Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Nashville SC

2 – 1

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Thu 15 May 2025 · 00:30 UTC Geodis Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 36' Omar Valencia

Y 73' Cameron Harper

Ahmed Qasem 80' Y

Y 83' Raheem Edwards

Sam Surridge 86' Y

Daniel Lovitz 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Geodis Park.

Nashville SC 34 games · 77 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Nashville SC 10 games · Avg 1.6 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-15 Nashville SC 2–1 New York Red Bulls 2025-03-02 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Nashville SC 2024-06-15 New York Red Bulls 0–0 Nashville SC 2024-02-25 Nashville SC 0–0 New York Red Bulls 2023-10-21 Nashville SC 0–1 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

Nashville SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	New York Red Bulls	H	2–1	W
11 May	Charlotte FC	H	2–1	W
03 May	Atlanta United FC	A	1–1	D
27 Apr	Chicago Fire FC	H	7–2	W
19 Apr	Seattle Sounders FC	A	0–3	L
13 Apr	Real Salt Lake	H	2–1	W

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	Nashville SC	A	1–2	L
10 May	Los Angeles Galaxy	H	7–0	W
03 May	Internacional CF Miami	A	1–4	L
26 Apr	Montreal Impact FC	H	1–0	W
19 Apr	D.C. United SC	H	1–2	L
12 Apr	Orlando City SC	A	0–0	D

Season Stats

Nashville SC		New York Red Bulls
#1	Position	#11
77	Points	42
34	Played	34
23 / 8 / 3	W / D / L	12 / 6 / 16
71	Scored	48
25	Conceded	62
+46	GD	-14
2.26	PPG	1.24
68%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season

24% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Nashville SC are 1st (77 pts). New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nashville SC

0-15

4/1

16-30

10/3

31-45

6/4

46-60

7/2

61-75

7/7

76+

16/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

7/7

16-30

4/3

31-45

8/7

46-60

7/10

61-75

4/6

76+

8/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nashville SC

Sam Surridge	21 G	1 A
Hany Mukhtar	16 G	8 A
Warren Madrigal	5 G	2 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	13 G	3 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	8 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to Geodis Park that hosts another battle between Nashville SC and New York Red Bulls.
5' The 22-year-old Mohammed Sofo has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
10' Raheem Edwards is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for New York Red Bulls tonight.
15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nashville SC that had 231 games and scored 341 goals.
25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
30' Daniel Edelman, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
34' Patrick Yazbek adds to his 1 season tally! Nashville SC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
36' New York Red Bulls receives a card for a hard tackle on 36.
41' Nashville SC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
46' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
47' The supporters are chanting for Raheem Edwards. He replaces Omar Valencia on 47 minute.
52' Cameron Harper has been relatively quiet despite scoring 13 goals in his last 429 appearances.
56' Magnificent from Maxim Choupo-Moting! That is 71 goals in 534 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
61' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
63' Hany Mukhtar puts Nashville SC on the lead.
65' Nashville SC ring the changes. Alex Muyl has done his job and it is now time for Ahmed Qasem to step up.
66' Nashville SC make a change. Andy Najar trudges off to be replaced by Josh Bauer on 66 minutes.
71' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nashville SC and New York Red Bulls are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
73' The referee calls foul for Cameron Harper. He receives a card.
74' The supporters are chanting for Julian Hall. He replaces Wikelmann Carmona on 74 minute.
75' Fresh legs for New York Red Bulls! Peter Stroud comes on to replace Mohammed Sofo.
78' The supporters are chanting for Christopher Applewhite. He replaces Jacob Shaffelburg on 78 minute.
80' Nashville SC receives a card for a hard tackle on 80.
82' A change in the New York Red Bulls ranks — Felipe Carballo exits the field as Wiktor Bogacz enters on 82.
83' Raheem Edwards is having his name booked by the referee on 83.
86' The referee has no hesitation. Sam Surridge is booked for Nashville SC — card on 86.
89' Nashville SC make a change. Hany Mukhtar trudges off to be replaced by Teal Bunbury on 89 minutes.
90' That is a card for Nashville SC. Daniel Lovitz will be fuming at that decision.
90' The crowd applauds Patrick Yazbek as he leaves the pitch. Bryan Acosta steps in for Nashville SC.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Nashville SC players.

Lineups

Nashville SC Lineups

Starting XI

9
Sam Surridge
19
Alex Muyl ↓ Ahmed Qasem 65'
1
Joe Willis
2
Daniel Lovitz
31
Andy Najar ↓ Josh Bauer 66'
10
Hany Mukhtar ↓ Teal Bunbury 89'
14
Jacob Shaffelburg ↓ Christopher Applewhite 78'
20
Edvard Tagseth
5
Jack Maher
8
Patrick Yazbek ↓ Bryan Acosta 90'
4
Jeisson Palacios

Bench

7
Gaston Brugman
6
Bryan Acosta ↑ 90'
12
Teal Bunbury ↑ 89'
24
Jonathan Perez
99
Brian Schwake
22
Josh Bauer ↑ 66'
33
Christopher Applewhite ↑ 78'
37
Ahmed Qasem ↑ 65'
28
Wyatt Meyer

Coach B.J. Callaghan

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

42
Alexander Hack ↑ 75'
26
Tim Parker
6
Kyle Duncan
44
Raheem Edwards ↑ 47'
1
AJ Marcucci
8
Peter Stroud ↑ 75'
16
Julian Hall ↑ 74'
22
Dennis Gjengaar
7
Wiktor Bogacz ↑ 82'

Coach Sandro Schwarz

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Hany Mukhtar	3
Fabio	2
Rafael Mosquera	1
Sam Surridge	1
Emil Forsberg	1
Mohammed Sofo	1
Maxim Choupo-Moting	1
Patrick Yazbek	1

Head to Head

Nashville SC Form

2025-05-15 Nashville SC 2–1 New York Red Bulls W 2025-05-11 Nashville SC 2–1 Charlotte FC W 2025-05-03 Atlanta United FC 1–1 Nashville SC D 2025-04-27 Nashville SC 7–2 Chicago Fire FC W 2025-04-19 Seattle Sounders FC 3–0 Nashville SC L 2025-04-13 Nashville SC 2–1 Real Salt Lake W

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-05-15 Nashville SC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2025-05-10 New York Red Bulls 7–0 Los Angeles Galaxy W 2025-05-03 Internacional CF Miami 4–1 New York Red Bulls L 2025-04-26 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Montreal Impact FC W 2025-04-19 New York Red Bulls 1–2 D.C. United SC L 2025-04-12 Orlando City SC 0–0 New York Red Bulls D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.28 Nashville SC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.79 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Nashville SC to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nashville SC65% Draw21% New York Red Bulls14%

Actual: Nashville SC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 3.07

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	58%	42%
± 3.5	36%	64%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

Nashville SC or Draw

86%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

35%

Nashville SC or New York Red Bulls

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nashville SC50% Draw40% New York Red Bulls10%

Actual: Nashville SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

12%

1 – 0

10.2%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

9.1%

3 – 0

8.9%

3 – 1

0 – 0

6.2%

4 – 0

4 – 1

4.1%

2 – 2

3.6%

1 – 2

3.2%

0 – 1

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Handicap	Nashville SC covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	26%	—	74%
-2	26%	21%	53%
-1.5	47%	—	53%
-1	47%	23%	30%
-0.5	70%	—	30%
+0.5	89%	—	11%
+1	89%	7%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet

46% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.