Southampton FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Southampton FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Middlesbrough FC

Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship .

Southampton FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Farai Hallam (England)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Southampton FC 6 games · Avg 2.3 goals Middlesbrough FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-27 Southampton FC 1–1 Middlesbrough FC 2024-03-29 Southampton FC 1–1 Middlesbrough FC 2023-09-23 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Southampton FC

Recent Form

Southampton FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	Middlesbrough FC	H	1–1	D
20 Sep	Hull City AFC	A	1–3	L
14 Sep	Portsmouth FC	H	0–0	D
30 Aug	Watford FC	A	2–2	D
23 Aug	Stoke City FC	H	1–2	L
17 Aug	Ipswich Town FC	A	1–1	D

Middlesbrough FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	Southampton FC	A	1–1	D
19 Sep	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	2–1	W
13 Sep	Preston North End FC	A	2–2	D
30 Aug	Sheffield United FC	H	1–0	W
23 Aug	Norwich City FC	A	2–1	W
16 Aug	Millwall FC	A	3–0	W

Season Stats

Southampton FC		Middlesbrough FC
#4	Position	#5
80	Points	80
46	Played	46
22 / 14 / 10	W / D / L	22 / 14 / 10
82	Scored	72
56	Conceded	47
+26	GD	+25
1.74	PPG	1.74
48%	Win %	48%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Southampton FC are 4th (80 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at as Southampton FC face off against Middlesbrough FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Adam Armstrong	2
Riley McGree	2
Emmanuel Latte Lath	1
Ross Stewart	1
Shea Charles	1
Jonny Howson	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.29 Southampton FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.4 Middlesbrough FC xG

I would bet for: Southampton FC or Middlesbrough FC 71% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Southampton FC33% Draw29% Middlesbrough FC38%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.69

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw

62%

Draw or Middlesbrough FC

67%

Southampton FC or Middlesbrough FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Southampton FC25% Draw47% Middlesbrough FC28%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

8.7%

0 – 1

8.5%

1 – 2

8.3%

1 – 0

7.7%

2 – 1

7.6%

0 – 2

6.5%

2 – 0

5.5%

2 – 2

5.4%

1 – 3

3.9%

3 – 1

3.3%

0 – 3

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap	Southampton FC covers	Push	Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	18%	67%
-0.5	33%	—	67%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	20%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	12%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.