Thursday , 2 July 2026

Manchester City FC vs Southampton FC, FA Cup 2025-26 SEMI FINALS

FA Cup · 2025-26
Sat 25 Apr 2026 · 16:15 UTC Wembley HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs Southampton FCFA Cup at Wembley.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Southampton FC H 2–1 W
22 Apr Burnley FC A 1–0 W
19 Apr Arsenal FC H 2–1 W
12 Apr Chelsea FC A 3–0 W
04 Apr Liverpool FC H 4–0 W
17 Mar Real Madrid CF H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Manchester City FC A 1–2 L
21 Apr Bristol City FC H 2–2 D
18 Apr Swansea City AFC A 2–1 W
14 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–0 W
11 Apr Derby County FC H 2–1 W
07 Apr Wrexham AFC A 5–1 W

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester City FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/
46-60
2/
61-75
1/
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Southampton FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester City FC
Antoine Semenyo 3 G 2 A
Erling Haaland 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Manchester City FC and Southampton FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Southampton FC is showing some good football. However, Southampton FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' Manchester City FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Jeremy Doku scoring 1 goals.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Manchester City FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 20' Manchester City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' Manchester City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matheus Nunes, as he is very good at scoring at Wembley with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
  • 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Caspar Jander made 145 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' It looks like no one’s ball. Southampton FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 50' Manchester City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 50.
  • 55' The travelling Southampton FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 58' Savio has so much to prove this time. He replaces Phil Foden on 58 minute.
  • 61' Another change for Southampton FC made on 61 minute. Ross Stewart leaves to be changed by Cyle Larin.
  • 66' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 71' Time for substitution for Manchester City FC. Omar Marmoush is replaced by Erling Haaland.
  • 76' Another change for Southampton FC made on 76 minute. Welington leaves to be changed by Kuryu Matsuki.
  • 79' What a strike from Finn Azaz! The score is 0-1.
  • 83' GOAL! Jeremy Doku scores on 83.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Bernardo Silva. He replaces Tijjani Reijnders on 86 minute.
  • 87' What a strike from Nico Gonzalez! The score is 2-1.
  • 89' It is a substitution in Southampton FC team. James Bree is replaced by Cameron Archer on 89 minute.
  • 90' Taylor Harwood-Bellis was booked on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Southampton FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.68 Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC53% Draw25% Southampton FC22%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Southampton FC
47%
Manchester City FC or Southampton FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC35% Draw45% Southampton FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap Manchester City FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 22% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.