Thursday , 2 July 2026

Southampton FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Fri 29 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Saint Mary's HT 45' · FT 45'
Adam Armstrong 12' 1–0
1–1 90+1' Emmanuel Latte Lath

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Middlesbrough FCChampionship at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Matt Donohue
  • Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
  • Assistant 2 Matthew Smith

Head-to-Head

1
3
2
Southampton FC 6 games · Avg 2.3 goals Middlesbrough FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 1–1 D
09 Mar Sunderland AFC H 4–2 W
02 Mar Birmingham City FC A 4–3 W
28 Feb Liverpool FC A 0–3 L
24 Feb Millwall FC H 1–2 L
20 Feb Hull City AFC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Southampton FC A 1–1 D
16 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–0 D
12 Mar Birmingham City FC A 1–0 W
09 Mar Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–0 W
06 Mar Norwich City FC H 3–1 W
02 Mar Stoke City FC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Southampton FC Middlesbrough FC
#4 Position #5
80 Points 80
46 Played 46
22 / 14 / 10 W / D / L 22 / 14 / 10
82 Scored 72
56 Conceded 47
+26 GD +25
1.74 PPG 1.74
48% Win % 48%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Southampton FC are 4th (80 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Southampton FC to score. At the same time, Middlesbrough FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 12' Adam Armstrong has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 12 minutes.
  • 17' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Che Adams suffering a number of foals already.
  • 22' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kamal Deen Sulemana made 6 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 27' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 32' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Southampton FC that had 348 games and scored 417 goals.
  • 34' Controversy at the stadium! Flynn Downes argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 39' Middlesbrough FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 44' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 49' Daniel Barlaser has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 50' A moment of madness from Emmanuel Latte Lath on 50 minutes earns him a card. Middlesbrough FC will be frustrated.
  • 55' It looks surprising Middlesbrough FC does not make any changes. Matt Clarke has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 60' Middlesbrough FC have won 467 goals from 383 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 62' The referee has no hesitation. Finn Azaz is booked for Middlesbrough FC — card on 62.
  • 63' The Southampton FC manager makes a substitution. Che Adams departs to be replaced by David Brooks.
  • 68' Southampton FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 70' Poor challenge from Lewis O'Brien. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 75' Time for substitution for Middlesbrough FC. Sam Greenwood is replaced by Sam Silvera.
  • 80' It looks like no one’s ball. Southampton FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 81' The crowd applauds Isaiah Jones as he leaves the pitch. Alex Gilbert steps in for Middlesbrough FC.
  • 83' A meaty challenge results in booking for Taylor Harwood-Bellis on 83.
  • 85' Adam Armstrong makes way for Sekou Mara at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Southampton FC.
  • 90' The whistle greets Stuart Armstrong as he departs to be replaced by Joe Aribo.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.42 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Middlesbrough FC 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC36% Draw28% Middlesbrough FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
64%
Southampton FC or Middlesbrough FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC27% Draw46% Middlesbrough FC27%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
8%
0 – 0
7.6%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
7.2%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
5.7%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 19% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.