Palermo FC vs Spezia Calcio, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie B · 2025-26

Palermo FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Spezia Calcio

Sun 18 Jan 2026 · 16:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Palermo FC vs Spezia Calcio — Serie B .

Palermo FC 38 games · 72 pts (2025/26)
Spezia Calcio 38 games · 35 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Luca Massimi

16 games this season 🟨 0.5/game ⚽ 3.4 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Venezia FC	38	82
2	Frosinone Calcio	38	81
3	AC Monza	38	76
4	Palermo FC	38	72
5	US Catanzaro	38	59
6	Modena FC 2018	38	55
7	SS Juve Stabia	38	51
8	Calcio Avellino SSD	38	49
9	Mantova 1911 SSD	38	46
10	Padova Calcio	38	46
11	AC Cesena	38	46
12	Carrarese Calcio	38	44
13	UC Sampdoria	38	44
14	ACD Virtus Entella	38	42
15	Empoli FC	38	41
16	FC Sudtirol	38	41
17	SSC Bari	38	40
18	AC Reggiana	38	37
19	Spezia Calcio	38	35
20	Delfino Pescara 1936	38	35

Head-to-Head

Palermo FC 6 games · Avg 2.5 goals Spezia Calcio

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-18 Palermo FC 1–0 Spezia Calcio 2025-10-04 Spezia Calcio 1–2 Palermo FC 2025-02-09 Spezia Calcio 2–2 Palermo FC 2024-12-01 Palermo FC 2–0 Spezia Calcio 2024-05-01 Spezia Calcio 1–0 Palermo FC

Recent Form

Palermo FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Jan	Spezia Calcio	H	1–0	W
11 Jan	Mantova 1911 SSD	A	1–1	D
27 Dec	Padova Calcio	H	1–0	W
20 Dec	Calcio Avellino SSD	A	2–2	D
12 Dec	UC Sampdoria	H	1–0	W
07 Dec	Empoli FC	A	3–1	W

Spezia Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Jan	Palermo FC	A	0–1	L
10 Jan	FC Sudtirol	A	1–2	L
27 Dec	Delfino Pescara 1936	H	2–1	W
20 Dec	Frosinone Calcio	A	1–2	L
13 Dec	Modena FC 2018	H	0–2	L
08 Dec	ACD Virtus Entella	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Palermo FC		Spezia Calcio
#4	Position	#19
72	Points	35
38	Played	38
20 / 12 / 6	W / D / L	8 / 11 / 19
61	Scored	43
33	Conceded	59
+28	GD	-16
1.89	PPG	0.92
53%	Win %	21%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

45% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season

16% Clean Sheets
Spezia Calcio this season

Palermo FC are 4th (72 pts). Spezia Calcio are 19th (35 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Palermo FC

0-15

3/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/1

61-75

1/1

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Spezia Calcio

0-15

1/2

16-30

1/4

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

4/4

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Palermo FC and Spezia Calcio.
Another three points for Palermo FC.

Lineups

Palermo FC Lineups

Spezia Calcio Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Francesco Esposito	2
Rayyan Baniya	1
Giuseppe Aurelio	1
Filippo Ranocchia	1
Matteo Brunori Sandri	1
Arkadiusz Reca	1
Leo Stulac	1
Leonardo Mancuso	1

Head to Head

Palermo FC Form

2026-01-18 Palermo FC 1–0 Spezia Calcio W 2026-01-11 Mantova 1911 SSD 1–1 Palermo FC D 2025-12-27 Palermo FC 1–0 Padova Calcio W 2025-12-20 Calcio Avellino SSD 2–2 Palermo FC D 2025-12-12 Palermo FC 1–0 UC Sampdoria W 2025-12-07 Empoli FC 1–3 Palermo FC W

Spezia Calcio Form

2026-01-18 Palermo FC 1–0 Spezia Calcio L 2026-01-10 FC Sudtirol 2–1 Spezia Calcio L 2025-12-27 Spezia Calcio 2–1 Delfino Pescara 1936 W 2025-12-20 Frosinone Calcio 2–1 Spezia Calcio L 2025-12-13 Spezia Calcio 0–2 Modena FC 2018 L 2025-12-08 ACD Virtus Entella 0–1 Spezia Calcio W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.78 Palermo FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.63 Spezia Calcio xG

I would bet for: Palermo FC to win 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Palermo FC64% Draw23% Spezia Calcio13%

Actual: Palermo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes40% 0% No60%

Avg goals/match: 2.41

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	43%	57%
± 3.5	23%	77%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Palermo FC or Draw

87%

Draw or Spezia Calcio

36%

Palermo FC or Spezia Calcio

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Palermo FC43% Draw47% Spezia Calcio10%

Actual: Palermo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

13.8%

0 – 0

10.9%

1 – 1

10.8%

2 – 1

8.7%

3 – 0

3 – 1

5.3%

0 – 1

4.8%

4 – 0

3.6%

1 – 2

2 – 2

2.8%

4 – 1

2.4%

Asian Handicap — Palermo FC

Handicap	Palermo FC covers	Push	Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	20%	62%
-1.5	38%	—	62%
-1	38%	26%	36%
-0.5	64%	—	36%
+0.5	88%	—	12%
+1	88%	8%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	2%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Palermo FC keeps clean sheet

53% ✓

Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.