New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

New York City FC

2 – 0

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sat 17 May 2025 · 20:30 UTC Citi Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Julian Fernandez 30' Y

Y 42' Noah Eile

Y 54' Sean Nealis

Y 63' Kyle Duncan

Overview

Match Preview

New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Citi Field.

New York City FC 15 games · 19 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

New York City FC 19 games · Avg 2.5 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-17 New York City FC 2–0 New York Red Bulls 2024-09-28 New York Red Bulls 1–5 New York City FC 2024-05-18 New York City FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls 2023-09-16 New York City FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls 2023-05-13 New York Red Bulls 1–0 New York City FC

Recent Form

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 May	New York Red Bulls	H	2–0	W
14 May	D.C. United SC	A	0–0	D
10 May	Montreal Impact FC	H	0–1	L
04 May	FC Cincinnati	H	1–0	W
26 Apr	Toronto FC	A	1–0	W
19 Apr	New England Revolution	A	0–2	L

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 May	New York City FC	A	0–2	L
15 May	Nashville SC	A	1–2	L
10 May	Los Angeles Galaxy	H	7–0	W
03 May	Internacional CF Miami	A	1–4	L
26 Apr	Montreal Impact FC	H	1–0	W
19 Apr	D.C. United SC	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

New York City FC		New York Red Bulls
#8	Position	#5
19	Points	22
15	Played	15
5 / 4 / 6	W / D / L	6 / 4 / 5
25	Scored	25
21	Conceded	32
+4	GD	-7
1.27	PPG	1.47
33%	Win %	40%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

37% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

20% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

New York City FC are 8th (19 pts). New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC

0-15

2/–

16-30

2/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

3/2

61-75

1/2

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

5/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/5

46-60

3/5

61-75

1/2

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Citi Field as New York City FC face off against New York Red Bulls in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' Birk Risa, a Norway , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
13' Alonso Martinez doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
18' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. New York Red Bulls needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
23' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sandro Schwarz might look to freshen things up shortly.
28' The travelling New York Red Bulls supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
30' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Julian Fernandez on 30 minutes.
35' A quiet spell here at Citi Field. New York City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
42' Noah Eile catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 42.
47' It looks surprising New York Red Bulls does not make any changes. Monsef Bakrar has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
50' A goal from the Argentina international Maxi Moralez! He fires home on 50 to make it 2-0!
54' The referee calls foul for Sean Nealis. He receives a card.
57' The crowd applauds Mohammed Sofo as he leaves the pitch. Wiktor Bogacz steps in for New York Red Bulls.
61' Agustin Ojeda has so much to prove this time. He replaces Julian Fernandez on 61 minute.
63' It’s a booking for New York Red Bulls player. Kyle Duncan gets a card.
67' Fresh legs for New York Red Bulls! Wikelmann Carmona comes on to replace Peter Stroud.
72' Over 72 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
76' A change in the New York City FC ranks — Birk Risa exits the field as Nico Cavallo enters on 76.
77' New York City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Monsef Bakrar is hanging Hannes Wolf on the field on 77 minute.
82' The home supporters are growing impatient. New York City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
87' Both keepers have barely been tested. New York City FC and New York Red Bulls are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
New York Red Bulls will have plenty to reflect on. New York City FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pascal Jansen

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sandro Schwarz

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Valentin Castellanos	5
Maxi Moralez	4
Omir Fernandez	3
Alonso Martinez	3
Andres Perea	3
Bradley Wright-Phillips	2
Heber	2
Daniel Royer	2

Head to Head

New York City FC Form

2025-05-17 New York City FC 2–0 New York Red Bulls W 2025-05-14 D.C. United SC 0–0 New York City FC D 2025-05-10 New York City FC 0–1 Montreal Impact FC L 2025-05-04 New York City FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati W 2025-04-26 Toronto FC 0–1 New York City FC W 2025-04-19 New England Revolution 2–0 New York City FC L

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-05-17 New York City FC 2–0 New York Red Bulls L 2025-05-15 Nashville SC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2025-05-10 New York Red Bulls 7–0 Los Angeles Galaxy W 2025-05-03 Internacional CF Miami 4–1 New York Red Bulls L 2025-04-26 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Montreal Impact FC W 2025-04-19 New York Red Bulls 1–2 D.C. United SC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.18 New York City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.94 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: New York City FC to win 63% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York City FC63% Draw21% New York Red Bulls16%

Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 3.12

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw

84%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

37%

New York City FC or New York Red Bulls

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

New York City FC46% Draw40% New York Red Bulls14%

Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

9.8%

2 – 1

9.5%

1 – 0

9.1%

3 – 0

7.3%

3 – 1

6.9%

0 – 0

2 – 2

4.5%

1 – 2

4.1%

4 – 0

4 – 1

3.8%

0 – 1

3.5%

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap	New York City FC covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	22%	—	78%
-2	22%	19%	59%
-1.5	41%	—	59%
-1	41%	23%	36%
-0.5	64%	—	36%
+0.5	86%	—	14%
+1	86%	9%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

39% ✗

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.