Thursday , 2 July 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 12 Aug 2023 · 09:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium 28,329 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 10' Yuki Ohashi
Yoshiaki Takagi 75' 1–2
Yoshiaki Takagi 90+3' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Shonan BellmareJ. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Shu Kawamata (Japan)
  • Assistant 1 Toshiyuki Wazumi

Head-to-Head

2
2
2
Albirex Niigata 6 games · Avg 4.2 goals Shonan Bellmare

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Shonan Bellmare H 2–2 D
05 Aug Nagoya Grampus A 0–1 L
15 Jul Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–0 W
07 Jul Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
01 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–0 W
24 Jun Kashiwa Reysol A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Albirex Niigata A 2–2 D
05 Aug Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–0 W
16 Jul Avispa Fukuoka H 0–1 L
08 Jul Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
02 Jul Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–4 L
28 Jun Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–4 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.68 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata45% Draw26% Shonan Bellmare29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
71%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
55%
Albirex Niigata or Shonan Bellmare
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata33% Draw44% Shonan Bellmare23%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 20% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
27%
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.