Manchester City FC vs Southampton FC, FA Cup 2025-26 SEMI FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Manchester City FC vs Southampton FC — FA Cup at Wembley.
- Manchester City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Southampton FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Southampton FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Apr | Burnley FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Arsenal FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | Chelsea FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | Liverpool FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Mar | Real Madrid CF | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Manchester City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | Bristol City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Apr | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Apr | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Apr | Wrexham AFC | A | 5–1 | W |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Manchester City FC welcome Southampton FC for this crunch clash at Wembley.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' John Stones is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Southampton FC tonight.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Southampton FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Manchester City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 25' Manchester City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Southampton FC backline.
- 30' Southampton FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 35' The travelling Southampton FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 40' Manchester City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Southampton FC's shape.
- 45' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Manchester City FC and Southampton FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 50' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 55' Kuryu Matsuki is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Southampton FC so far.
- 58' Fresh legs for Manchester City FC! Savio comes on to replace Phil Foden.
- 61' A tactical swap from Southampton FC — Cyle Larin on, Ross Stewart off on 61 minutes.
- 66' With 0 assists to his name this season, Cyle Larin is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Manchester City FC.
- 71' Time for substitution for Manchester City FC. Omar Marmoush is replaced by Erling Haaland.
- 76' Kuryu Matsuki has so much to prove this time. He replaces Welington on 76 minute.
- 79' What composure from Finn Azaz! The Ireland international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 83' What composure from Jeremy Doku! The Belgium international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 86' The Manchester City FC bench stirs into life. Tijjani Reijnders is withdrawn and Bernardo Silva gets his opportunity.
- 87' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Nico Gonzalez makes no mistake. 2-1!
- 89' James Bree makes way for Cameron Archer at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from Southampton FC.
- 90' Taylor Harwood-Bellis picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- Manchester City FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Manchester City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 6
-
8
Mateo Kovacic ↓ Jeremy Doku 58'
- 5
-
47
Phil Foden ↓ Savio 58'
- 21
- 27
- 10
-
7
Omar Marmoush ↓ Erling Haaland 71'
- 1
- 14
Bench
-
20
Bernardo Silva ↑ 86'
- 25
-
9
Erling Haaland ↑ 71'
-
11
Jeremy Doku ↑ 58'
- 15
-
26
Savio ↑ 58'
- 82
- 33
- 45
Southampton FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
-
14
James Bree ↓ Cameron Archer 89'
-
11
Ross Stewart ↓ Cyle Larin 61'
- 41
- 6
-
34
Welington ↓ Kuryu Matsuki 76'
- 10
-
18
Tom Fellows ↓ Samuel Edozie 89'
- 20
- 13
-
48
Cameron Bragg ↓ Shea Charles 61'
Bench
- 25
-
9
Cyle Larin ↑ 61'
-
19
Cameron Archer ↑ 89'
-
27
Kuryu Matsuki ↑ 76'
-
23
Samuel Edozie ↑ 89'
- 38
- 17
-
24
Shea Charles ↑ 61'
- 46
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Riyad Mahrez | 5 |
| Kevin De Bruyne | 4 |
| Raheem Sterling | 4 |
| Erling Haaland | 4 |
| Sergio Aguero | 3 |
| James Ward-Prowse | 3 |
| David Silva | 2 |
| Phil Foden | 2 |
Head to Head
Manchester City FC Form
Southampton FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.68
Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
Southampton FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Manchester City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Manchester City FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Southampton FC
47%
Manchester City FC or Southampton FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC
| Handicap | Manchester City FC covers | Push | Southampton FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 22% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.