Sunday , 16 August 2026

EC Juventude vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 24 Jul 2025 · 22:00 UTC Alfredo Jaconi HT 45' · FT 45'
Marcos Paulo 27' Y
Y 28' Andre Silva
Gilberto 31' Y
Y 90' Luciano
Caique 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

EC Juventude vs Sao Paulo FCSerie A at Alfredo Jaconi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jul Sao Paulo FC H 0–1 L
20 Jul Cruzeiro EC A 0–4 L
14 Jul SC Recife H 2–0 W
01 Jun Gremio FBPA H 0–2 L
26 May RB Bragantino A 0–1 L
18 May Fluminense FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jul EC Juventude A 1–0 W
20 Jul SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–0 W
17 Jul RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
12 Jul CR Flamengo A 0–2 L
13 Jun CR Vasco da Gama H 1–3 L
31 May EC Bahia A 1–2 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 7 G 1 A
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.09 EC Juventude xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: EC Juventude or Sao Paulo FC 68% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
EC Juventude35% Draw32% Sao Paulo FC33%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.1
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

EC Juventude or Draw
67%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
65%
EC Juventude or Sao Paulo FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
EC Juventude24% Draw54% Sao Paulo FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.7%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
12.1%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
2.6%
3 – 0
2.5%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — EC Juventude

Handicap EC Juventude covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 21% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 19% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

EC Juventude keeps clean sheet
37%
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.