Nashville SC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Nissan Stadium.
- Nashville SC 18 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr | Toronto FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Apr | Orlando City SC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Mar | FC Cincinnati | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Mar | New England Revolution | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Mar | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr | Nashville SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Apr | Charlotte FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Mar | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | H | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | Columbus Crew SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Mar | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Nashville SC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #12 |
| 40 | Points | 17 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 12 / 4 / 2 | W / D / L | 3 / 8 / 7 |
| 35 | Scored | 24 |
| 14 | Conceded | 32 |
| +21 | GD | -8 |
| 2.22 | PPG | 0.94 |
| 67% | Win % | 17% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
42%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Nashville SC are 1st (40 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
5/1
61-75
5/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 10 G | |
| Hany Mukhtar | 6 G | 4 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Nashville SC and Toronto FC get this one started.
- 5' Nashville SC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Toronto FC backline.
- 10' Sean Johnson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nashville SC so far.
- 15' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 20' Nashville SC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Toronto FC's 4-3-3 shape.
- 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gary Smith might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 30' It looks surprising Toronto FC does not make any changes. Jacob Shaffelburg has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 34' Poor challenge from Fafa Picault. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 37' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Raoul Petretta on 37 minutes.
- 42' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 44' Poor challenge from Jonathan Osorio. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 46' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Matt Hedges is replaced by Lukas MacNaughton.
- 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 56' Lukas MacNaughton has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 284 appearances.
- 61' A quiet spell here at Nissan Stadium. Toronto FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 64' A change in the Toronto FC ranks — Deandre Kerr exits the field as Ayo Akinola enters on 64.
- 68' A tactical swap from Nashville SC — Teal Bunbury on, Charles Sapong off on 68 minutes.
- 73' It is a cagey affair so far. Nashville SC in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Toronto FC's compact 4-3-3.
- 78' The 27-year-old Brandon Servania has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 83' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nashville SC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 88' Toronto FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Nashville SC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 18
- 20
-
54
Sean Davis ↓ Dax McCarty 68'
- 1
- 7
- 25
- 2
- 10
- 14
- 5
-
17
Charles Sapong ↓ Teal Bunbury 68'
Bench
-
12
Teal Bunbury ↑ 68'
- 19
-
6
Dax McCarty ↑ 68'
- 24
- 23
- 27
- 30
- 26
- 22
Coach
Gary Smith
Toronto FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 10
-
2
Matt Hedges ↓ Lukas MacNaughton 46'
- 23
- 4
- 21
- 14
- 28
- 1
- 17
- 22
-
29
Deandre Kerr ↓ Ayo Akinola 64'
Bench
-
20
Ayo Akinola ↑ 64'
- 27
- 7
- 30
- 77
-
5
Lukas MacNaughton ↑ 46'
- 47
- 19
-
52
Alonso Coello Camarero ↑ 64'
Coach
Bob Bradley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sam Surridge | 5 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 4 |
| Luke Haakenson | 2 |
| Omar Gonzalez | 2 |
| Lorenzo Insigne | 2 |
| Teal Bunbury | 2 |
| Hany Mukhtar | 2 |
| Randall Leal | 1 |
Head to Head
Nashville SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.67
Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 57% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Nashville SC or Draw
80%
Draw or Toronto FC
47%
Nashville SC or Toronto FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.9%
2 – 0
12%
1 – 1
11.9%
0 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9%
3 – 0
6.5%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
2.7%
0 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Nashville SC
| Handicap | Nashville SC covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 18% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 25% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 11% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

