Thursday , 2 July 2026

St. Mirren FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 21 Sep 2024 · 14:00 UTC The SMISA Stadium 7,341 HT 45' · FT 45'
Gerald Taylor og 8' 2–1
2–1 18' Craig Halkett
Toyosi Olusanya 34' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

St. Mirren FC vs Heart of Midlothian FCPremier League at The SMISA Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Don Robertson
  • Assistant 1 Jonathan Bell (Scotland)
  • Assistant 2 Graham McNeillie

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep Heart of Midlothian FC H 2–1 W
14 Sep Kilmarnock FC H 2–2 D
31 Aug Dundee FC A 2–2 D
25 Aug Celtic FC H 0–3 L
11 Aug Aberdeen FC A 1–3 L
04 Aug Hibernian FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep St. Mirren FC A 1–2 L
14 Sep Celtic FC A 0–2 L
01 Sep Dundee United FC H 0–1 L
25 Aug Motherwell FC A 1–3 L
10 Aug Dundee FC A 1–3 L
03 Aug Rangers FC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

St. Mirren FC Heart of Midlothian FC
#10 Position #1
30 Points 70
33 Played 33
7 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 21 / 7 / 5
27 Scored 58
48 Conceded 28
-21 GD +30
0.91 PPG 2.12
21% Win % 64%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.19 St. Mirren FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.54 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: St. Mirren FC or Heart of Midlothian FC 74% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
St. Mirren FC36% Draw26% Heart of Midlothian FC38%
Actual: St. Mirren FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

St. Mirren FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
64%
St. Mirren FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
St. Mirren FC22% Draw46% Heart of Midlothian FC32%
Actual: St. Mirren FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
9.1%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 0
8.4%
0 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — St. Mirren FC

Handicap St. Mirren FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 16% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 21% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
22%
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.