St. Mirren FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2023-24 CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND

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Premier League · 2023-24

St. Mirren FC

2 – 2

Full Time

Heart of Midlothian FC

Wed 15 May 2024 · 18:45 UTC The SMISA Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

James Scott 7' 1–0

1–1 20' Kyosuke Tagawa

James Bolton 65' 2–1

2–2 73' Lawrence Shankland

Overview

Match Preview

St. Mirren FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at The SMISA Stadium.

St. Mirren FC 33 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Heart of Midlothian FC 33 games · 70 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee William Collum
Assistant 1 Alastair Mather
Assistant 2 Graham McNeillie

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Heart of Midlothian FC	33	70
2	Rangers FC	33	69
3	Celtic FC	33	67
4	Motherwell FC	33	54
5	Hibernian FC	33	51
6	Falkirk FC	33	46
7	Dundee United FC	33	40
8	Aberdeen FC	33	33
9	Dundee FC	33	33
10	St. Mirren FC	33	30
11	Kilmarnock FC	33	28
12	Livingston FC	33	16

Head-to-Head

St. Mirren FC 23 games · Avg 2.7 goals Heart of Midlothian FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-15 St. Mirren FC 2–2 Heart of Midlothian FC 2024-04-06 St. Mirren FC 1–2 Heart of Midlothian FC 2023-12-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–0 St. Mirren FC 2023-09-23 St. Mirren FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2023-05-13 St. Mirren FC 2–2 Heart of Midlothian FC

Recent Form

St. Mirren FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	Heart of Midlothian FC	H	2–2	D
11 May	Kilmarnock FC	H	0–1	L
04 May	Dundee FC	A	3–1	W
28 Apr	Rangers FC	H	1–2	L
13 Apr	Celtic FC	A	0–3	L
06 Apr	Heart of Midlothian FC	H	1–2	L

Heart of Midlothian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	St. Mirren FC	A	2–2	D
11 May	Dundee FC	H	3–0	W
04 May	Celtic FC	A	0–3	L
27 Apr	Kilmarnock FC	A	0–0	D
13 Apr	Livingston FC	H	4–2	W
06 Apr	St. Mirren FC	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

St. Mirren FC		Heart of Midlothian FC
#10	Position	#1
30	Points	70
33	Played	33
7 / 9 / 17	W / D / L	21 / 7 / 5
27	Scored	58
48	Conceded	28
-21	GD	+30
0.91	PPG	2.12
21%	Win %	64%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)

43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at The SMISA Stadium. St. Mirren FC are looking to make home advantage count against Heart of Midlothian FC.
7' Goal! James Scott scores his 14 goal in 293 matches.
20' The Japan Kyosuke Tagawa breaks the deadlock on 20 minutes. 1-1!
65' James Bolton doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
73' A goal from the Scotland international Lawrence Shankland! He fires home on 73 to make it 2-2!
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

St. Mirren FC Lineups

3-4-3

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

3-5-2

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Steven Naismith	4
Lawrence Shankland	4
Ryan Strain	3
Steven Naismith	3
Robert Snodgrass	2
Joe Shaughnessy	2
James Wilson	2
Adam Hammill	2

Head to Head

St. Mirren FC Form

2024-05-15 St. Mirren FC 2–2 Heart of Midlothian FC D 2024-05-11 St. Mirren FC 0–1 Kilmarnock FC L 2024-05-04 Dundee FC 1–3 St. Mirren FC W 2024-04-28 St. Mirren FC 1–2 Rangers FC L 2024-04-13 Celtic FC 3–0 St. Mirren FC L 2024-04-06 St. Mirren FC 1–2 Heart of Midlothian FC L

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2024-05-15 St. Mirren FC 2–2 Heart of Midlothian FC D 2024-05-11 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–0 Dundee FC W 2024-05-04 Celtic FC 3–0 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2024-04-27 Kilmarnock FC 0–0 Heart of Midlothian FC D 2024-04-13 Heart of Midlothian FC 4–2 Livingston FC W 2024-04-06 St. Mirren FC 1–2 Heart of Midlothian FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

0.96 St. Mirren FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.66 Heart of Midlothian FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

St. Mirren FC24% Draw28% Heart of Midlothian FC48%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.62

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

St. Mirren FC or Draw

52%

Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC

76%

St. Mirren FC or Heart of Midlothian FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

St. Mirren FC17% Draw47% Heart of Midlothian FC36%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.5%

0 – 1

11.2%

0 – 2

9.8%

1 – 2

9.3%

0 – 0

9.3%

1 – 0

2 – 1

5.4%

0 – 3

5.3%

1 – 3

5.2%

2 – 2

Actual

2 – 0

3.3%

2 – 3

2.6%

Asian Handicap — St. Mirren FC

Handicap	St. Mirren FC covers	Push	Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	5%	93%
-1.5	7%	—	93%
-1	7%	13%	79%
-0.5	21%	—	79%
+0.5	48%	—	52%
+1	48%	23%	29%
+1.5	71%	—	29%
+2	71%	16%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.