Southampton FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Southampton FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Saint Mary's.
- Southampton FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
- Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matt Donohue
- Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
- Assistant 2 Matthew Smith
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Mar | Sunderland AFC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 02 Mar | Birmingham City FC | A | 4–3 | W |
| 28 Feb | Liverpool FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 24 Feb | Millwall FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Feb | Hull City AFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | Southampton FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Mar | Birmingham City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Mar | Norwich City FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Mar | Stoke City FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Southampton FC | Middlesbrough FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #5 |
| 80 | Points | 80 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 22 / 14 / 10 | W / D / L | 22 / 14 / 10 |
| 82 | Scored | 72 |
| 56 | Conceded | 47 |
| +26 | GD | +25 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 1.74 |
| 48% | Win % | 48% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Southampton FC are 4th (80 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Southampton FC to score. At the same time, Middlesbrough FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 12' Adam Armstrong has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 12 minutes.
- 17' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Che Adams suffering a number of foals already.
- 22' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kamal Deen Sulemana made 6 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 27' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 32' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Southampton FC that had 348 games and scored 417 goals.
- 34' Controversy at the stadium! Flynn Downes argues furiously but the card stands.
- 39' Middlesbrough FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 44' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 49' Daniel Barlaser has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 50' A moment of madness from Emmanuel Latte Lath on 50 minutes earns him a card. Middlesbrough FC will be frustrated.
- 55' It looks surprising Middlesbrough FC does not make any changes. Matt Clarke has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 60' Middlesbrough FC have won 467 goals from 383 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 62' The referee has no hesitation. Finn Azaz is booked for Middlesbrough FC — card on 62.
- 63' The Southampton FC manager makes a substitution. Che Adams departs to be replaced by David Brooks.
- 68' Southampton FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 70' Poor challenge from Lewis O'Brien. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 75' Time for substitution for Middlesbrough FC. Sam Greenwood is replaced by Sam Silvera.
- 80' It looks like no one’s ball. Southampton FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 81' The crowd applauds Isaiah Jones as he leaves the pitch. Alex Gilbert steps in for Middlesbrough FC.
- 83' A meaty challenge results in booking for Taylor Harwood-Bellis on 83.
- 85' Adam Armstrong makes way for Sekou Mara at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Southampton FC.
- 90' The whistle greets Stuart Armstrong as he departs to be replaced by Joe Aribo.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Southampton FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 5
-
17
Stuart Armstrong ↓ Joe Aribo 90'
- 2
- 4
-
10
Che Adams ↓ David Brooks 63'
- 14
-
9
Adam Armstrong ↓ Sekou Mara 85'
- 31
- 21
- 16
- 20
Bench
-
36
David Brooks ↑ 63'
-
26
Ryan Fraser ↑ 63'
- 35
- 13
-
7
Joe Aribo ↑ 90'
- 19
- 3
-
18
Sekou Mara ↑ 85'
-
23
Samuel Edozie ↑ 90'
Coach
Russell Martin
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 12
- 28
- 4
- 1
- 9
-
11
Isaiah Jones ↓ Alex Gilbert 81'
-
20
Finn Azaz ↓ Luke Thomas 90'
-
29
Sam Greenwood ↓ Sam Silvera 75'
- 27
- 16
Bench
- 15
- 32
-
33
Luke Thomas ↑ 90'
-
18
Sam Silvera ↑ 75'
- 47
-
14
Alex Gilbert ↑ 81'
- 49
- 59
Coach
Michael Carrick
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Adam Armstrong | 2 |
| Riley McGree | 2 |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | 1 |
| Ross Stewart | 1 |
| Shea Charles | 1 |
| Jonny Howson | 1 |
Head to Head
Southampton FC Form
Middlesbrough FC Form
2024-03-29
Southampton FC
1–1
Middlesbrough FC
D
2024-03-16
Middlesbrough FC
0–0
Blackburn Rovers FC
D
2024-03-12
Birmingham City FC
0–1
Middlesbrough FC
W
2024-03-09
Queens Park Rangers FC
0–2
Middlesbrough FC
W
2024-03-06
Middlesbrough FC
3–1
Norwich City FC
W
2024-03-02
Stoke City FC
2–0
Middlesbrough FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.42
Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44
Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for:
Southampton FC or Middlesbrough FC 72% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Southampton FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
64%
Southampton FC or Middlesbrough FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Southampton FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
8%
0 – 0
7.6%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
7.2%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
5.7%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Southampton FC
| Handicap | Southampton FC covers | Push | Middlesbrough FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 19% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 19% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

