Sunday , 16 August 2026

Spezia Calcio vs Frosinone Calcio, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
Sun 15 Feb 2026 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Frosinone Calcio H 0–2 L
11 Feb SSC Bari A 0–0 D
07 Feb ACD Virtus Entella H 1–1 D
31 Jan UC Sampdoria A 0–1 L
24 Jan Calcio Avellino SSD H 1–0 W
18 Jan Palermo FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Spezia Calcio A 2–0 W
11 Feb Calcio Avellino SSD A 3–1 W
07 Feb Venezia FC H 1–2 L
31 Jan ACD Virtus Entella A 1–1 D
24 Jan AC Reggiana H 1–0 W
17 Jan AC Monza A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Spezia Calcio Frosinone Calcio
#7 Position #2
35 Points 81
38 Played 38
8 / 11 / 19 W / D / L 23 / 12 / 3
43 Scored 76
59 Conceded 34
-16 GD +42
0.92 PPG 2.13
21% Win % 61%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Spezia Calcio are 7th (35 pts). Frosinone Calcio are 2nd (81 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Spezia Calcio Lineups

Frosinone Calcio Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.91 Spezia Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99 Frosinone Calcio xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Spezia Calcio21% Draw25% Frosinone Calcio54%
Actual: Frosinone Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Spezia Calcio or Draw
46%
Draw or Frosinone Calcio
79%
Spezia Calcio or Frosinone Calcio
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Spezia Calcio14% Draw43% Frosinone Calcio43%
Actual: Frosinone Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
7.2%
0 – 3
7%
1 – 3
6.3%
2 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 0
4.2%
0 – 4
3.5%
1 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Spezia Calcio

Handicap Spezia Calcio covers Push Frosinone Calcio covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 10% 85%
-0.5 15% 85%
+0.5 39% 61%
+1 39% 23% 38%
+1.5 62% 38%
+2 62% 19% 19%
+2.5 81% 19%

Clean Sheet

Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
15%
Frosinone Calcio keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.