Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Southampton FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Farai Hallam (England)
5 games this season 🟨 2.4/game ⚽ 10.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Middlesbrough FC H 1–1 D
20 Sep Hull City AFC A 1–3 L
14 Sep Portsmouth FC H 0–0 D
30 Aug Watford FC A 2–2 D
23 Aug Stoke City FC H 1–2 L
17 Aug Ipswich Town FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Southampton FC A 1–1 D
19 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
13 Sep Preston North End FC A 2–2 D
30 Aug Sheffield United FC H 1–0 W
23 Aug Norwich City FC A 2–1 W
16 Aug Millwall FC A 3–0 W

Season Stats

Southampton FC Middlesbrough FC
#13 Position #3
10 Points 15
8 Played 8
4 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 3 / 1
19 Scored 16
10 Conceded 12
+9 GD +4
1.25 PPG 1.88
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Southampton FC are 13th (10 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Southampton FC
Cyle Larin 7 G
Finn Azaz 3 G 4 A
Leo Scienza 2 G 2 A
Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 6 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.89 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Middlesbrough FC 74% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC42% Draw26% Middlesbrough FC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
58%
Southampton FC or Middlesbrough FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC34% Draw41% Middlesbrough FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
5.9%
1 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
4.7%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 20% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 16% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.