Saturday , 22 August 2026

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
Fri 10 Apr 2026 · 16:30 UTC Merkur Spiel-Arena 49,500 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 50' Phil Harres
Cedric Itten 71' 1–1
1–2 79' Ivan Nekic

Overview

Match Preview

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga at Merkur Spiel-Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Assistant 1 Jonas Weickenmeier
  • Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–2 L
04 Apr 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 0–3 L
22 Mar Hertha BSC H 2–5 L
14 Mar Eintracht Braunschweig A 0–1 L
07 Mar 1. FC Nurnberg A 1–0 W
27 Feb VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf A 2–1 W
05 Apr SC Preussen Munster H 0–0 D
22 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 A 3–2 W
14 Mar 1. FC Nurnberg H 2–3 L
07 Mar SV Darmstadt 98 A 0–2 L
28 Feb SV 07 Elversberg H 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Merkur Spiel-Arena will turn into a battlefield for TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf and Holstein Kiel.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 7' Fresh legs for Holstein Kiel! Marko Ivezic comes on to replace John Tolkin.
  • 10' The referee shows Holstein Kiel player a card on 10.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 16' Marin Ljubicic gets the nod from TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf. He replaces Christian Rasmussen and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 21' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 24' That is a card for Holstein Kiel. Umut Tohumcu will be fuming at that decision.
  • 26' Florent Muslija was booked on 26.
  • 31' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 36' Ivan Nekic has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 41' It looks surprising Holstein Kiel does not make any changes. Niklas Niehoff has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 44' That is a card for Holstein Kiel. Steven Skrzybski will be fuming at that decision.
  • 49' With 0 assists to his name this season, Anouar El Azzouzi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf.
  • 50' Phil Harres makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Holstein Kiel are in front.
  • 55' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 60' The supporters are chanting for Jonas Therkelsen. He replaces Steven Skrzybski on 60 minute.
  • 61' Luca Raimund makes way for Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf.
  • 65' The supporters are chanting for Jordi Paulina. He replaces Florent Muslija on 65 minute.
  • 70' Luca Raimund is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Holstein Kiel so far.
  • 71' Cedric Itten has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 71 minutes.
  • 76' Jesper Daland needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 79' The Croatia Ivan Nekic breaks the deadlock on 79 minutes. 0-3!
  • 84' Over 84 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 89' Both keepers have barely been tested. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf and Holstein Kiel are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 90' That is a card for Holstein Kiel. Adrian Kapralik will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' Frederik Roslyng has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ikem Ugoh on 90 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Holstein Kiel players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.25 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Holstein Kiel 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf31% Draw28% Holstein Kiel41%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Draw
58%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
69%
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Holstein Kiel
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf23% Draw46% Holstein Kiel31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.6%
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

Handicap TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 17% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 21% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
23%
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.