Friday , 7 August 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Southampton FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sun 4 Jan 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Southampton FC H 4–0 W
01 Jan Derby County FC A 0–1 L
29 Dec Hull City AFC H 0–1 L
26 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–0 D
20 Dec Bristol City FC A 0–2 L
13 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Middlesbrough FC A 0–4 L
01 Jan Millwall FC H 0–0 D
29 Dec Birmingham City FC A 1–1 D
26 Dec Oxford United FC A 1–2 L
20 Dec Coventry City FC H 1–1 D
13 Dec Norwich City FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Southampton FC
#8 Position #7
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Middlesbrough FC are 8th (0 pts). Southampton FC are 7th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.09 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.32 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 82% + Under — clean sheet likely 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC55% Draw32% Southampton FC13%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes20% 0% No80%
Avg goals/match: 1.41
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 73%
27%
± 1.5 42%
58%
± 2.5 18%
82%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Southampton FC
45%
Middlesbrough FC or Southampton FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC32% Draw62% Southampton FC6%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
26.7%
1 – 0
25.4%
2 – 0
13.7%
1 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
2%
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
1.3%
0 – 2
1%
2 – 2
0.9%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 16% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 31% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 91% 9%
+1 91% 8% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
73%
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.