New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

New York City FC

2 – 0

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sat 17 May 2025 · 20:30 UTC Citi Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Julian Fernandez 30' Y

Y 42' Noah Eile

Y 54' Sean Nealis

Y 63' Kyle Duncan

Overview

Match Preview

New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Citi Field.

New York City FC 27 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

New York City FC 20 games · Avg 2.4 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-17 New York City FC 2–0 New York Red Bulls 2024-09-28 New York Red Bulls 1–5 New York City FC 2024-05-18 New York City FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls 2023-09-16 New York City FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls 2023-05-13 New York Red Bulls 1–0 New York City FC

Recent Form

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 May	New York Red Bulls	H	2–0	W
14 May	D.C. United SC	A	0–0	D
10 May	Montreal Impact FC	H	0–1	L
04 May	FC Cincinnati	H	1–0	W
26 Apr	Toronto FC	A	1–0	W
19 Apr	New England Revolution	A	0–2	L

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 May	New York City FC	A	0–2	L
15 May	Nashville SC	A	1–2	L
10 May	Los Angeles Galaxy	H	7–0	W
03 May	Internacional CF Miami	A	1–4	L
26 Apr	Montreal Impact FC	H	1–0	W
19 Apr	D.C. United SC	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

New York City FC		New York Red Bulls
#8	Position	#10
33	Points	33
27	Played	26
8 / 9 / 10	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 11
41	Scored	34
36	Conceded	48
+5	GD	-14
1.22	PPG	1.27
30%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

19% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

23% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

New York City FC are 8th (33 pts). New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

4/4

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/4

61-75

4/6

76+

2/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/6

46-60

5/8

61-75

2/6

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	15 G	4 A
Agustin Ojeda	5 G	5 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	10 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Citi Field. New York City FC are looking to make home advantage count against New York Red Bulls.
5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
10' New York Red Bulls has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
13' Against the run of play, Alonso Martinez has scored! This game has turned on its head.
18' New York Red Bulls looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Jorge Ruvalcaba scoring 1 goals.
23' New York City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against New York Red Bulls's shape.
28' Julian Hall has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 22 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
30' The referee has no hesitation. Julian Fernandez is booked for New York City FC — card on 30.
35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
40' New York Red Bulls come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
42' Poor challenge from Noah Eile. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
47' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Sandro Schwarz will be considering his options from the bench.
50' A stunning finish from Maxi Moralez — that came from absolutely nowhere!
54' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Sean Nealis.
57' The New York Red Bulls manager makes a substitution. Mohammed Sofo departs to be replaced by Wiktor Bogacz.
61' Agustin Ojeda gets the nod from New York City FC. He replaces Julian Fernandez and will look to change the dynamic.
63' A moment of madness from Kyle Duncan on 63 minutes earns him a card. New York Red Bulls will be frustrated.
67' The New York Red Bulls manager makes a substitution. Peter Stroud departs to be replaced by Wikelmann Carmona.
72' It looks surprising New York City FC does not make any changes. Mohammed Sofo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
76' Another substitution for New York City FC to replace Birk Risa by Nico Cavallo on 76 minute.
77' Time for substitution for New York City FC. Hannes Wolf is replaced by Monsef Bakrar.
82' New York City FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
87' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dennis Gjengaar suffering a number of foals already.
Game over. The scoreline of 2-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pascal Jansen

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sandro Schwarz

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Valentin Castellanos	5
Maxi Moralez	4
Alonso Martinez	3
Andres Perea	3
Omir Fernandez	3
Bradley Wright-Phillips	2
Heber	2
Daniel Royer	2

Head to Head

New York City FC Form

2025-05-17 New York City FC 2–0 New York Red Bulls W 2025-05-14 D.C. United SC 0–0 New York City FC D 2025-05-10 New York City FC 0–1 Montreal Impact FC L 2025-05-04 New York City FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati W 2025-04-26 Toronto FC 0–1 New York City FC W 2025-04-19 New England Revolution 2–0 New York City FC L

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-05-17 New York City FC 2–0 New York Red Bulls L 2025-05-15 Nashville SC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2025-05-10 New York Red Bulls 7–0 Los Angeles Galaxy W 2025-05-03 Internacional CF Miami 4–1 New York Red Bulls L 2025-04-26 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Montreal Impact FC W 2025-04-19 New York Red Bulls 1–2 D.C. United SC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.94 New York City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.78 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: New York City FC to win 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York City FC62% Draw23% New York Red Bulls15%

Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.72

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw

85%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

38%

New York City FC or New York Red Bulls

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

New York City FC44% Draw44% New York Red Bulls12%

Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

Actual

1 – 0

12.1%

1 – 1

10.7%

2 – 1

9.3%

0 – 0

8.3%

3 – 0

7.6%

3 – 1

6.1%

0 – 1

4.3%

1 – 2

3.7%

4 – 0

3.7%

2 – 2

3.7%

4 – 1

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap	New York City FC covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	19%	—	81%
-2	19%	20%	61%
-1.5	39%	—	61%
-1	39%	24%	37%
-0.5	63%	—	37%
+0.5	87%	—	13%
+1	87%	9%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

46% ✗

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.