Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 1 Jul 2023 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 11' Felipe Melo
Y 86' Jhon Arias
Patryck 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs Fluminense FCSerie A .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
25 Jun Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
21 Jun CA Paranaense H 2–1 W
11 Jun SE Palmeiras H 0–2 L
04 Jun Gremio FBPA A 1–2 L
28 May Goiás EC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jul Sao Paulo FC A 0–1 L
28 Jun CS Cristal H 1–1 D
24 Jun EC Bahia H 2–1 W
22 Jun CA Mineiro H 1–1 D
11 Jun Goiás EC A 2–2 D
08 Jun CA River Plate A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC Fluminense FC
#12 Position #4
27 Points 38
22 Played 23
7 / 6 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 5
27 Scored 34
26 Conceded 28
+1 GD +6
1.23 PPG 1.65
32% Win % 43%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 7 G 1 A
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Sao Paulo FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' It looks surprising Fluminense FC does not make any changes. Luciano has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 11' Fluminense FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 16' Fluminense FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 21' Rafinha needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 26' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 31' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sao Paulo FC and Fluminense FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 36' Sao Paulo FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 41' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 46' Rodrigo Huendra makes way for Wellington Rato at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
  • 51' Felipe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fluminense FC so far.
  • 55' The referee calls foul for Gabriel Neves. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 58' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Gabriel Neves departs to be replaced by Alisson.
  • 59' The crowd applauds Felipe Melo as he leaves the pitch. Felipe steps in for Fluminense FC.
  • 63' Lele gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Gabriel Pirani and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 68' Fluminense FC have won 417 goals from 389 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 73' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 78' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 82' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Keno departs to be replaced by John Kennedy.
  • 86' Poor challenge from Jhon Arias. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 87' What a moment for Luciano! That strike on 87 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 90' Nathan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luciano on 90 minute.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Patryck gets a Yellow card.
  • Sao Paulo FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.3 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Sao Paulo FC or Fluminense FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC42% Draw29% Fluminense FC29%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Fluminense FC
58%
Sao Paulo FC or Fluminense FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC27% Draw49% Fluminense FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
32%
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.