Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sun 27 Apr 2025 · 00:30 UTC Geodis Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Chicago Fire FC H 7–2 W
19 Apr Seattle Sounders FC A 0–3 L
13 Apr Real Salt Lake H 2–1 W
05 Apr Charlotte FC A 1–2 L
30 Mar FC Cincinnati H 1–2 L
23 Mar Montreal Impact FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Nashville SC A 2–7 L
20 Apr FC Cincinnati H 2–3 L
13 Apr Internacional CF Miami H 0–0 D
05 Apr New York Red Bulls A 1–2 L
30 Mar Montreal Impact FC H 1–1 D
23 Mar Vancouver Whitecaps FC A 3–1 W

Season Stats

Nashville SC Chicago Fire FC
#1 Position #3
33 Points 26
14 Played 14
10 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 8 / 2 / 4
31 Scored 27
11 Conceded 16
+20 GD +11
2.36 PPG 1.86
71% Win % 57%

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

Nashville SC are 1st (33 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 3rd (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
/1
46-60
3/
61-75
3/2
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
3/
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.71 Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Nashville SC to win 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nashville SC67% Draw18% Chicago Fire FC15%
Actual: Nashville SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Nashville SC or Draw
86%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
33%
Nashville SC or Chicago Fire FC
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nashville SC52% Draw35% Chicago Fire FC13%
Actual: Nashville SC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 7–2 not predicted
7 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
7.8%
1 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
5.9%
4 – 1
5.3%
4 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
3.6%
0 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Handicap Nashville SC covers Push Chicago Fire FC covers
-2.5 30% 70%
-2 30% 20% 50%
-1.5 50% 50%
-1 50% 20% 30%
-0.5 70% 30%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 8% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
34%
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.