Toronto FC vs Nashville SC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
- Nashville SC 18 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun | Nashville SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | Chicago Fire FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 27 May | D.C. United SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 May | Austin FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 May | New York Red Bulls | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Jun | FC Dallas | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 May | Columbus Crew SC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 20 May | Charlotte FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 18 May | Internacional CF Miami | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 May | D.C. United SC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #1 |
| 17 | Points | 40 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 3 / 8 / 7 | W / D / L | 12 / 4 / 2 |
| 24 | Scored | 35 |
| 32 | Conceded | 14 |
| -8 | GD | +21 |
| 0.94 | PPG | 2.22 |
| 17% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
42%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
5/1
61-75
5/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 10 G | |
| Hany Mukhtar | 6 G | 4 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Toronto FC welcome Nashville SC for this crunch clash at BMO Field.
- 5' Taylor Washington is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nashville SC tonight.
- 10' The 28-year-old Josh Bauer has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nashville SC that had 215 games and scored 309 goals.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 25' Toronto FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Nashville SC's 4-1-2-1-2 shape.
- 27' A tactical swap from Nashville SC — Josh Bauer on, Lukas MacNaughton off on 27 minutes.
- 32' Daniel Lovitz, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 35' Josh Bauer was booked on 35.
- 38' Brilliant from the ! Lorenzo Insigne makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 38.
- 43' Toronto FC currently sit 22 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 48' Hany Mukhtar has been relatively quiet despite scoring 93 goals in his last 17 appearances.
- 53' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 58' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toronto FC and Nashville SC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 63' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 67' Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty gets the nod from Toronto FC. He replaces Deandre Kerr and will look to change the dynamic.
- 69' GOAL! Randall Leal fires home to make it 1-1!
- 72' Aime Mabika catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 72.
- 74' Anibal Godoy has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dax McCarty on 74 minute.
- 75' Taylor Washington gets the nod from Nashville SC. He replaces Sean Davis and will look to change the dynamic.
- 80' Toronto FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 81' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Brandon Servania is hanging Mark-Anthony Kaye on the field on 81 minute.
- 86' Teal Bunbury has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 17 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 90' The crowd applauds Jonathan Osorio as he leaves the pitch. Kosi Thompson steps in for Toronto FC.
- 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 24
- 9
-
21
Jonathan Osorio ↓ Kosi Thompson 90'
- 14
- 28
- 1
- 22
- 6
- 29
- 19
Bench
-
23
Brandon Servania ↑ 81'
- 20
- 17
- 27
- 3
-
7
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty ↑ 67'
- 30
- 77
-
47
Kosi Thompson ↑ 90'
Nashville SC Lineups
4-1-2-1-2Starting XI
- 18
- 12
-
54
Sean Davis ↓ Taylor Washington 75'
- 19
- 1
-
6
Dax McCarty ↓ Anibal Godoy 74'
- 2
- 10
- 14
- 5
-
3
Lukas MacNaughton ↓ Josh Bauer 27'
Bench
- 11
-
20
Anibal Godoy ↑ 74'
- 7
- 8
- 24
-
23
Taylor Washington ↑ 75'
- 27
- 30
-
22
Josh Bauer ↑ 27'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sam Surridge | 5 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 4 |
| Omar Gonzalez | 2 |
| Lorenzo Insigne | 2 |
| Teal Bunbury | 2 |
| Hany Mukhtar | 2 |
| Luke Haakenson | 2 |
| Shaq Moore | 1 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.98
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6
Nashville SC xG
I would bet for:
Toronto FC or Nashville SC 72%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Nashville SC
72%
Toronto FC or Nashville SC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Toronto FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
11.2%
0 – 0
9.6%
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 2
9.2%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
5%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | Nashville SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 23% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

