Italy vs Spain, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
71%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Spain Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Giorgio Chiellini | 1 |
| Graziano Pelle | 1 |
| Giorgio Chiellini | 1 |
| Graziano Pelle | 1 |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 |
| Federico Chiesa | 1 |
Head to Head
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 3
1.34
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
Spain xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
75%
Draw or Spain
54%
Italy or Spain
71%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 0
12.4%
2 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 2
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Spain covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 23% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 16% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Spain keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.