronto FC20%
Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw
80%
Draw or Toronto FC
41%
New York Red Bulls or Toronto FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
New York Red Bulls41% Draw40% Toronto FC19%
Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
6.6%
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.1%
0 – 0
4.4%
3 – 2
4.4%
4 – 1
3.6%
0 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap New York Red Bulls covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 17% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 21% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 12% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.