Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Geodis Park.
- Nashville SC 27 games · 60 pts (2026/26)
- New York Red Bulls 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | Charlotte FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | H | 7–2 | W |
| 19 Apr | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Apr | Real Salt Lake | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | Nashville SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 May | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 7–0 | W |
| 03 May | Internacional CF Miami | A | 1–4 | L |
| 26 Apr | Montreal Impact FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | D.C. United SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Orlando City SC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Nashville SC | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #10 |
| 60 | Points | 33 |
| 27 | Played | 26 |
| 18 / 6 / 3 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 11 |
| 55 | Scored | 34 |
| 21 | Conceded | 48 |
| +34 | GD | -14 |
| 2.22 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 67% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
22%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
48%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
23%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
Nashville SC are 1st (60 pts). New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nashville SC
0-15
3/1
16-30
7/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/6
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/6
46-60
5/8
61-75
2/6
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 16 G | 1 A |
| Hany Mukhtar | 13 G | 6 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 10 G | 2 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 7 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Nashville SC welcome New York Red Bulls for this crunch clash at Geodis Park.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 15' Nashville SC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nashville SC that had 220 games and scored 320 goals.
- 34' Magnificent from Patrick Yazbek! That is 3 goals in 215 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 36' That looks like a foul for a card for Omar Valencia.
- 41' With 0 assists to his name this season, Omar Valencia is clearly more than just a goal scorer for New York Red Bulls.
- 46' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 47' Omar Valencia makes way for Raheem Edwards at the 47 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York Red Bulls.
- 52' Felipe Carballo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 56' What a moment for Maxim Choupo-Moting! That strike on 56 puts his side firmly in control.
- 61' Nashville SC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined New York Red Bulls backline.
- 63' What a moment for Hany Mukhtar! That strike on 63 puts his side firmly in control.
- 65' The crowd applauds Alex Muyl as he leaves the pitch. Ahmed Qasem steps in for Nashville SC.
- 66' The supporters are chanting for Josh Bauer. He replaces Andy Najar on 66 minute.
- 71' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Noah Eile made 248 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 73' Controversy at the stadium! Cameron Harper argues furiously but the card stands.
- 74' Time for substitution for New York Red Bulls. Wikelmann Carmona is replaced by Julian Hall.
- 75' Peter Stroud has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mohammed Sofo on 75 minute.
- 78' Fresh legs for Nashville SC! Christopher Applewhite comes on to replace Jacob Shaffelburg.
- 80' A moment of madness from Ahmed Qasem on 80 minutes earns him a card. Nashville SC will be frustrated.
- 82' Time for substitution for New York Red Bulls. Felipe Carballo is replaced by Wiktor Bogacz.
- 83' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Raheem Edwards on 83 minutes.
- 86' Poor challenge from Sam Surridge. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 89' Hany Mukhtar makes way for Teal Bunbury at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nashville SC.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Daniel Lovitz on 90.
- 90' The whistle greets Patrick Yazbek as he departs to be replaced by Bryan Acosta.
- With this win, Nashville SC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
-
19
Alex Muyl ↓ Ahmed Qasem 65'
- 1
- 2
-
31
Andy Najar ↓ Josh Bauer 66'
-
10
Hany Mukhtar ↓ Teal Bunbury 89'
- 14
- 20
- 5
-
8
Patrick Yazbek ↓ Bryan Acosta 90'
- 4
Bench
- 7
-
6
Bryan Acosta ↑ 90'
-
12
Teal Bunbury ↑ 89'
- 24
- 99
-
22
Josh Bauer ↑ 66'
-
33
Christopher Applewhite ↑ 78'
-
37
Ahmed Qasem ↑ 65'
- 28
Coach
B.J. Callaghan
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
- 13
- 10
- 15
- 3
- 17
- 31
-
75
Daniel Edelman ↓ Alexander Hack 75'
-
19
Wikelmann Carmona ↓ Julian Hall 74'
-
20
Felipe Carballo ↓ Wiktor Bogacz 82'
-
5
Omar Valencia ↓ Raheem Edwards 47'
-
37
Mohammed Sofo ↓ Peter Stroud 75'
Bench
-
42
Alexander Hack ↑ 75'
- 26
- 6
-
44
Raheem Edwards ↑ 47'
- 1
-
8
Peter Stroud ↑ 75'
-
16
Julian Hall ↑ 74'
- 22
-
7
Wiktor Bogacz ↑ 82'
Coach
Sandro Schwarz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hany Mukhtar | 3 |
| Fabio | 2 |
| Emil Forsberg | 1 |
| Mohammed Sofo | 1 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 1 |
| Patrick Yazbek | 1 |
| John Tolkin | 1 |
| Kyle Duncan | 1 |
Head to Head
Nashville SC Form
New York Red Bulls Form
2025-05-15
Nashville SC
2–1
New York Red Bulls
L
2025-05-10
New York Red Bulls
7–0
Los Angeles Galaxy
W
2025-05-03
Internacional CF Miami
4–1
New York Red Bulls
L
2025-04-26
New York Red Bulls
1–0
Montreal Impact FC
W
2025-04-19
New York Red Bulls
1–2
D.C. United SC
L
2025-04-12
Orlando City SC
0–0
New York Red Bulls
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.27
Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78
New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for:
Nashville SC to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Nashville SC or Draw
86%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
35%
Nashville SC or New York Red Bulls
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12%
1 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
8.9%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
6.2%
4 – 0
5%
4 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 2
3.2%
0 – 1
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Nashville SC
| Handicap | Nashville SC covers | Push | New York Red Bulls covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -2 | 26% | 21% | 53% |
| -1.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| -1 | 47% | 23% | 30% |
| -0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 7% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
46%
✓
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

