Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 1 Jul 2023 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 11' Felipe Melo
Y 86' Jhon Arias
Patryck 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs Fluminense FCSerie A .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
25 Jun Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
21 Jun CA Paranaense H 2–1 W
11 Jun SE Palmeiras H 0–2 L
04 Jun Grêmio FBPA A 1–2 L
28 May Goiás EC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jul Sao Paulo FC A 0–1 L
28 Jun CS Cristal H 1–1 D
24 Jun EC Bahia H 2–1 W
22 Jun CA Mineiro H 1–1 D
11 Jun Goiás EC A 2–2 D
08 Jun CA River Plate A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC Fluminense FC
#8 Position #3
25 Points 31
18 Played 18
7 / 4 / 7 W / D / L 9 / 4 / 5
23 Scored 28
20 Conceded 23
+3 GD +5
1.39 PPG 1.72
39% Win % 50%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
/2
16-30
3/
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 1 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Fluminense FC gets underway.
  • 5' The travelling Fluminense FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Fluminense FC is showing some good football. However, Fluminense FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 11' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Felipe Melo.
  • 16' Guga has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 21' Fluminense FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 26' It is a cagey affair so far. Sao Paulo FC in their trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact .
  • 31' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sao Paulo FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 36' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 41' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Pablo Maia made 371 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 46' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Wellington Rato comes on to replace Rodrigo Huendra.
  • 51' Fluminense FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker John Kennedy scoring 1 goals.
  • 55' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Gabriel Neves on 55 minutes.
  • 58' Alisson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gabriel Neves on 58 minute.
  • 59' Felipe is replacing Felipe Melo for the Fluminense FC side.
  • 63' Another substitution for Fluminense FC to replace Gabriel Pirani by Lele on 63 minute.
  • 68' Rafael Monteiro, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 73' It looks like no one’s ball. Fluminense FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 78' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 82' The whistle greets Keno as he departs to be replaced by John Kennedy.
  • 86' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Jhon Arias.
  • 87' Luciano does the damage! The net is bulging and Sao Paulo FC surge ahead!
  • 90' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Luciano has done his job and it is now time for Nathan to step up.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Patryck.
  • Sao Paulo FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.34 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Sao Paulo FC or Fluminense FC 72% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC43% Draw28% Fluminense FC29%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Fluminense FC
57%
Sao Paulo FC or Fluminense FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC29% Draw49% Fluminense FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.