Montreal Impact FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Montreal Impact FC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Stade Saputo.
- Montreal Impact FC 27 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Toronto FC | H | 1–6 | L |
| 14 May | Columbus Crew SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | New York City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Apr | Orlando City SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Montreal Impact FC | A | 6–1 | W |
| 14 May | FC Cincinnati | H | 0–1 | L |
| 10 May | D.C. United SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 May | New England Revolution | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Apr | New York City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | Real Salt Lake | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Montreal Impact FC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #13 |
| 24 | Points | 29 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 6 / 6 / 15 | W / D / L | 6 / 11 / 10 |
| 34 | Scored | 39 |
| 54 | Conceded | 51 |
| -20 | GD | -12 |
| 0.89 | PPG | 1.07 |
| 22% | Win % | 22% |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Montreal Impact FC this season
Montreal Impact FC this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Montreal Impact FC are 15th (24 pts). Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Montreal Impact FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
4/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
4/5
61-75
2/7
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Montreal Impact FC
| Prince-Osei Owusu | 15 G | 5 A |
Toronto FC
| Daniel Salloi | 7 G | 5 A |
| Josh Sargent | 7 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Stade Saputo that hosts another battle between Montreal Impact FC and Toronto FC.
- 5' The travelling Toronto FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 9' The referee shows Toronto FC player a card on 9.
- 14' Toronto FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Tyrese Spicer on 14.
- 19' With 0 assists to his name this season, Henry Wingo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Toronto FC.
- 21' The referee calls foul for Joel Waterman. He receives a card.
- 26' Toronto FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 30' Assisted by Deybi Flores with the perfectly-timed delivery and Federico Bernardeschi makes no mistake. 0-2!
- 33' Goal! Ola Brynhildsen scores his 3 goal in 83 matches.
- 34' The Montreal Impact FC manager makes a substitution. Tom Pearce departs to be replaced by Fernando Alvarez.
- 39' Montreal Impact FC have won 383 goals from 288 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 44' It looks surprising Montreal Impact FC does not make any changes. Caden Clark has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 45' Fernando Alvarez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
- 46' Zane Monlouis is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kevin Long at the 46 minute mark.
- 48' Another substitution for Montreal Impact FC to replace Nathan-Dylan Saliba by Yuri Guboglo on 48 minute.
- 53' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 55' Magnificent from Federico Bernardeschi! That is 34 goals in 522 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 57' That looks like a foul for a card for Jalen Neal.
- 58' A tactical swap from Montreal Impact FC — Brandan Craig on, Jalen Neal off on 58 minutes.
- 61' Derrick Etienne has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ola Brynhildsen on 61 minute.
- 64' The Albania forward Giacomo Vrioni breaks the deadlock on 64 minutes. 1-4!
- 66' Theo Corbeanu doubles the advantage! 1-5 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 70' Toronto FC make a change. Lorenzo Insigne trudges off to be replaced by Matthew Longstaff on 70 minutes.
- 75' Over 75 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 76' Montreal Impact FC make a change. Luca Petrasso trudges off to be replaced by Prince-Osei Owusu on 76 minutes.
- 80' Another change for Toronto FC made on 80 minute. Kosi Thompson leaves to be changed by Henry Wingo.
- 85' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dante Sealy on 88.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-6.
Lineups
Montreal Impact FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
-
3
Tom Pearce ↓ Fernando Alvarez 34'
- 6
- 25
- 16
- 1
-
23
Caden Clark ↓ Victor Loturi 34'
- 19
-
2
Jalen Neal ↓ Brandan Craig 58'
- 13
- 27
Bench
-
9
Prince-Osei Owusu ↑ 76'
- 40
- 7
-
5
Brandan Craig ↑ 58'
- 28
-
4
Fernando Alvarez ↑ 34'
-
22
Victor Loturi ↑ 34'
-
39
Yuri Guboglo ↑ 48'
- 35
Coach
Marco Donadel
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
5
Kevin Long ↓ Zane Monlouis 46'
- 10
- 24
- 1
- 17
- 9
-
6
Kosi Thompson ↓ Henry Wingo 80'
- 23
- 20
- 76
-
16
Tyrese Spicer ↓ Theo Corbeanu 61'
Bench
-
11
Derrick Etienne ↑ 61'
-
2
Henry Wingo ↑ 80'
-
8
Matthew Longstaff ↑ 70'
-
7
Theo Corbeanu ↑ 61'
- 90
- 14
-
12
Zane Monlouis ↑ 46'
- 38
Coach
Robin Fraser
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Federico Bernardeschi | 9 |
| Ayo Akinola | 3 |
| Richie Laryea | 3 |
| Romell Quioto | 3 |
| Jozy Altidore | 3 |
| Victor Wanyama | 3 |
| Sebastian Giovinco | 2 |
| Ibrahim Sunusi | 2 |
Head to Head
Montreal Impact FC Form
2025-05-17
Montreal Impact FC
1–6
Toronto FC
L
2025-05-14
Montreal Impact FC
1–1
Columbus Crew SC
D
2025-05-10
New York City FC
0–1
Montreal Impact FC
W
2025-05-03
Montreal Impact FC
1–2
Philadelphia Union
L
2025-04-26
New York Red Bulls
1–0
Montreal Impact FC
L
2025-04-19
Montreal Impact FC
0–0
Orlando City SC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.37
Montreal Impact FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.56
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.93
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
Montreal Impact FC or Draw
46%
Draw or Toronto FC
77%
Montreal Impact FC or Toronto FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–6 not predicted1 – 6Actual
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 1
7.7%
1 – 3
7.2%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 3
5.4%
2 – 3
4.9%
0 – 1
4.7%
2 – 1
4.7%
1 – 4
4.6%
0 – 4
3.4%
2 – 4
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Montreal Impact FC
| Handicap | Montreal Impact FC covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 5% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 11% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +1 | 38% | 20% | 42% |
| +1.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +2 | 58% | 18% | 24% |
| +2.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
Clean Sheet
Montreal Impact FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

