Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sparta Rotterdam vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sparta Rotterdam vs AFC AjaxEredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Bas Nijhuis

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct AFC Ajax H 3–3 D
27 Sep Heracles Almelo A 0–3 L
19 Sep FC Twente '65 H 1–5 L
14 Sep SBV Excelsior A 1–0 W
31 Aug Feyenoord Rotterdam H 0–4 L
23 Aug Go Ahead Eagles A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Sparta Rotterdam A 3–3 D
30 Sep Olympique de Marseille A 0–4 L
27 Sep NAC Breda H 2–1 W
21 Sep PSV A 2–2 D
17 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
13 Sep PEC Zwolle H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Sparta Rotterdam AFC Ajax
#16 Position #2
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Sparta Rotterdam are 16th (0 pts). AFC Ajax are 2nd (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. AFC Ajax kicks off things out of here…
  • The final score is 3-3.

Lineups

Sparta Rotterdam Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.04 Sparta Rotterdam xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Sparta Rotterdam or AFC Ajax 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sparta Rotterdam32% Draw30% AFC Ajax38%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Sparta Rotterdam or Draw
62%
Draw or AFC Ajax
68%
Sparta Rotterdam or AFC Ajax
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sparta Rotterdam21% Draw51% AFC Ajax28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.9%
0 – 1
11.4%
1 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
8.2%
0 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.6%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Sparta Rotterdam

Handicap Sparta Rotterdam covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 17% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 22% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Sparta Rotterdam keeps clean sheet
28%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.