Sunday , 16 August 2026

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
New York Red Bulls
2 – 1
Full Time
Toronto FC
Sat 22 Mar 2025 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 24' Matthew Longstaff
Y 45' Raoul Petretta
Y 45' Federico Bernardeschi
Y 73' Derrick Etienne
Serge Ngoma 74' Y
Felipe Carballo 90' Y
Felipe Carballo 90' YR

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 18 40
2 Internacional CF Miami 18 38
3 New England Revolution 18 30
4 Chicago Fire FC 17 29
5 New York City FC 18 26
6 FC Cincinnati 18 26
7 Charlotte FC 18 25
8 New York Red Bulls 18 25
9 D.C. United SC 18 23
10 Columbus Crew SC 18 20
11 Orlando City SC 18 20
12 Toronto FC 18 17
13 Philadelphia Union 18 16
14 Montreal Impact FC 18 16
15 Atlanta United FC 18 12
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 17 34
17 Los Angeles FC 19 34
18 San Jose Earthquakes 18 33
19 Houston Dynamo 18 32
20 FC Dallas 18 27
21 Real Salt Lake 17 27
22 St. Louis City 18 26
23 Portland Timbers 18 24
24 Seattle Sounders FC 17 24
25 Minnesota United FC 18 24
26 Colorado Rapids SC 18 22
27 Los Angeles Galaxy 19 22
28 San Diego FC 18 21
29 Austin FC 18 17
30 Sporting Kansas City 18 14

Head-to-Head

11
5
1
New York Red Bulls 17 games · Avg 2.5 goals Toronto FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-22 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC 2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls 2024-06-22 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC 2023-10-07 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC 2023-05-17 Toronto FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar Toronto FC H 2–1 W
15 Mar Orlando City SC H 2–2 D
09 Mar Atlanta United FC A 0–0 D
02 Mar Nashville SC H 2–0 W
23 Feb FC Cincinnati A 0–1 L
19 Oct Columbus Crew SC H 2–3 L
Toronto FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar New York Red Bulls A 1–2 L
15 Mar Chicago Fire FC H 1–2 L
09 Mar FC Cincinnati A 0–2 L
02 Mar Orlando City SC A 2–4 L
23 Feb D.C. United SC A 2–2 D
05 Oct Internacional CF Miami H 0–1 L

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls Toronto FC
#8 Position #12
25 Points 17
18 Played 18
7 / 4 / 7 W / D / L 3 / 8 / 7
29 Scored 24
39 Conceded 32
-10 GD -8
1.39 PPG 0.94
39% Win % 17%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
16% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
1/5
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls
Julian Hall 9 G 2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba 7 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for New York Red Bulls to score. At the same time, Toronto FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. New York Red Bulls and Toronto FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sigurd Rosted suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Kobe Franklin has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' Kosi Thompson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
  • 24' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Matthew Longstaff on 24 minutes.
  • 29' New York Red Bulls is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 34' It’s high time Robin Fraser made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 39' It is a cagey affair so far. New York Red Bulls in their trying to find a way past Toronto FC's compact .
  • 44' The Sweden Emil Forsberg breaks the deadlock on 44 minutes. 1-0!
  • 45' Raoul Petretta catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
  • 46' Kosi Thompson is replacing Henry Wingo for the Toronto FC side.
  • 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. New York Red Bulls must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 56' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Raoul Petretta departs to be replaced by Derrick Etienne.
  • 61' New York Red Bulls is showing some good football. However, New York Red Bulls are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 66' The whistle greets Peter Stroud as he departs to be replaced by Felipe Carballo.
  • 70' The deadlock is broken! Deandre Kerr gets on the scoresheet on 70 minutes.
  • 72' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Nicksoen Gomis is replaced by Kobe Franklin.
  • 73' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Derrick Etienne on 73 minutes.
  • 74' Serge Ngoma was booked on 74.
  • 76' The deadlock is broken! Emil Forsberg gets on the scoresheet on 76 minutes.
  • 81' The 24-year-old Noah Eile has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 86' Over 86 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 88' A tactical swap from New York Red Bulls — Ronald Donkor on, Serge Ngoma off on 88 minutes.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Felipe Carballo on 90 minutes.
  • 90' Time for substitution for New York Red Bulls. Emil Forsberg is replaced by Tim Parker.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sandro Schwarz

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Robin Fraser

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Lewis Morgan 5
Luquinhas 3
Tom Barlow 3
Emil Forsberg 3
Elias Manoel 2
Kemar Lawrence 2
Caden Clark 2
Brian White 2

Head to Head

2025-03-22 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC 2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls 2024-06-22 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC 2023-10-07 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC 2023-05-17 Toronto FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-03-22 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC W 2025-03-15 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Orlando City SC D 2025-03-09 Atlanta United FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls D 2025-03-02 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Nashville SC W 2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls L 2024-10-19 New York Red Bulls 2–3 Columbus Crew SC L

Toronto FC Form

2025-03-22 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC L 2025-03-15 Toronto FC 1–2 Chicago Fire FC L 2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC L 2025-03-02 Orlando City SC 4–2 Toronto FC L 2025-02-23 D.C. United SC 2–2 Toronto FC D 2024-10-05 Toronto FC 0–1 Internacional CF Miami L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.21 New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
New York Red Bulls59% Draw21% Toronto FC20%
Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw
80%
Draw or Toronto FC
41%
New York Red Bulls or Toronto FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
New York Red Bulls42% Draw39% Toronto FC19%
Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.8%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.2%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap New York Red Bulls covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 17% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 21% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 12% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.