Sparta Rotterdam vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Eredivisie · 2025-26

Sparta Rotterdam

3 – 3

Full Time

AFC Ajax

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sparta Rotterdam vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie .

Sparta Rotterdam 2 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
AFC Ajax 1 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Bas Nijhuis

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AZ	2	6
2	FC Groningen	2	6
3	Go Ahead Eagles	2	4
4	Fortuna Sittard	2	4
5	PSV	2	4
6	Feyenoord Rotterdam	2	4
7	SBV Excelsior	2	3
8	NEC	2	3
9	AFC Ajax	1	3
10	Sparta Rotterdam	2	3
11	FC Twente '65	2	3
12	SC Heerenveen	1	3
13	Telstar 1963	2	3
14	FC Utrecht	2	0
15	PEC Zwolle	2	0
16	ADO Den Haag	2	0
17	Willem II Tilburg	2	0
18	SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden	2	0

Head-to-Head

Sparta Rotterdam 14 games · Avg 3.2 goals AFC Ajax

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 Sparta Rotterdam 3–3 AFC Ajax 2025-04-27 AFC Ajax 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam 2024-12-22 Sparta Rotterdam 0–2 AFC Ajax 2024-03-17 Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 AFC Ajax 2023-12-09 AFC Ajax 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam

Recent Form

Sparta Rotterdam

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	AFC Ajax	H	3–3	D
27 Sep	Heracles Almelo	A	0–3	L
19 Sep	FC Twente '65	H	1–5	L
14 Sep	SBV Excelsior	A	1–0	W
31 Aug	Feyenoord Rotterdam	H	0–4	L
23 Aug	Go Ahead Eagles	A	3–0	W

AFC Ajax

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Sparta Rotterdam	A	3–3	D
30 Sep	Olympique de Marseille	A	0–4	L
27 Sep	NAC Breda	H	2–1	W
21 Sep	PSV	A	2–2	D
17 Sep	FC Internazionale Milano	H	0–2	L
13 Sep	PEC Zwolle	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

Sparta Rotterdam		AFC Ajax
#10	Position	#9
3	Points	3
2	Played	1
1 / 0 / 1	W / D / L	1 / 0 / 0
3	Scored	2
2	Conceded	0
+1	GD	+2
1.50	PPG	3.00
50%	Win %	100%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Sparta Rotterdam this season

100% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Sparta Rotterdam are 10th (3 pts). AFC Ajax are 9th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sparta Rotterdam

0-15

1/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

AFC Ajax

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

–/–

76+

2/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Sparta Rotterdam have kicked off against AFC Ajax. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Sparta Rotterdam Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Dusan Tadic	5
Steven Bergwijn	3
Kenneth Taylor	3
Mohammed Kudus	3
Hakim Ziyech	2
Arno Verschueren	2
Sebastien Haller	2
Danzell Gravenberch	2

Head to Head

Sparta Rotterdam Form

2025-10-04 Sparta Rotterdam 3–3 AFC Ajax D 2025-09-27 Heracles Almelo 3–0 Sparta Rotterdam L 2025-09-19 Sparta Rotterdam 1–5 FC Twente '65 L 2025-09-14 SBV Excelsior 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam W 2025-08-31 Sparta Rotterdam 0–4 Feyenoord Rotterdam L 2025-08-23 Go Ahead Eagles 0–3 Sparta Rotterdam W

AFC Ajax Form

2025-10-04 Sparta Rotterdam 3–3 AFC Ajax D 2025-09-30 Olympique de Marseille 4–0 AFC Ajax L 2025-09-27 AFC Ajax 2–1 NAC Breda W 2025-09-21 PSV 2–2 AFC Ajax D 2025-09-17 AFC Ajax 0–2 FC Internazionale Milano L 2025-09-13 AFC Ajax 3–1 PEC Zwolle W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.04 Sparta Rotterdam xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.85 AFC Ajax xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Sparta Rotterdam26% Draw26% AFC Ajax48%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.89

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

Sparta Rotterdam or Draw

52%

Draw or AFC Ajax

74%

Sparta Rotterdam or AFC Ajax

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sparta Rotterdam17% Draw44% AFC Ajax39%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted

3 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

11.6%

0 – 1

9.6%

1 – 2

9.5%

0 – 2

9.4%

0 – 0

7.4%

1 – 3

5.9%

0 – 3

5.7%

2 – 1

5.3%

2 – 2

4.9%

1 – 0

4.9%

2 – 3

3.1%

2 – 0

Asian Handicap — Sparta Rotterdam

Handicap	Sparta Rotterdam covers	Push	AFC Ajax covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	5%	92%
-1.5	8%	—	92%
-1	8%	12%	80%
-0.5	20%	—	80%
+0.5	45%	—	55%
+1	45%	23%	32%
+1.5	68%	—	32%
+2	68%	17%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

Sparta Rotterdam keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.