Spain vs Iceland, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Spain Lineups
Iceland Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Spain Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
1.16
Spain xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4
Iceland xG
I would bet for:
Spain or Iceland 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Iceland win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Spain or Draw
62%
Draw or Iceland
68%
Spain or Iceland
71%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.9%
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
4%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Spain
| Handicap | Spain covers | Push | Iceland covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 21% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Spain keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Iceland keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.