Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Nashville SC

2 – 1

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Thu 15 May 2025 · 00:30 UTC Geodis Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 36' Omar Valencia

Y 73' Cameron Harper

Ahmed Qasem 80' Y

Y 83' Raheem Edwards

Sam Surridge 86' Y

Daniel Lovitz 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Geodis Park.

Nashville SC 18 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Nashville SC 8 games · Avg 1.3 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-15 Nashville SC 2–1 New York Red Bulls 2025-03-02 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Nashville SC 2024-06-15 New York Red Bulls 0–0 Nashville SC 2024-02-25 Nashville SC 0–0 New York Red Bulls 2023-10-21 Nashville SC 0–1 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

Nashville SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	New York Red Bulls	H	2–1	W
11 May	Charlotte FC	H	2–1	W
03 May	Atlanta United FC	A	1–1	D
27 Apr	Chicago Fire FC	H	7–2	W
19 Apr	Seattle Sounders FC	A	0–3	L
13 Apr	Real Salt Lake	H	2–1	W

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	Nashville SC	A	1–2	L
10 May	Los Angeles Galaxy	H	7–0	W
03 May	Internacional CF Miami	A	1–4	L
26 Apr	Montreal Impact FC	H	1–0	W
19 Apr	D.C. United SC	H	1–2	L
12 Apr	Orlando City SC	A	0–0	D

Season Stats

Nashville SC		New York Red Bulls
#1	Position	#8
40	Points	25
18	Played	18
12 / 4 / 2	W / D / L	7 / 4 / 7
35	Scored	29
14	Conceded	39
+21	GD	-10
2.22	PPG	1.39
67%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

42% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season

16% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Nashville SC are 1st (40 pts). New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nashville SC

0-15

2/1

16-30

5/3

31-45

2/2

46-60

5/1

61-75

5/3

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/1

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

1/5

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nashville SC

Sam Surridge	10 G
Hany Mukhtar	6 G	4 A
Warren Madrigal	5 G	2 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	9 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Nashville SC gets underway.
5' Peter Stroud is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for New York Red Bulls so far.
10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
15' Nashville SC is showing some good football. However, Nashville SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nashville SC and New York Red Bulls are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
25' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Noah Eile suffering a number of foals already.
34' Patrick Yazbek adds to his 1 season tally! Nashville SC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
36' Poor challenge from Omar Valencia. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
41' Alexander Hack has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
46' Wiktor Bogacz, a Poland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
47' Omar Valencia makes way for Raheem Edwards at the 47 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York Red Bulls.
52' New York Red Bulls started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 52.
56' Brilliant from the ! Maxim Choupo-Moting makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 56.
61' Nashville SC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against New York Red Bulls's shape.
63' Hany Mukhtar puts Nashville SC on the lead.
65' Ahmed Qasem gets the nod from Nashville SC. He replaces Alex Muyl and will look to change the dynamic.
66' Nashville SC make a change. Andy Najar trudges off to be replaced by Josh Bauer on 66 minutes.
71' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nashville SC and New York Red Bulls are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
73' A moment of madness from Cameron Harper on 73 minutes earns him a card. New York Red Bulls will be frustrated.
74' A change in the New York Red Bulls ranks — Wikelmann Carmona exits the field as Julian Hall enters on 74.
75' Mohammed Sofo makes way for Peter Stroud at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York Red Bulls.
78' Fresh legs for Nashville SC! Christopher Applewhite comes on to replace Jacob Shaffelburg.
80' That looks like a foul for a card for Ahmed Qasem.
82' Wiktor Bogacz has so much to prove this time. He replaces Felipe Carballo on 82 minute.
83' The referee shows New York Red Bulls player a card on 83.
86' Sam Surridge catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 86.
89' The crowd applauds Hany Mukhtar as he leaves the pitch. Teal Bunbury steps in for Nashville SC.
90' Daniel Lovitz was booked on 90.
90' It is a substitution in Nashville SC team. Patrick Yazbek is replaced by Bryan Acosta on 90 minute.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for New York Red Bulls.

Lineups

Nashville SC Lineups

Starting XI

9
Sam Surridge
19
Alex Muyl ↓ Ahmed Qasem 65'
1
Joe Willis
2
Daniel Lovitz
31
Andy Najar ↓ Josh Bauer 66'
10
Hany Mukhtar ↓ Teal Bunbury 89'
14
Jacob Shaffelburg ↓ Christopher Applewhite 78'
20
Edvard Tagseth
5
Jack Maher
8
Patrick Yazbek ↓ Bryan Acosta 90'
4
Jeisson Palacios

Bench

7
Gaston Brugman
6
Bryan Acosta ↑ 90'
12
Teal Bunbury ↑ 89'
24
Jonathan Perez
99
Brian Schwake
22
Josh Bauer ↑ 66'
33
Christopher Applewhite ↑ 78'
37
Ahmed Qasem ↑ 65'
28
Wyatt Meyer

Coach B.J. Callaghan

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

42
Alexander Hack ↑ 75'
26
Tim Parker
6
Kyle Duncan
44
Raheem Edwards ↑ 47'
1
AJ Marcucci
8
Peter Stroud ↑ 75'
16
Julian Hall ↑ 74'
22
Dennis Gjengaar
7
Wiktor Bogacz ↑ 82'

Coach Sandro Schwarz

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Hany Mukhtar	3
Fabio	2
Maxim Choupo-Moting	1
Patrick Yazbek	1
John Tolkin	1
Kyle Duncan	1
Emil Forsberg	1
Mohammed Sofo	1

Head to Head

Nashville SC Form

2025-05-15 Nashville SC 2–1 New York Red Bulls W 2025-05-11 Nashville SC 2–1 Charlotte FC W 2025-05-03 Atlanta United FC 1–1 Nashville SC D 2025-04-27 Nashville SC 7–2 Chicago Fire FC W 2025-04-19 Seattle Sounders FC 3–0 Nashville SC L 2025-04-13 Nashville SC 2–1 Real Salt Lake W

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-05-15 Nashville SC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2025-05-10 New York Red Bulls 7–0 Los Angeles Galaxy W 2025-05-03 Internacional CF Miami 4–1 New York Red Bulls L 2025-04-26 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Montreal Impact FC W 2025-04-19 New York Red Bulls 1–2 D.C. United SC L 2025-04-12 Orlando City SC 0–0 New York Red Bulls D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.44 Nashville SC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.85 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Nashville SC to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nashville SC66% Draw20% New York Red Bulls14%

Actual: Nashville SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 3.29

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	41%	59%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

Nashville SC or Draw

86%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

34%

Nashville SC or New York Red Bulls

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nashville SC52% Draw38% New York Red Bulls10%

Actual: Nashville SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

11%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

8.8%

3 – 0

8.7%

1 – 1

8.5%

3 – 1

7.4%

4 – 0

5.3%

0 – 0

5.1%

4 – 1

4.6%

2 – 2

3.9%

1 – 2

3.2%

3 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Handicap	Nashville SC covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	28%	—	72%
-2	28%	21%	51%
-1.5	49%	—	51%
-1	49%	22%	29%
-0.5	71%	—	29%
+0.5	89%	—	11%
+1	89%	7%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet

43% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.