Thursday , 2 July 2026

Gamba Osaka vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Gamba Osaka
4 – 2
Full Time
Albirex Niigata
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 08:00 UTC Suita City Football Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

4
2
Gamba Osaka 6 games · Avg 3.3 goals Albirex Niigata
Last 5 meetings
2025-09-27 Gamba Osaka 4–2 Albirex Niigata 2025-03-29 Albirex Niigata 3–3 Gamba Osaka 2024-11-30 Albirex Niigata 0–1 Gamba Osaka 2024-03-02 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Albirex Niigata 2023-09-17 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Albirex Niigata

Recent Form

Gamba Osaka
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Albirex Niigata H 4–2 W
23 Sep Yokohama F·Marinos H 3–1 W
13 Sep Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–0 W
31 Aug Shonan Bellmare A 5–4 W
23 Aug Yokohama FC H 3–2 W
20 Aug FC Machida Zelvia A 1–3 L
Albirex Niigata
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Gamba Osaka A 2–4 L
23 Sep Nagoya Grampus H 0–0 D
20 Sep Yokohama FC A 0–1 L
13 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–1 L
31 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–1 L
23 Aug Kashima Antlers H 1–2 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Suita City Football Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Gamba Osaka seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Fumiya Hayakawa suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Taiki Arai puts Albirex Niigata on the lead.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' The travelling Albirex Niigata supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 30' Abdelrahman Saidi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
  • 37' Goal! Takashi Usami scores his 44 goal in 302 matches.
  • 42' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 47' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shota Fukuoka made 37 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 49' Jin Okumura puts Albirex Niigata on the lead.
  • 54' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Albirex Niigata that had 110 games and scored 119 goals.
  • 59' Gamba Osaka is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 60' GOAL! Welton scores on 60. Assisted by Deniz Hummet
  • 61' The supporters are chanting for Motoki Ohara. He replaces Kaito Taniguchi on 61 minute.
  • 64' Shuto Abe puts Gamba Osaka on the lead.
  • 67' The Albirex Niigata manager makes a substitution. Jin Okumura departs to be replaced by Abdelrahman Saidi.
  • 72' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 75' GOAL! Deniz Hummet scores on 75.
  • 76' Tokuma Suzuki has so much to prove this time. He replaces Makoto Mitsuta on 76 minute.
  • 80' The whistle greets Taiki Arai as he departs to be replaced by Yoshiaki Takagi.
  • 83' Issam Jebali has so much to prove this time. He replaces Deniz Hummet on 83 minute.
  • 88' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Gamba Osaka players.

Lineups

Gamba Osaka Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Dani Poyatos

Albirex Niigata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Toru Irie

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Takashi Usami 3
Jin Okumura 2
Issam Jebali 2
Ken Yamura 1
Shuto Abe 1
Juan Alano 1
Welton 1
Shu Kurata 1

Head to Head

2025-09-27 Gamba Osaka 4–2 Albirex Niigata 2025-03-29 Albirex Niigata 3–3 Gamba Osaka 2024-11-30 Albirex Niigata 0–1 Gamba Osaka 2024-03-02 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Albirex Niigata 2023-09-17 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Albirex Niigata

Gamba Osaka Form

2025-09-27 Gamba Osaka 4–2 Albirex Niigata W 2025-09-23 Gamba Osaka 3–1 Yokohama F·Marinos W 2025-09-13 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2025-08-31 Shonan Bellmare 4–5 Gamba Osaka W 2025-08-23 Gamba Osaka 3–2 Yokohama FC W 2025-08-20 FC Machida Zelvia 3–1 Gamba Osaka L

Albirex Niigata Form

2025-09-27 Gamba Osaka 4–2 Albirex Niigata L 2025-09-23 Albirex Niigata 0–0 Nagoya Grampus D 2025-09-20 Yokohama FC 1–0 Albirex Niigata L 2025-09-13 Albirex Niigata 0–1 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2025-08-31 Urawa Red Diamonds 1–0 Albirex Niigata L 2025-08-23 Albirex Niigata 1–2 Kashima Antlers L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.87 Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for: Gamba Osaka to win 58% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gamba Osaka58% Draw23% Albirex Niigata19%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw
81%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
42%
Gamba Osaka or Albirex Niigata
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Gamba Osaka39% Draw43% Albirex Niigata18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.8%
1 – 0
8.8%
0 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap Gamba Osaka covers Push Albirex Niigata covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 22% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.