New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

MLS · 2025

New York Red Bulls

2 – 1

Full Time

Toronto FC

Sat 22 Mar 2025 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 24' Matthew Longstaff

Y 45' Raoul Petretta

Y 45' Federico Bernardeschi

Y 73' Derrick Etienne

Serge Ngoma 74' Y

Felipe Carballo 90' Y

Felipe Carballo 90' YR

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Toronto FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 17 games · Avg 2.5 goals Toronto FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-22 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC 2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls 2024-06-22 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC 2023-10-07 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC 2023-05-17 Toronto FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Mar	Toronto FC	H	2–1	W
15 Mar	Orlando City SC	H	2–2	D
09 Mar	Atlanta United FC	A	0–0	D
02 Mar	Nashville SC	H	2–0	W
23 Feb	FC Cincinnati	A	0–1	L
19 Oct	Columbus Crew SC	H	2–3	L

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Mar	New York Red Bulls	A	1–2	L
15 Mar	Chicago Fire FC	H	1–2	L
09 Mar	FC Cincinnati	A	0–2	L
02 Mar	Orlando City SC	A	2–4	L
23 Feb	D.C. United SC	A	2–2	D
05 Oct	Internacional CF Miami	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		Toronto FC
#5	Position	#11
22	Points	14
15	Played	14
6 / 4 / 5	W / D / L	3 / 5 / 6
25	Scored	22
32	Conceded	29
-7	GD	-7
1.47	PPG	1.00
40%	Win %	21%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

5/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/5

46-60

3/5

61-75

1/2

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Toronto FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/5

61-75

4/4

76+

5/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. New York Red Bulls kicks off things out of here…
5' The home supporters are growing impatient. New York Red Bulls must find a spark to ignite this game.
10' It looks surprising Toronto FC does not make any changes. Matthew Longstaff has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
15' Zane Monlouis is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toronto FC so far.
20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
24' A moment of madness from Matthew Longstaff on 24 minutes earns him a card. Toronto FC will be frustrated.
29' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both New York Red Bulls and Toronto FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
34' New York Red Bulls are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Toronto FC's shape.
39' New York Red Bulls have won 418 goals from 283 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
44' What composure from Emil Forsberg! The Sweden international strokes it home. 1-0.
45' Controversy at the stadium! Raoul Petretta argues furiously but the card stands.
46' The whistle greets Henry Wingo as he departs to be replaced by Kosi Thompson.
51' It is a cagey affair so far. New York Red Bulls in their trying to find a way past Toronto FC's compact .
56' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Raoul Petretta departs to be replaced by Derrick Etienne.
61' Toronto FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
66' New York Red Bulls make a change. Peter Stroud trudges off to be replaced by Felipe Carballo on 66 minutes.
70' Deandre Kerr has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 70 minutes.
72' The crowd applauds Nicksoen Gomis as he leaves the pitch. Kobe Franklin steps in for Toronto FC.
73' Poor challenge from Derrick Etienne. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
74' A moment of madness from Serge Ngoma on 74 minutes earns him a card. New York Red Bulls will be frustrated.
76' Goal! Emil Forsberg scores his 80 goal in 108 matches.
81' New York Red Bulls is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
86' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
88' Ronald Donkor has so much to prove this time. He replaces Serge Ngoma on 88 minute.
90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Felipe Carballo on 90.
90' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 90 minute. Emil Forsberg leaves to be changed by Tim Parker.
2-1 the final result. Toronto FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sandro Schwarz

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Kevin Long
10
Federico Bernardeschi
24
Lorenzo Insigne
28
Raoul Petretta ↓ Derrick Etienne 56'
2
Henry Wingo ↓ Kosi Thompson 46'
1
Sean Johnson
8
Matthew Longstaff
14
Alonso Coello Camarero
71
Markus Cimermancic ↓ Deandre Kerr 56'
12
Zane Monlouis ↓ Sigurd Rosted 46'
15
Nicksoen Gomis ↓ Kobe Franklin 72'

Bench

11
Derrick Etienne ↑ 56'
17
Sigurd Rosted ↑ 46'
7
Theo Corbeanu
29
Deandre Kerr ↑ 56'
90
Luka Gavran
6
Kosi Thompson ↑ 46'
19
Kobe Franklin ↑ 72'
76
Lazar Stefanovic

Coach Robin Fraser

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lewis Morgan	5
Luquinhas	3
Tom Barlow	3
Emil Forsberg	3
Pozuelo	2
Elias Manoel	2
Kemar Lawrence	2
Caden Clark	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-03-22 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC W 2025-03-15 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Orlando City SC D 2025-03-09 Atlanta United FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls D 2025-03-02 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Nashville SC W 2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls L 2024-10-19 New York Red Bulls 2–3 Columbus Crew SC L

Toronto FC Form

2025-03-22 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC L 2025-03-15 Toronto FC 1–2 Chicago Fire FC L 2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC L 2025-03-02 Orlando City SC 4–2 Toronto FC L 2025-02-23 D.C. United SC 2–2 Toronto FC D 2024-10-05 Toronto FC 0–1 Internacional CF Miami L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.39 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.46 Toronto FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls59% Draw20% Toronto FC21%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes69% 0% No31%

Avg goals/match: 3.85

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	73%	27%
± 3.5	53%	47%
± 4.5	34%	66%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

80%

Draw or Toronto FC

41%

New York Red Bulls or Toronto FC

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls43% Draw37% Toronto FC20%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

8.2%

3 – 1

6.8%

2 – 2

6.2%

2 – 0

6.2%

1 – 2

5.3%

3 – 2

4.9%

3 – 0

4.8%

1 – 0

4.7%

4 – 1

4.1%

0 – 0

3.3%

2 – 3

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	Toronto FC covers
-2.5	20%	—	80%
-2	20%	17%	63%
-1.5	37%	—	63%
-1	37%	20%	43%
-0.5	57%	—	43%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	12%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	6%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.