TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga at Merkur Spiel-Arena.
- TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 34 games · 37 pts (2025/26)
- Holstein Kiel 34 games · 41 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
- Assistant 1 Jonas Weickenmeier
- Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
20 games this season
🟨 1.0/game
⚽ 5.6 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preussen Munster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr | Holstein Kiel | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Mar | Hertha BSC | H | 2–5 | L |
| 14 Mar | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Mar | 1. FC Nurnberg | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Feb | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | SC Preussen Munster | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Mar | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 3–2 | W |
| 14 Mar | 1. FC Nurnberg | H | 2–3 | L |
| 07 Mar | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Feb | SV 07 Elversberg | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | Holstein Kiel | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #12 |
| 37 | Points | 41 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 11 / 4 / 19 | W / D / L | 11 / 8 / 15 |
| 33 | Scored | 44 |
| 53 | Conceded | 48 |
| -20 | GD | -4 |
| 1.09 | PPG | 1.21 |
| 32% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf this season
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf this season
26%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are 17th (37 pts). Holstein Kiel are 12th (41 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/1
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Holstein Kiel
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf and Holstein Kiel is underway.
- 5' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 7' It is a substitution in Holstein Kiel team. John Tolkin is replaced by Marko Ivezic on 7 minute.
- 10' It’s gonna be a card for Jonas Meffert.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Holstein Kiel winning 100% of all matches.
- 16' The whistle greets Christian Rasmussen as he departs to be replaced by Marin Ljubicic.
- 21' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Holstein Kiel needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 24' Holstein Kiel player sees a card in front of him.
- 26' It’s a booking for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf player. Florent Muslija gets a card.
- 31' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 36' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 41' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 44' Steven Skrzybski is having his name booked by the referee on 44.
- 49' John Tolkin has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 50' Phil Harres puts Holstein Kiel on the lead.
- 55' It looks surprising TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf does not make any changes. Ikem Ugoh has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 60' The whistle greets Steven Skrzybski as he departs to be replaced by Jonas Therkelsen.
- 61' The TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf manager makes a substitution. Luca Raimund departs to be replaced by Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson.
- 65' Jordi Paulina has so much to prove this time. He replaces Florent Muslija on 65 minute.
- 70' It’s high time Tim Walter made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 71' What a strike from Cedric Itten! The score is 1-1.
- 76' Tim Oberdorf needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 79' Goal! Ivan Nekic scores his 1 goal in 277 matches.
- 84' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Florent Muslija suffering a number of foals already.
- 89' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shinta Appelkamp made 302 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Adrian Kapralik.
- 90' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Ikem Ugoh by Frederik Roslyng on 90 minute.
- The final score is 1-2.
Lineups
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 24
- 33
- 13
- 16
- 23
- 2
- 15
- 10
- 44
- 8
- 7
Bench
- 5
- 12
- 6
- 11
- 1
- 14
- 20
- 27
- 29
Coach
Markus Anfang
Holstein Kiel Lineups
4-5-1Starting XI
- 28
- 7
- 1
-
47
John Tolkin ↓ Marko Ivezic 7'
- 20
-
8
Umut Tohumcu ↓ Niklas Niehoff 90'
- 19
- 23
- 26
- 13
-
49
Ikem Ugoh ↓ Frederik Roslyng 90'
Bench
- 22
- 21
-
6
Marko Ivezic ↑ 7'
-
29
Niklas Niehoff ↑ 90'
- 25
-
10
Jonas Therkelsen ↑ 60'
- 43
-
2
Frederik Roslyng ↑ 90'
- 40
Coach
Tim Walter
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Cedric Itten | 1 |
| Phil Harres | 1 |
| Ivan Nekic | 1 |
| Lewis Holtby | 1 |
| Christos Tzolis | 1 |
| Benedikt Pichler | 1 |
Head to Head
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Form
2026-04-10
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
1–2
Holstein Kiel
L
2026-04-04
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3–0
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
L
2026-03-22
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
2–5
Hertha BSC
L
2026-03-14
Eintracht Braunschweig
1–0
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
L
2026-03-07
1. FC Nurnberg
0–1
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
W
2026-02-27
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
2–1
VfL Bochum 1848
W
Holstein Kiel Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.14
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.65
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Draw
54%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
73%
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Holstein Kiel
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
8.2%
0 – 0
8%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
5.1%
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
| Handicap | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 22% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

