Thursday , 2 July 2026

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
Fri 10 Apr 2026 · 16:30 UTC Merkur Spiel-Arena 49,500 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 50' Phil Harres
Cedric Itten 71' 1–1
1–2 79' Ivan Nekic

Overview

Match Preview

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga at Merkur Spiel-Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Assistant 1 Jonas Weickenmeier
  • Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
20 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 5.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–2 L
04 Apr 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 0–3 L
22 Mar Hertha BSC H 2–5 L
14 Mar Eintracht Braunschweig A 0–1 L
07 Mar 1. FC Nurnberg A 1–0 W
27 Feb VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf A 2–1 W
05 Apr SC Preussen Munster H 0–0 D
22 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 A 3–2 W
14 Mar 1. FC Nurnberg H 2–3 L
07 Mar SV Darmstadt 98 A 0–2 L
28 Feb SV 07 Elversberg H 1–1 D

Season Stats

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Holstein Kiel
#17 Position #12
37 Points 41
34 Played 34
11 / 4 / 19 W / D / L 11 / 8 / 15
33 Scored 44
53 Conceded 48
-20 GD -4
1.09 PPG 1.21
32% Win % 32%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf this season
26% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are 17th (37 pts). Holstein Kiel are 12th (41 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/1
76+
/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Holstein Kiel
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf and Holstein Kiel is underway.
  • 5' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 7' It is a substitution in Holstein Kiel team. John Tolkin is replaced by Marko Ivezic on 7 minute.
  • 10' It’s gonna be a card for Jonas Meffert.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Holstein Kiel winning 100% of all matches.
  • 16' The whistle greets Christian Rasmussen as he departs to be replaced by Marin Ljubicic.
  • 21' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Holstein Kiel needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 24' Holstein Kiel player sees a card in front of him.
  • 26' It’s a booking for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf player. Florent Muslija gets a card.
  • 31' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 36' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 41' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 44' Steven Skrzybski is having his name booked by the referee on 44.
  • 49' John Tolkin has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 50' Phil Harres puts Holstein Kiel on the lead.
  • 55' It looks surprising TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf does not make any changes. Ikem Ugoh has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 60' The whistle greets Steven Skrzybski as he departs to be replaced by Jonas Therkelsen.
  • 61' The TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf manager makes a substitution. Luca Raimund departs to be replaced by Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson.
  • 65' Jordi Paulina has so much to prove this time. He replaces Florent Muslija on 65 minute.
  • 70' It’s high time Tim Walter made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 71' What a strike from Cedric Itten! The score is 1-1.
  • 76' Tim Oberdorf needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 79' Goal! Ivan Nekic scores his 1 goal in 277 matches.
  • 84' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Florent Muslija suffering a number of foals already.
  • 89' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shinta Appelkamp made 302 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Adrian Kapralik.
  • 90' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Ikem Ugoh by Frederik Roslyng on 90 minute.
  • The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.14 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.65 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf27% Draw27% Holstein Kiel46%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Draw
54%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
73%
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Holstein Kiel
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf20% Draw46% Holstein Kiel34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
8.2%
0 – 0
8%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
5.1%
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

Handicap TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 15% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 22% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
20%
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.