Sparta Rotterdam vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Eredivisie · 2025-26

Sparta Rotterdam

3 – 3

Full Time

AFC Ajax

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sparta Rotterdam vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie .

Sparta Rotterdam 12 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
AFC Ajax 12 games · 25 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Bas Nijhuis

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	PSV	12	26
2	Feyenoord Rotterdam	12	25
3	AFC Ajax	12	25
4	FC Twente '65	12	24
5	AZ	12	23
6	SC Heerenveen	12	21
7	Fortuna Sittard	12	20
8	Go Ahead Eagles	12	17
9	FC Groningen	12	15
10	SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden	12	15
11	NEC	12	14
12	Sparta Rotterdam	12	12
13	PEC Zwolle	12	12
14	FC Utrecht	12	12
15	SBV Excelsior	12	11
16	Telstar 1963	12	10
17	ADO Den Haag	12	9
18	Willem II Tilburg	12	3

Head-to-Head

Sparta Rotterdam 15 games · Avg 3.2 goals AFC Ajax

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 Sparta Rotterdam 3–3 AFC Ajax 2025-04-27 AFC Ajax 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam 2024-12-22 Sparta Rotterdam 0–2 AFC Ajax 2024-03-17 Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 AFC Ajax 2023-12-09 AFC Ajax 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam

Recent Form

Sparta Rotterdam

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	AFC Ajax	H	3–3	D
27 Sep	Heracles Almelo	A	0–3	L
19 Sep	FC Twente '65	H	1–5	L
14 Sep	SBV Excelsior	A	1–0	W
31 Aug	Feyenoord Rotterdam	H	0–4	L
23 Aug	Go Ahead Eagles	A	3–0	W

AFC Ajax

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Sparta Rotterdam	A	3–3	D
30 Sep	Olympique de Marseille	A	0–4	L
27 Sep	NAC Breda	H	2–1	W
21 Sep	PSV	A	2–2	D
17 Sep	FC Internazionale Milano	H	0–2	L
13 Sep	PEC Zwolle	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

Sparta Rotterdam		AFC Ajax
#12	Position	#3
12	Points	25
12	Played	12
3 / 3 / 6	W / D / L	7 / 4 / 1
21	Scored	32
29	Conceded	15
-8	GD	+17
1.00	PPG	2.08
25%	Win %	58%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Sparta Rotterdam this season

25% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Sparta Rotterdam are 12th (12 pts). AFC Ajax are 3rd (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sparta Rotterdam

0-15

3/1

16-30

3/9

31-45

3/4

46-60

5/4

61-75

3/4

76+

4/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

AFC Ajax

0-15

3/1

16-30

3/1

31-45

8/4

46-60

3/2

61-75

8/1

76+

6/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sparta Rotterdam

Milan Zonneveld	8 G	2 A
Marvin Young	2 G	1 A
Nokkvi THorisson	1 G

AFC Ajax

Toluwalas Arokodare	7 G	1 A
Julian Brandt	6 G	2 A
Davy Klaassen	3 G	1 A
Jorthy Mokio	3 G	1 A
Kasper Dolberg	2 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Sparta Rotterdam launch into their encounter with AFC Ajax.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-3.

Lineups

Sparta Rotterdam Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Dusan Tadic	5
Steven Bergwijn	3
Kenneth Taylor	3
Mohammed Kudus	3
Arno Verschueren	2
Sebastien Haller	2
Danzell Gravenberch	2
Hakim Ziyech	2

Head to Head

Sparta Rotterdam Form

2025-10-04 Sparta Rotterdam 3–3 AFC Ajax D 2025-09-27 Heracles Almelo 3–0 Sparta Rotterdam L 2025-09-19 Sparta Rotterdam 1–5 FC Twente '65 L 2025-09-14 SBV Excelsior 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam W 2025-08-31 Sparta Rotterdam 0–4 Feyenoord Rotterdam L 2025-08-23 Go Ahead Eagles 0–3 Sparta Rotterdam W

AFC Ajax Form

2025-10-04 Sparta Rotterdam 3–3 AFC Ajax D 2025-09-30 Olympique de Marseille 4–0 AFC Ajax L 2025-09-27 AFC Ajax 2–1 NAC Breda W 2025-09-21 PSV 2–2 AFC Ajax D 2025-09-17 AFC Ajax 0–2 FC Internazionale Milano L 2025-09-13 AFC Ajax 3–1 PEC Zwolle W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.68 Sparta Rotterdam xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.89 AFC Ajax xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Sparta Rotterdam26% Draw21% AFC Ajax53%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 4.57

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	94%	6%
± 2.5	82%	18%
± 3.5	65%	35%
± 4.5	47%	53%

Double Chance

Sparta Rotterdam or Draw

48%

Draw or AFC Ajax

74%

Sparta Rotterdam or AFC Ajax

79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sparta Rotterdam19% Draw33% AFC Ajax48%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

7.2%

1 – 3

6.8%

2 – 2

5.9%

1 – 1

5.8%

2 – 3

5.6%

1 – 4

4.9%

0 – 2

4.5%

2 – 1

4.3%

0 – 3

4.2%

2 – 4

4.1%

3 – 2

3.3%

3 – 3

Actual

Asian Handicap — Sparta Rotterdam

Handicap	Sparta Rotterdam covers	Push	AFC Ajax covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	6%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	11%	79%
-0.5	21%	—	79%
+0.5	39%	—	61%
+1	39%	19%	42%
+1.5	58%	—	42%
+2	58%	17%	25%
+2.5	75%	—	25%

Clean Sheet

Sparta Rotterdam keeps clean sheet

6% ✓

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.