Wednesday , 30 September 2026

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
New York Red Bulls
2 – 1
Full Time
Toronto FC
Sat 22 Mar 2025 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 24' Matthew Longstaff
Y 45' Raoul Petretta
Y 45' Federico Bernardeschi
Y 73' Derrick Etienne
Serge Ngoma 74' Y
Felipe Carballo 90' Y
Felipe Carballo 90' YR

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 60
2 Internacional CF Miami 27 46
3 New England Revolution 27 46
4 Charlotte FC 27 43
5 Chicago Fire FC 26 42
6 Philadelphia Union 27 39
7 Orlando City SC 27 34
8 New York City FC 27 33
9 FC Cincinnati 26 33
10 New York Red Bulls 26 33
11 D.C. United SC 26 30
12 Columbus Crew SC 27 29
13 Toronto FC 27 29
14 Atlanta United FC 27 27
15 Montreal Impact FC 27 24
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 26 50
17 FC Dallas 27 47
18 San Jose Earthquakes 27 45
19 St. Louis City 26 44
20 Houston Dynamo 27 44
21 Los Angeles FC 28 41
22 Colorado Rapids SC 27 36
23 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 36
24 Seattle Sounders FC 26 35
25 San Diego FC 27 32
26 Portland Timbers 27 32
27 Real Salt Lake 27 32
28 Austin FC 27 31
29 Minnesota United FC 27 29
30 Sporting Kansas City 26 21

Head-to-Head

11
5
1
New York Red Bulls 17 games · Avg 2.5 goals Toronto FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-22 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC 2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls 2024-06-22 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC 2023-10-07 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC 2023-05-17 Toronto FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar Toronto FC H 2–1 W
15 Mar Orlando City SC H 2–2 D
09 Mar Atlanta United FC A 0–0 D
02 Mar Nashville SC H 2–0 W
23 Feb FC Cincinnati A 0–1 L
19 Oct Columbus Crew SC H 2–3 L
Toronto FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar New York Red Bulls A 1–2 L
15 Mar Chicago Fire FC H 1–2 L
09 Mar FC Cincinnati A 0–2 L
02 Mar Orlando City SC A 2–4 L
23 Feb D.C. United SC A 2–2 D
05 Oct Internacional CF Miami H 0–1 L

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls Toronto FC
#10 Position #13
33 Points 29
26 Played 27
9 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 6 / 11 / 10
34 Scored 39
48 Conceded 51
-14 GD -12
1.27 PPG 1.07
35% Win % 22%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts). Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/6
46-60
5/8
61-75
2/6
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls
Julian Hall 10 G 2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba 7 G
Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Red Bull Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Sandro Schwarz will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' The 23-year-old Daniel Edelman has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nicksoen Gomis suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 24' Toronto FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 24.
  • 29' It is a cagey affair so far. New York Red Bulls in their trying to find a way past Toronto FC's compact .
  • 34' New York Red Bulls currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 39' New York Red Bulls are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 44' Emil Forsberg does the damage! The net is bulging and New York Red Bulls surge ahead!
  • 45' It’s gonna be a card for Raoul Petretta.
  • 46' The whistle greets Henry Wingo as he departs to be replaced by Kosi Thompson.
  • 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 56' A tactical swap from Toronto FC — Derrick Etienne on, Raoul Petretta off on 56 minutes.
  • 61' Raoul Petretta is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for New York Red Bulls tonight.
  • 66' Peter Stroud makes way for Felipe Carballo at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York Red Bulls.
  • 70' The Canada Deandre Kerr breaks the deadlock on 70 minutes. 1-1!
  • 72' A tactical swap from Toronto FC — Kobe Franklin on, Nicksoen Gomis off on 72 minutes.
  • 73' That is a card for Toronto FC. Derrick Etienne will be fuming at that decision.
  • 74' Serge Ngoma catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 74.
  • 76' What a strike from Emil Forsberg! The score is 2-1.
  • 81' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toronto FC that had 288 games and scored 376 goals.
  • 86' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 88' Ronald Donkor has so much to prove this time. He replaces Serge Ngoma on 88 minute.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Felipe Carballo.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Tim Parker. He replaces Emil Forsberg on 90 minute.
  • Another three points for New York Red Bulls.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sandro Schwarz

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Robin Fraser

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Lewis Morgan 5
Emil Forsberg 3
Luquinhas 3
Tom Barlow 3
Caden Clark 2
Brian White 2
Pozuelo 2
Elias Manoel 2

Head to Head

2025-03-22 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC 2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls 2024-06-22 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC 2023-10-07 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC 2023-05-17 Toronto FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-03-22 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC W 2025-03-15 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Orlando City SC D 2025-03-09 Atlanta United FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls D 2025-03-02 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Nashville SC W 2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls L 2024-10-19 New York Red Bulls 2–3 Columbus Crew SC L

Toronto FC Form

2025-03-22 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC L 2025-03-15 Toronto FC 1–2 Chicago Fire FC L 2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC L 2025-03-02 Orlando City SC 4–2 Toronto FC L 2025-02-23 D.C. United SC 2–2 Toronto FC D 2024-10-05 Toronto FC 0–1 Internacional CF Miami L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.07 New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
New York Red Bulls58% Draw22% Toronto FC20%
Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw
80%
Draw or Toronto FC
42%
New York Red Bulls or Toronto FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
New York Red Bulls40% Draw41% Toronto FC19%
Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 0
5.1%
0 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap New York Red Bulls covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 17% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 21% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.