Friday , 9 October 2026

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
Fri 10 Apr 2026 · 16:30 UTC Merkur Spiel-Arena 49,500 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 50' Phil Harres
Cedric Itten 71' 1–1
1–2 79' Ivan Nekic

Overview

Match Preview

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga at Merkur Spiel-Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Assistant 1 Jonas Weickenmeier
  • Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
3 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 28.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–2 L
04 Apr 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 0–3 L
22 Mar Hertha BSC H 2–5 L
14 Mar Eintracht Braunschweig A 0–1 L
07 Mar 1. FC Nurnberg A 1–0 W
27 Feb VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Apr TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf A 2–1 W
05 Apr SC Preußen Münster H 0–0 D
22 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 A 3–2 W
14 Mar 1. FC Nurnberg H 2–3 L
07 Mar SV Darmstadt 98 A 0–2 L
28 Feb SV 07 Elversberg H 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
Phil Harres 4 G 2 A
Guillermo Balzi 1 G
Jonas Therkelsen 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf launch into their encounter with Holstein Kiel.
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 7' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 7 minute. John Tolkin leaves to be changed by Marko Ivezic.
  • 10' The referee has no hesitation. Jonas Meffert is booked for Holstein Kiel — card on 10.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf and Holstein Kiel are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 16' It is a substitution in TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf team. Christian Rasmussen is replaced by Marin Ljubicic on 16 minute.
  • 21' named a 3-1-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-5-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 24' It’s a booking for Holstein Kiel player. Umut Tohumcu gets a card.
  • 26' It’s a booking for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf player. Florent Muslija gets a card.
  • 31' The 22-year-old Umut Tohumcu has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 36' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 41' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 44' Steven Skrzybski is having his name booked by the referee on 44.
  • 49' Holstein Kiel are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 50' Phil Harres does the damage! The net is bulging and Holstein Kiel surge ahead!
  • 55' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Holstein Kiel that had 284 games and scored 180 goals.
  • 60' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 60 minute. Steven Skrzybski leaves to be changed by Jonas Therkelsen.
  • 61' Time for substitution for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf. Luca Raimund is replaced by Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson.
  • 65' Fresh legs for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf! Jordi Paulina comes on to replace Florent Muslija.
  • 70' The home supporters are growing impatient. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 71' What a strike from Cedric Itten! The score is 0-2.
  • 76' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marko Ivezic suffering a number of foals already.
  • 79' A goal from the Croatia international Ivan Nekic! He fires home on 79 to make it 0-3!
  • 84' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 89' TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Holstein Kiel player. Adrian Kapralik gets a card.
  • 90' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 90 minute. Ikem Ugoh leaves to be changed by Frederik Roslyng.
  • 1-2 the final result. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.25 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Holstein Kiel 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf31% Draw28% Holstein Kiel41%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Draw
58%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
69%
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Holstein Kiel
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf23% Draw46% Holstein Kiel31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.6%
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

Handicap TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 17% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 21% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.