Sunday , 16 August 2026

Manchester City FC vs Southampton FC, FA Cup 2025-26 SEMI FINALS

FA Cup · 2025-26
Sat 25 Apr 2026 · 16:15 UTC Wembley HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs Southampton FCFA Cup at Wembley.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Southampton FC H 2–1 W
22 Apr Burnley FC A 1–0 W
19 Apr Arsenal FC H 2–1 W
12 Apr Chelsea FC A 3–0 W
04 Apr Liverpool FC H 4–0 W
17 Mar Real Madrid CF H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Manchester City FC A 1–2 L
21 Apr Bristol City FC H 2–2 D
18 Apr Swansea City AFC A 2–1 W
14 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–0 W
11 Apr Derby County FC H 2–1 W
07 Apr Wrexham AFC A 5–1 W

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester City FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/
46-60
2/
61-75
1/
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Southampton FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester City FC
Antoine Semenyo 3 G 2 A
Erling Haaland 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Manchester City FC and Southampton FC is underway.
  • 5' Manchester City FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Jeremy Doku scoring 1 goals.
  • 10' Southampton FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 20' With 1 assists to his name this season, Phil Foden is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Southampton FC.
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 35' Manchester City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 40' England international John Stones has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 45' Cameron Bragg is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Southampton FC tonight.
  • 50' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 55' Southampton FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 55.
  • 58' The Manchester City FC manager makes a substitution. Phil Foden departs to be replaced by Savio.
  • 61' It is a substitution in Southampton FC team. Ross Stewart is replaced by Cyle Larin on 61 minute.
  • 66' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 71' Erling Haaland is replacing Omar Marmoush for the Manchester City FC side.
  • 76' Southampton FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kuryu Matsuki is hanging Welington on the field on 76 minute.
  • 79' Finn Azaz has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 79 minutes.
  • 83' Jeremy Doku does the damage! The net is bulging and Manchester City FC surge ahead!
  • 86' Another change for Manchester City FC made on 86 minute. Tijjani Reijnders leaves to be changed by Bernardo Silva.
  • 87' Nico Gonzalez doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 89' It is a substitution in Southampton FC team. James Bree is replaced by Cameron Archer on 89 minute.
  • 90' Taylor Harwood-Bellis is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Southampton FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.68 Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC53% Draw25% Southampton FC22%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Southampton FC
47%
Manchester City FC or Southampton FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC35% Draw45% Southampton FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap Manchester City FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 22% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.