Sao Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A .
- Sao Paulo FC 22 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 23 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul | Fluminense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Jun | CA Paranaense | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Jun | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Jun | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 May | Goiás EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jun | CS Cristal | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Jun | EC Bahia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Jun | CA Mineiro | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Jun | Goiás EC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Jun | CA River Plate | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Sao Paulo FC | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #4 |
| 27 | Points | 38 |
| 22 | Played | 23 |
| 7 / 6 / 9 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 5 |
| 27 | Scored | 34 |
| 26 | Conceded | 28 |
| +1 | GD | +6 |
| 1.23 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 32% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 7 G | 1 A |
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Sao Paulo FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' It looks surprising Fluminense FC does not make any changes. Luciano has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 11' Fluminense FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 16' Fluminense FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 21' Rafinha needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 26' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 31' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sao Paulo FC and Fluminense FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 36' Sao Paulo FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 41' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 46' Rodrigo Huendra makes way for Wellington Rato at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
- 51' Felipe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fluminense FC so far.
- 55' The referee calls foul for Gabriel Neves. He receives a Yellow card.
- 58' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Gabriel Neves departs to be replaced by Alisson.
- 59' The crowd applauds Felipe Melo as he leaves the pitch. Felipe steps in for Fluminense FC.
- 63' Lele gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Gabriel Pirani and will look to change the dynamic.
- 68' Fluminense FC have won 417 goals from 389 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 73' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 78' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 82' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Keno departs to be replaced by John Kennedy.
- 86' Poor challenge from Jhon Arias. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 87' What a moment for Luciano! That strike on 87 puts his side firmly in control.
- 90' Nathan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luciano on 90 minute.
- 90' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Patryck gets a Yellow card.
- Sao Paulo FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 5
- 13
- 28
- 11
- 36
- 29
- 20
- 23
- 18
- 31
Bench
- 22
- 7
- 93
- 8
- 32
- 21
- 27
- 47
- 4
- 34
- 45
- –
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- 29
-
30
Felipe Melo ↓ Felipe 59'
- 12
-
11
Keno ↓ John Kennedy 82'
- 14
-
20
Gabriel Pirani ↓ Lele 63'
- 45
- 21
- 8
Bench
- 98
-
23
Guga ↑ 82'
- 10
-
9
John Kennedy ↑ 82'
- 22
- –
- 40
- 37
-
99
Lele ↑ 63'
-
13
Felipe ↑ 59'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 4 |
| Reinaldo | 3 |
| Brenner | 3 |
| Agustin Canobbio | 3 |
| Patrick | 2 |
| Luciano Neves | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Robert Arboleda | 2 |
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.3
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Sao Paulo FC or Fluminense FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sao Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Fluminense FC
58%
Sao Paulo FC or Fluminense FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 21% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 18% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

