Sparta Rotterdam vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Eredivisie · 2025-26

Sparta Rotterdam

3 – 3

Full Time

AFC Ajax

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sparta Rotterdam vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie .

Sparta Rotterdam 7 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
AFC Ajax 7 games · 14 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Bas Nijhuis

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AZ	7	19
2	Feyenoord Rotterdam	7	17
3	PSV	7	16
4	FC Twente '65	7	16
5	AFC Ajax	7	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	13
7	SBV Excelsior	7	11
8	FC Groningen	7	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	10
10	SC Heerenveen	7	9
11	NEC	7	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	5
13	Telstar 1963	7	5
14	SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden	7	5
15	FC Utrecht	7	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	2
18	Willem II Tilburg	7	2

Head-to-Head

Sparta Rotterdam 14 games · Avg 3.2 goals AFC Ajax

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 Sparta Rotterdam 3–3 AFC Ajax 2025-04-27 AFC Ajax 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam 2024-12-22 Sparta Rotterdam 0–2 AFC Ajax 2024-03-17 Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 AFC Ajax 2023-12-09 AFC Ajax 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam

Recent Form

Sparta Rotterdam

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	AFC Ajax	H	3–3	D
27 Sep	Heracles Almelo	A	0–3	L
19 Sep	FC Twente '65	H	1–5	L
14 Sep	SBV Excelsior	A	1–0	W
31 Aug	Feyenoord Rotterdam	H	0–4	L
23 Aug	Go Ahead Eagles	A	3–0	W

AFC Ajax

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Sparta Rotterdam	A	3–3	D
30 Sep	Olympique de Marseille	A	0–4	L
27 Sep	NAC Breda	H	2–1	W
21 Sep	PSV	A	2–2	D
17 Sep	FC Internazionale Milano	H	0–2	L
13 Sep	PEC Zwolle	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

Sparta Rotterdam		AFC Ajax
#12	Position	#5
5	Points	14
7	Played	7
1 / 2 / 4	W / D / L	4 / 2 / 1
10	Scored	21
17	Conceded	9
-7	GD	+12
0.71	PPG	2.00
14%	Win %	57%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Sparta Rotterdam this season

29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Sparta Rotterdam are 12th (5 pts). AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sparta Rotterdam

0-15

2/–

16-30

1/5

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/2

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

AFC Ajax

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

6/3

46-60

2/1

61-75

5/1

76+

6/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sparta Rotterdam

Milan Zonneveld	5 G	1 A
Marvin Young	2 G
Nokkvi THorisson	1 G

AFC Ajax

Julian Brandt	4 G
Toluwalas Arokodare	3 G	1 A
Davy Klaassen	3 G
Kasper Dolberg	2 G	2 A
Jorthy Mokio	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Sparta Rotterdam and AFC Ajax.
The points are shared — Sparta Rotterdam 3-3 AFC Ajax. Honours even.

Lineups

Sparta Rotterdam Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Dusan Tadic	5
Mohammed Kudus	3
Steven Bergwijn	3
Kenneth Taylor	3
Arno Verschueren	2
Sebastien Haller	2
Danzell Gravenberch	2
Hakim Ziyech	2

Head to Head

Sparta Rotterdam Form

2025-10-04 Sparta Rotterdam 3–3 AFC Ajax D 2025-09-27 Heracles Almelo 3–0 Sparta Rotterdam L 2025-09-19 Sparta Rotterdam 1–5 FC Twente '65 L 2025-09-14 SBV Excelsior 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam W 2025-08-31 Sparta Rotterdam 0–4 Feyenoord Rotterdam L 2025-08-23 Go Ahead Eagles 0–3 Sparta Rotterdam W

AFC Ajax Form

2025-10-04 Sparta Rotterdam 3–3 AFC Ajax D 2025-09-30 Olympique de Marseille 4–0 AFC Ajax L 2025-09-27 AFC Ajax 2–1 NAC Breda W 2025-09-21 PSV 2–2 AFC Ajax D 2025-09-17 AFC Ajax 0–2 FC Internazionale Milano L 2025-09-13 AFC Ajax 3–1 PEC Zwolle W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.59 Sparta Rotterdam xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

3.13 AFC Ajax xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Sparta Rotterdam24% Draw20% AFC Ajax56%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes75% 0% No25%

Avg goals/match: 4.72

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	94%	6%
± 2.5	83%	17%
± 3.5	68%	32%
± 4.5	49%	51%

Double Chance

Sparta Rotterdam or Draw

44%

Draw or AFC Ajax

76%

Sparta Rotterdam or AFC Ajax

80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sparta Rotterdam17% Draw32% AFC Ajax51%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted

3 – 3

Actual

1 – 3

7.1%

1 – 2

2 – 3

5.5%

1 – 4

5.5%

2 – 2

5.4%

1 – 1

5.2%

0 – 3

4.6%

0 – 2

4.6%

2 – 4

4.3%

2 – 1

3.6%

0 – 4

3.6%

1 – 5

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Sparta Rotterdam

Handicap	Sparta Rotterdam covers	Push	AFC Ajax covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	5%	92%
-1.5	8%	—	92%
-1	8%	9%	83%
-0.5	17%	—	83%
+0.5	33%	—	67%
+1	33%	18%	48%
+1.5	52%	—	48%
+2	52%	18%	30%
+2.5	70%	—	30%

Clean Sheet

Sparta Rotterdam keeps clean sheet

5% ✓

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.