Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Southampton FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sun 4 Jan 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Southampton FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Oliver Langford
4 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 6.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Southampton FC H 4–0 W
01 Jan Derby County FC A 0–1 L
29 Dec Hull City AFC H 0–1 L
26 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–0 D
20 Dec Bristol City FC A 0–2 L
13 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Middlesbrough FC A 0–4 L
01 Jan Millwall FC H 0–0 D
29 Dec Birmingham City FC A 1–1 D
26 Dec Oxford United FC A 1–2 L
20 Dec Coventry City FC H 1–1 D
13 Dec Norwich City FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Southampton FC
#3 Position #13
15 Points 10
8 Played 8
4 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 2
16 Scored 19
12 Conceded 10
+4 GD +9
1.88 PPG 1.25
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season

Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts). Southampton FC are 13th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Southampton FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 6 G
Southampton FC
Cyle Larin 7 G
Finn Azaz 3 G 4 A
Leo Scienza 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.08 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC52% Draw23% Southampton FC25%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.57
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Southampton FC
48%
Middlesbrough FC or Southampton FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC38% Draw40% Southampton FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 0
5.3%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.1%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
3.6%
2 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 15% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 20% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 14% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✗
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.