Saturday , 14 November 2026

Montreal Impact FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 17 May 2025 · 18:30 UTC Stade Saputo HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Toronto FC H 1–6 L
14 May Columbus Crew SC H 1–1 D
10 May New York City FC A 1–0 W
03 May Philadelphia Union H 1–2 L
26 Apr New York Red Bulls A 0–1 L
19 Apr Orlando City SC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Montreal Impact FC A 6–1 W
14 May FC Cincinnati H 0–1 L
10 May D.C. United SC H 2–0 W
03 May New England Revolution H 0–2 L
26 Apr New York City FC H 0–1 L
20 Apr Real Salt Lake A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Montreal Impact FC Toronto FC
#15 Position #12
26 Points 39
34 Played 34
6 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 9 / 12 / 13
37 Scored 52
69 Conceded 67
-32 GD -15
0.76 PPG 1.15
18% Win % 26%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Montreal Impact FC this season
12% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

Montreal Impact FC are 15th (26 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Montreal Impact FC
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/4
31-45
3/6
46-60
5/8
61-75
2/9
76+
5/13
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Montreal Impact FC
Prince-Osei Owusu 15 G 6 A
Toronto FC
Josh Sargent 10 G 4 A
Daniel Salloi 9 G 6 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.28 Montreal Impact FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.62 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Montreal Impact FC22% Draw22% Toronto FC56%
Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

Montreal Impact FC or Draw
44%
Draw or Toronto FC
78%
Montreal Impact FC or Toronto FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Montreal Impact FC16% Draw36% Toronto FC48%
Actual: Toronto FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–6 not predicted
1 – 6
Actual
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 1
7.6%
1 – 3
7.4%
0 – 2
7%
0 – 3
6%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 1
5%
1 – 4
4.9%
2 – 3
4.8%
2 – 1
4.3%
0 – 4
3.9%
2 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Montreal Impact FC

Handicap Montreal Impact FC covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 10% 83%
-0.5 17% — 83%
+0.5 35% — 65%
+1 35% 20% 44%
+1.5 56% — 44%
+2 56% 19% 26%
+2.5 74% — 26%

Clean Sheet

Montreal Impact FC keeps clean sheet
8% ✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.