Montreal Impact FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Montreal Impact FC

1 – 6

Full Time

Toronto FC

Sat 17 May 2025 · 18:30 UTC Stade Saputo HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 9' Kosi Thompson

Joel Waterman 21' R

Fernando Alvarez 45' Y

Jalen Neal 57' Y

Dante Sealy 88' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Montreal Impact FC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Stade Saputo.

Montreal Impact FC 18 games · 16 pts (2026/26)
Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Montreal Impact FC 21 games · Avg 3.2 goals Toronto FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-17 Montreal Impact FC 1–6 Toronto FC 2024-07-20 Montreal Impact FC 0–1 Toronto FC 2024-05-18 Toronto FC 5–1 Montreal Impact FC 2023-08-20 Toronto FC 2–3 Montreal Impact FC 2023-05-13 Montreal Impact FC 2–0 Toronto FC

Recent Form

Montreal Impact FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 May	Toronto FC	H	1–6	L
14 May	Columbus Crew SC	H	1–1	D
10 May	New York City FC	A	1–0	W
03 May	Philadelphia Union	H	1–2	L
26 Apr	New York Red Bulls	A	0–1	L
19 Apr	Orlando City SC	H	0–0	D

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 May	Montreal Impact FC	A	6–1	W
14 May	FC Cincinnati	H	0–1	L
10 May	D.C. United SC	H	2–0	W
03 May	New England Revolution	H	0–2	L
26 Apr	New York City FC	H	0–1	L
20 Apr	Real Salt Lake	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Montreal Impact FC		Toronto FC
#14	Position	#12
16	Points	17
18	Played	18
4 / 4 / 10	W / D / L	3 / 8 / 7
24	Scored	24
35	Conceded	32
-11	GD	-8
0.89	PPG	0.94
22%	Win %	17%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

48% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

32% Clean Sheets
Montreal Impact FC this season

16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

Montreal Impact FC are 14th (16 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Montreal Impact FC

0-15

3/3

16-30

2/1

31-45

1/1

46-60

4/1

61-75

–/4

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Toronto FC

0-15

1/2

16-30

1/3

31-45

4/3

46-60

2/5

61-75

4/4

76+

6/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Montreal Impact FC

Prince-Osei Owusu

9 G

5 A

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to Stade Saputo that hosts another battle between Montreal Impact FC and Toronto FC.
5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
9' The referee has no hesitation. Kosi Thompson is booked for Toronto FC — card on 9.
14' Against the run of play, Tyrese Spicer has scored! This game has turned on its head.
19' Kevin Long is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Montreal Impact FC tonight.
21' Joel Waterman was booked on 21.
26' Derrick Etienne, a Haiti , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
30' The Italy Federico Bernardeschi breaks the deadlock on 30 minutes. 0-2!
33' Ola Brynhildsen doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
34' Fernando Alvarez gets the nod from Montreal Impact FC. He replaces Tom Pearce and will look to change the dynamic.
39' The home supporters are growing impatient. Montreal Impact FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
44' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Montreal Impact FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
45' Montreal Impact FC player sees a card in front of him.
46' Fresh legs for Toronto FC! Zane Monlouis comes on to replace Kevin Long.
48' Montreal Impact FC ring the changes. Nathan-Dylan Saliba has done his job and it is now time for Yuri Guboglo to step up.
53' Montreal Impact FC is showing some good football. However, Montreal Impact FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
55' Federico Bernardeschi is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
57' The referee has no hesitation. Jalen Neal is booked for Montreal Impact FC — card on 57.
58' Montreal Impact FC make a change. Jalen Neal trudges off to be replaced by Brandan Craig on 58 minutes.
61' Another change for Toronto FC made on 61 minute. Ola Brynhildsen leaves to be changed by Derrick Etienne.
64' A goal from the Albania international Giacomo Vrioni! He fires home on 64 to make it 1-4!
66' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Theo Corbeanu makes no mistake. 1-5!
70' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Lorenzo Insigne is replaced by Matthew Longstaff.
75' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
76' The Montreal Impact FC manager makes a substitution. Luca Petrasso departs to be replaced by Prince-Osei Owusu.
80' It is a substitution in Toronto FC team. Kosi Thompson is replaced by Henry Wingo on 80 minute.
85' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
88' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Dante Sealy.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Toronto FC take all three points.

Lineups

Montreal Impact FC Lineups

Starting XI

17
Giacomo Vrioni
3
Tom Pearce ↓ Fernando Alvarez 34'
6
Samuel Piette
25
Dante Sealy
16
Joel Waterman
1
Sebastian Breza
23
Caden Clark ↓ Victor Loturi 34'
19
Nathan-Dylan Saliba ↓ Yuri Guboglo 48'
2
Jalen Neal ↓ Brandan Craig 58'
13
Luca Petrasso ↓ Prince-Osei Owusu 76'
27
Dawid Bugaj

Bench

Coach Marco Donadel

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Kevin Long ↓ Zane Monlouis 46'
10
Federico Bernardeschi
24
Lorenzo Insigne ↓ Matthew Longstaff 70'
1
Sean Johnson
17
Sigurd Rosted
9
Ola Brynhildsen ↓ Derrick Etienne 61'
6
Kosi Thompson ↓ Henry Wingo 80'
23
Maxime Dominguez
20
Deybi Flores
76
Lazar Stefanovic
16
Tyrese Spicer ↓ Theo Corbeanu 61'

Bench

Coach Robin Fraser

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Federico Bernardeschi	9
Jozy Altidore	3
Victor Wanyama	3
Ayo Akinola	3
Richie Laryea	3
Romell Quioto	3
Saphir Taider	2
Theo Corbeanu	2

Head to Head

Montreal Impact FC Form

2025-05-17 Montreal Impact FC 1–6 Toronto FC L 2025-05-14 Montreal Impact FC 1–1 Columbus Crew SC D 2025-05-10 New York City FC 0–1 Montreal Impact FC W 2025-05-03 Montreal Impact FC 1–2 Philadelphia Union L 2025-04-26 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Montreal Impact FC L 2025-04-19 Montreal Impact FC 0–0 Orlando City SC D

Toronto FC Form

2025-05-17 Montreal Impact FC 1–6 Toronto FC W 2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati L 2025-05-10 Toronto FC 2–0 D.C. United SC W 2025-05-03 Toronto FC 0–2 New England Revolution L 2025-04-26 Toronto FC 0–1 New York City FC L 2025-04-20 Real Salt Lake 0–1 Toronto FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.37 Montreal Impact FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.47 Toronto FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Montreal Impact FC24% Draw23% Toronto FC53%

Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.84

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	72%	28%
± 3.5	53%	47%
± 4.5	34%	66%

Double Chance

Montreal Impact FC or Draw

47%

Draw or Toronto FC

76%

Montreal Impact FC or Toronto FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Montreal Impact FC18% Draw37% Toronto FC45%

Actual: Toronto FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–6 not predicted

1 – 6

Actual

1 – 2

8.7%

1 – 1

8.1%

1 – 3

7.1%

0 – 2

6.6%

2 – 2

5.9%

0 – 3

5.3%

0 – 1

4.9%

2 – 1

4.9%

2 – 3

4.9%

1 – 4

4.4%

0 – 0

3.3%

0 – 4

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Montreal Impact FC

Handicap	Montreal Impact FC covers	Push	Toronto FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	6%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	11%	80%
-0.5	20%	—	80%
+0.5	40%	—	60%
+1	40%	20%	40%
+1.5	60%	—	40%
+2	60%	18%	22%
+2.5	78%	—	22%

Clean Sheet

Montreal Impact FC keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.