Middlesbrough FC vs Southampton FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Middlesbrough FC

4 – 0

Full Time

Southampton FC

Sun 4 Jan 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Southampton FC — Championship .

Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
Southampton FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Oliver Langford

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Middlesbrough FC 6 games · Avg 2.3 goals Southampton FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-04 Middlesbrough FC 4–0 Southampton FC 2025-09-27 Southampton FC 1–1 Middlesbrough FC 2024-03-29 Southampton FC 1–1 Middlesbrough FC 2023-09-23 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Southampton FC

Recent Form

Middlesbrough FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Jan	Southampton FC	H	4–0	W
01 Jan	Derby County FC	A	0–1	L
29 Dec	Hull City AFC	H	0–1	L
26 Dec	Blackburn Rovers FC	H	0–0	D
20 Dec	Bristol City FC	A	0–2	L
13 Dec	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	3–1	W

Southampton FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Jan	Middlesbrough FC	A	0–4	L
01 Jan	Millwall FC	H	0–0	D
29 Dec	Birmingham City FC	A	1–1	D
26 Dec	Oxford United FC	A	1–2	L
20 Dec	Coventry City FC	H	1–1	D
13 Dec	Norwich City FC	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC		Southampton FC
#5	Position	#4
80	Points	80
46	Played	46
22 / 14 / 10	W / D / L	22 / 14 / 10
72	Scored	82
47	Conceded	56
+25	GD	+26
1.74	PPG	1.74
48%	Win %	48%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Southampton FC are 4th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Middlesbrough FC kicks off things out of here…
Southampton FC will have plenty to reflect on. Middlesbrough FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Riley McGree	2
Adam Armstrong	2
Jonny Howson	1
Emmanuel Latte Lath	1
Ross Stewart	1
Shea Charles	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.94 Middlesbrough FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.99 Southampton FC xG

I would bet for: Middlesbrough FC to win 58% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Middlesbrough FC58% Draw23% Southampton FC19%

Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.93

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw

81%

Draw or Southampton FC

42%

Middlesbrough FC or Southampton FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Middlesbrough FC41% Draw43% Southampton FC16%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted

4 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

11.1%

2 – 0

9.9%

1 – 0

9.7%

2 – 1

9.6%

0 – 0

7.1%

3 – 0

6.2%

3 – 1

6.2%

1 – 2

4.9%

2 – 2

4.8%

0 – 1

4.5%

3 – 2

3.2%

4 – 1

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap	Middlesbrough FC covers	Push	Southampton FC covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	18%	65%
-1.5	35%	—	65%
-1	35%	23%	42%
-0.5	58%	—	42%
+0.5	82%	—	18%
+1	82%	11%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet

38% ✗

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.