Thursday , 2 July 2026

Montreal Impact FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 17 May 2025 · 18:30 UTC Stade Saputo HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Toronto FC H 1–6 L
14 May Columbus Crew SC H 1–1 D
10 May New York City FC A 1–0 W
03 May Philadelphia Union H 1–2 L
26 Apr New York Red Bulls A 0–1 L
19 Apr Orlando City SC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Montreal Impact FC A 6–1 W
14 May FC Cincinnati H 0–1 L
10 May D.C. United SC H 2–0 W
03 May New England Revolution H 0–2 L
26 Apr New York City FC H 0–1 L
20 Apr Real Salt Lake A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Montreal Impact FC Toronto FC
#12 Position #11
14 Points 14
14 Played 14
4 / 2 / 8 W / D / L 3 / 5 / 6
22 Scored 22
31 Conceded 29
-9 GD -7
1.00 PPG 1.00
29% Win % 21%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
Montreal Impact FC this season
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

Montreal Impact FC are 12th (14 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Montreal Impact FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/1
61-75
/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Montreal Impact FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 9' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kosi Thompson on 9 minutes.
  • 14' Tyrese Spicer makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Toronto FC are in front.
  • 19' Toronto FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 21' Joel Waterman has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 21.
  • 26' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 30' Federico Bernardeschi is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 33' Ola Brynhildsen does the damage! The net is bulging and Toronto FC surge ahead!
  • 34' The Montreal Impact FC manager makes a substitution. Tom Pearce departs to be replaced by Fernando Alvarez.
  • 39' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Dante Sealy made 281 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 44' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Fernando Alvarez.
  • 46' Zane Monlouis is replacing Kevin Long for the Toronto FC side.
  • 48' Montreal Impact FC make a change. Nathan-Dylan Saliba trudges off to be replaced by Yuri Guboglo on 48 minutes.
  • 53' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 55' What a moment for Federico Bernardeschi! That strike on 55 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 57' Jalen Neal has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 57.
  • 58' Montreal Impact FC ring the changes. Jalen Neal has done his job and it is now time for Brandan Craig to step up.
  • 61' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Ola Brynhildsen is withdrawn and Derrick Etienne gets his opportunity.
  • 64' What composure from Giacomo Vrioni! The Albania international strokes it home. 1-4.
  • 66' What a moment for Theo Corbeanu! That strike on 66 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 70' A change in the Toronto FC ranks — Lorenzo Insigne exits the field as Matthew Longstaff enters on 70.
  • 75' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 76' Another change for Montreal Impact FC made on 76 minute. Luca Petrasso leaves to be changed by Prince-Osei Owusu.
  • 80' It is a substitution in Toronto FC team. Kosi Thompson is replaced by Henry Wingo on 80 minute.
  • 85' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Montreal Impact FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dante Sealy on 88.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Montreal Impact FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.66 Montreal Impact FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.71 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Montreal Impact FC26% Draw22% Toronto FC52%
Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 62%
38%
± 4.5 43%
57%

Double Chance

Montreal Impact FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Toronto FC
74%
Montreal Impact FC or Toronto FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Montreal Impact FC20% Draw35% Toronto FC45%
Actual: Toronto FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–6 not predicted
1 – 6
Actual
1 – 2
7.6%
1 – 3
6.7%
1 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 3
5.5%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 1
4.7%
1 – 4
4.6%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 4
3.8%
3 – 2
3.4%
0 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Montreal Impact FC

Handicap Montreal Impact FC covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 6% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 12% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 41% 59%
+1 41% 19% 40%
+1.5 60% 40%
+2 60% 17% 23%
+2.5 77% 23%

Clean Sheet

Montreal Impact FC keeps clean sheet
7%
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.