Montreal Impact FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Montreal Impact FC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Stade Saputo.
- Montreal Impact FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Toronto FC | H | 1–6 | L |
| 14 May | Columbus Crew SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | New York City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Apr | Orlando City SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Montreal Impact FC | A | 6–1 | W |
| 14 May | FC Cincinnati | H | 0–1 | L |
| 10 May | D.C. United SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 May | New England Revolution | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Apr | New York City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | Real Salt Lake | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Montreal Impact FC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #11 |
| 14 | Points | 14 |
| 14 | Played | 14 |
| 4 / 2 / 8 | W / D / L | 3 / 5 / 6 |
| 22 | Scored | 22 |
| 31 | Conceded | 29 |
| -9 | GD | -7 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 29% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
Montreal Impact FC this season
Montreal Impact FC this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Montreal Impact FC are 12th (14 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Montreal Impact FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Montreal Impact FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 9' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kosi Thompson on 9 minutes.
- 14' Tyrese Spicer makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Toronto FC are in front.
- 19' Toronto FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 21' Joel Waterman has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 21.
- 26' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 30' Federico Bernardeschi is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 33' Ola Brynhildsen does the damage! The net is bulging and Toronto FC surge ahead!
- 34' The Montreal Impact FC manager makes a substitution. Tom Pearce departs to be replaced by Fernando Alvarez.
- 39' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Dante Sealy made 281 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 44' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Fernando Alvarez.
- 46' Zane Monlouis is replacing Kevin Long for the Toronto FC side.
- 48' Montreal Impact FC make a change. Nathan-Dylan Saliba trudges off to be replaced by Yuri Guboglo on 48 minutes.
- 53' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 55' What a moment for Federico Bernardeschi! That strike on 55 puts his side firmly in control.
- 57' Jalen Neal has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 57.
- 58' Montreal Impact FC ring the changes. Jalen Neal has done his job and it is now time for Brandan Craig to step up.
- 61' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Ola Brynhildsen is withdrawn and Derrick Etienne gets his opportunity.
- 64' What composure from Giacomo Vrioni! The Albania international strokes it home. 1-4.
- 66' What a moment for Theo Corbeanu! That strike on 66 puts his side firmly in control.
- 70' A change in the Toronto FC ranks — Lorenzo Insigne exits the field as Matthew Longstaff enters on 70.
- 75' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 76' Another change for Montreal Impact FC made on 76 minute. Luca Petrasso leaves to be changed by Prince-Osei Owusu.
- 80' It is a substitution in Toronto FC team. Kosi Thompson is replaced by Henry Wingo on 80 minute.
- 85' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Montreal Impact FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dante Sealy on 88.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Montreal Impact FC.
Lineups
Montreal Impact FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
-
3
Tom Pearce ↓ Fernando Alvarez 34'
- 6
- 25
- 16
- 1
-
23
Caden Clark ↓ Victor Loturi 34'
- 19
-
2
Jalen Neal ↓ Brandan Craig 58'
- 13
- 27
Bench
-
9
Prince-Osei Owusu ↑ 76'
- 40
- 7
-
5
Brandan Craig ↑ 58'
- 28
-
4
Fernando Alvarez ↑ 34'
-
22
Victor Loturi ↑ 34'
-
39
Yuri Guboglo ↑ 48'
- 35
Coach
Marco Donadel
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
5
Kevin Long ↓ Zane Monlouis 46'
- 10
- 24
- 1
- 17
- 9
-
6
Kosi Thompson ↓ Henry Wingo 80'
- 23
- 20
- 76
-
16
Tyrese Spicer ↓ Theo Corbeanu 61'
Bench
-
11
Derrick Etienne ↑ 61'
-
2
Henry Wingo ↑ 80'
-
8
Matthew Longstaff ↑ 70'
-
7
Theo Corbeanu ↑ 61'
- 90
- 14
-
12
Zane Monlouis ↑ 46'
- 38
Coach
Robin Fraser
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Federico Bernardeschi | 9 |
| Jozy Altidore | 3 |
| Victor Wanyama | 3 |
| Ayo Akinola | 3 |
| Richie Laryea | 3 |
| Romell Quioto | 3 |
| Ignacio Piatti | 2 |
| Lorenzo Insigne | 2 |
Head to Head
Montreal Impact FC Form
2025-05-17
Montreal Impact FC
1–6
Toronto FC
L
2025-05-14
Montreal Impact FC
1–1
Columbus Crew SC
D
2025-05-10
New York City FC
0–1
Montreal Impact FC
W
2025-05-03
Montreal Impact FC
1–2
Philadelphia Union
L
2025-04-26
New York Red Bulls
1–0
Montreal Impact FC
L
2025-04-19
Montreal Impact FC
0–0
Orlando City SC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.66
Montreal Impact FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.71
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.37
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 3.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 4.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
Double Chance
Montreal Impact FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Toronto FC
74%
Montreal Impact FC or Toronto FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–6 not predicted1 – 6Actual
1 – 2
7.6%
1 – 3
6.7%
1 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 3
5.5%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 1
4.7%
1 – 4
4.6%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 4
3.8%
3 – 2
3.4%
0 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Montreal Impact FC
| Handicap | Montreal Impact FC covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 6% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 12% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +1 | 41% | 19% | 40% |
| +1.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +2 | 60% | 17% | 23% |
| +2.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
Clean Sheet
Montreal Impact FC keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

