Saturday , 14 November 2026

Southampton FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Farai Hallam (England)
6 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 10.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Middlesbrough FC H 1–1 D
20 Sep Hull City AFC A 1–3 L
14 Sep Portsmouth FC H 0–0 D
30 Aug Watford FC A 2–2 D
23 Aug Stoke City FC H 1–2 L
17 Aug Ipswich Town FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Southampton FC A 1–1 D
19 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
13 Sep Preston North End FC A 2–2 D
30 Aug Sheffield United FC H 1–0 W
23 Aug Norwich City FC A 2–1 W
16 Aug Millwall FC A 3–0 W

Season Stats

Southampton FC Middlesbrough FC
#7 Position #2
24 Points 29
15 Played 15
8 / 4 / 3 W / D / L 8 / 5 / 2
29 Scored 30
15 Conceded 19
+14 GD +11
1.60 PPG 1.93
53% Win % 53%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Southampton FC are 7th (24 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
2/4
31-45
6/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
3/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/4
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Southampton FC
Cyle Larin 7 G
Kuryu Matsuki 4 G 1 A
Finn Azaz 3 G 5 A
Leo Scienza 2 G 2 A
Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 13 G
Amario Cozier-Duberry 3 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.44 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Middlesbrough FC 72% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC37% Draw28% Middlesbrough FC35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
63%
Southampton FC or Middlesbrough FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC28% Draw46% Middlesbrough FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.