Southampton FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Southampton FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Saint Mary's.
- Southampton FC 15 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
- Middlesbrough FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matt Donohue
- Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
- Assistant 2 Matthew Smith
7 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 10.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Mar | Sunderland AFC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 02 Mar | Birmingham City FC | A | 4–3 | W |
| 28 Feb | Liverpool FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 24 Feb | Millwall FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Feb | Hull City AFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | Southampton FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Mar | Birmingham City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Mar | Norwich City FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Mar | Stoke City FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Southampton FC | Middlesbrough FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #2 |
| 24 | Points | 29 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 8 / 4 / 3 | W / D / L | 8 / 5 / 2 |
| 29 | Scored | 30 |
| 15 | Conceded | 19 |
| +14 | GD | +11 |
| 1.60 | PPG | 1.93 |
| 53% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
Southampton FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
Southampton FC are 7th (24 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Southampton FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
2/4
31-45
6/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
3/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/4
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Southampton FC
| Cyle Larin | 7 G | |
| Kuryu Matsuki | 4 G | 1 A |
| Finn Azaz | 3 G | 5 A |
| Leo Scienza | 2 G | 2 A |
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 13 G | |
| Amario Cozier-Duberry | 3 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Saint Mary's. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 12' Adam Armstrong is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the .
- 17' It’s high time Russell Martin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 22' Luke Thomas has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 27' Lewis O'Brien has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 32' Stuart Armstrong has been relatively quiet despite scoring 29 goals in his last 363 appearances.
- 34' Flynn Downes is having his name booked by the referee on 34.
- 39' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Daniel Barlaser made 232 appearances and scored 17 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 44' The home supporters are growing impatient. Southampton FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 49' Seny Dieng is a natural goalkeeper and has been asked to do a very specific job for Middlesbrough FC tonight.
- 50' Poor challenge from Emmanuel Latte Lath. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 55' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 60' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 62' That looks like a foul for a card for Finn Azaz.
- 63' David Brooks is ready to make an impact after coming on for Che Adams at the 63 minute mark.
- 68' A quiet spell here at Saint Mary's. Middlesbrough FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 70' The referee calls foul for Lewis O'Brien. He receives a card.
- 75' Middlesbrough FC make a change. Sam Greenwood trudges off to be replaced by Sam Silvera on 75 minutes.
- 80' Middlesbrough FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 81' Time for substitution for Middlesbrough FC. Isaiah Jones is replaced by Alex Gilbert.
- 83' A meaty challenge results in booking for Taylor Harwood-Bellis on 83.
- 85' Southampton FC ring the changes. Adam Armstrong has done his job and it is now time for Sekou Mara to step up.
- 90' Joe Aribo is replacing Stuart Armstrong for the Southampton FC side.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Southampton FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 5
-
17
Stuart Armstrong ↓ Joe Aribo 90'
- 2
- 4
-
10
Che Adams ↓ David Brooks 63'
- 14
-
9
Adam Armstrong ↓ Sekou Mara 85'
- 31
- 21
- 16
- 20
Bench
-
36
David Brooks ↑ 63'
-
26
Ryan Fraser ↑ 63'
- 35
- 13
-
7
Joe Aribo ↑ 90'
- 19
- 3
-
18
Sekou Mara ↑ 85'
-
23
Samuel Edozie ↑ 90'
Coach
Russell Martin
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 12
- 28
- 4
- 1
- 9
-
11
Isaiah Jones ↓ Alex Gilbert 81'
-
20
Finn Azaz ↓ Luke Thomas 90'
-
29
Sam Greenwood ↓ Sam Silvera 75'
- 27
- 16
Bench
- 15
- 32
-
33
Luke Thomas ↑ 90'
-
18
Sam Silvera ↑ 75'
- 47
-
14
Alex Gilbert ↑ 81'
- 49
- 59
Coach
Michael Carrick
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Riley McGree | 2 |
| Adam Armstrong | 2 |
| Jonny Howson | 1 |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | 1 |
| Ross Stewart | 1 |
| Shea Charles | 1 |
Head to Head
Southampton FC Form
Middlesbrough FC Form
2024-03-29
Southampton FC
1–1
Middlesbrough FC
D
2024-03-16
Middlesbrough FC
0–0
Blackburn Rovers FC
D
2024-03-12
Birmingham City FC
0–1
Middlesbrough FC
W
2024-03-09
Queens Park Rangers FC
0–2
Middlesbrough FC
W
2024-03-06
Middlesbrough FC
3–1
Norwich City FC
W
2024-03-02
Stoke City FC
2–0
Middlesbrough FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.57
Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38
Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for:
Southampton FC or Middlesbrough FC 72% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Southampton FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
60%
Southampton FC or Middlesbrough FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Southampton FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.5%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 0
7%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Southampton FC
| Handicap | Southampton FC covers | Push | Middlesbrough FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 20% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

