Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Sun 27 Apr 2025 · 12:30 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena 54,676 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 90+5' Mohamed Nassoh
Youri Regeer 90+7' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs Sparta RotterdamEredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Rob Dieperink
  • Assistant 1 Murat Kucukerbir (Netherlands)
  • Assistant 2 Nils van Kampen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Sparta Rotterdam H 1–1 D
20 Apr FC Utrecht A 0–4 L
13 Apr Willem II Tilburg A 2–1 W
06 Apr NAC Breda H 3–1 W
30 Mar PSV A 2–0 W
16 Mar AZ H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr AFC Ajax A 1–1 D
12 Apr SC Heerenveen H 3–1 W
06 Apr NEC H 2–0 W
29 Mar Fortuna Sittard A 3–0 W
15 Mar PEC Zwolle H 1–1 D
07 Mar NAC Breda A 1–1 D

Season Stats

AFC Ajax Sparta Rotterdam
#2 Position #16
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AFC Ajax are 2nd (0 pts). Sparta Rotterdam are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. AFC Ajax host Sparta Rotterdam — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Sparta Rotterdam have won 307 goals from 230 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' AFC Ajax is showing some good football. However, AFC Ajax are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AFC Ajax side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 25' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 27' Patrick van Aanholt is having his name booked by the referee on 27.
  • 32' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sparta Rotterdam needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 36' The referee calls foul for Joshua Kitolano. He receives a card.
  • 41' Sparta Rotterdam fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 46' Jorrel Hato has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 51' The 31-year-old Said Bakari has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 52' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Daniele Rugani.
  • 55' Wout Weghorst is ready to make an impact after coming on for Brian Brobbey at the 55 minute mark.
  • 60' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 63' The AFC Ajax manager makes a substitution. Oliver Edvardsen departs to be replaced by Mika Godts.
  • 67' A tactical swap from Sparta RotterdamCarel Eiting on, Joshua Kitolano off on 67 minutes.
  • 72' AFC Ajax are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Sparta Rotterdam's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 77' Joel Ideho has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 82' Mitchell van Bergen makes way for Pelle Clement at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sparta Rotterdam.
  • 83' A tactical swap from Sparta Rotterdam — Joel Ideho on, Gjivai Zechiel off on 83 minutes.
  • 88' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 89' The AFC Ajax bench stirs into life. Kenneth Taylor is withdrawn and Youri Regeer gets his opportunity.
  • It finishes all square. AFC Ajax and Sparta Rotterdam share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.84 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.61 Sparta Rotterdam xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 81% + AFC Ajax or Draw 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax41% Draw36% Sparta Rotterdam23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes28% 0% No72%
Avg goals/match: 1.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 74%
26%
± 1.5 43%
57%
± 2.5 19%
81%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
77%
Draw or Sparta Rotterdam
59%
AFC Ajax or Sparta Rotterdam
64%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax22% Draw63% Sparta Rotterdam15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
26%
1 – 0
18.1%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
12.6%
2 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
5.2%
0 – 2
4%
1 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
2.1%
2 – 2
1.8%
3 – 1
1.5%
0 – 3
0.8%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push Sparta Rotterdam covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 24% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 17% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
55%
Sparta Rotterdam keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.