Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sagan Tosu FC
1 – 2
Full Time
Shonan Bellmare
Sat 31 Aug 2024 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 46' Konsuke Onose
Y 58' Lukian
Y 64' Junnosuke Suzuki
Y 68' Sho Fukuda
Wataru Harada 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

5
5
6
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals Shonan Bellmare
Last 5 meetings
2024-08-31 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Shonan Bellmare 2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-06-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–6 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Shonan Bellmare H 1–2 L
25 Aug Vissel Kobe A 0–2 L
16 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 3–5 L
11 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–1 D
07 Aug Kashima Antlers A 0–3 L
21 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–4 L
Shonan Bellmare
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Sagan Tosu FC A 2–1 W
24 Aug Nagoya Grampus H 0–1 L
17 Aug Kashiwa Reysol H 1–2 L
11 Aug FC Machida Zelvia A 1–0 W
07 Aug Avispa Fukuoka H 1–1 D
20 Jul Gamba Osaka A 1–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Shonan Bellmare kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their trying to find a way past Shonan Bellmare's compact .
  • 10' Shonan Bellmare are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' Japan international Taiga Hata has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 20' Shonan Bellmare fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Shonan Bellmare needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 31' A stunning finish from Akito Suzuki — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 36' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lukian, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 41' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Shonan Bellmare backline.
  • 46' A moment of madness from Konsuke Onose on 46 minutes earns him a card. Shonan Bellmare will be frustrated.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Keisuke Sakaiya is replaced by Tojiro Kubo on 46 minute.
  • 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 56' Shonan Bellmare come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 58' The referee has no hesitation. Lukian is booked for Shonan Bellmare — card on 58.
  • 62' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Akito Fukuta departs to be replaced by Shota Hino.
  • 63' Another substitution for Shonan Bellmare to replace Akimi Barada by Kohei Okuno on 63 minute.
  • 64' A meaty challenge results in booking for Junnosuke Suzuki on 64.
  • 68' Sho Fukuda was booked on 68.
  • 70' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Yoshiki Narahara exits the field as Yusuke Maruhashi enters on 70.
  • 75' Il-kyu Park has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 79' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Hikaru Nakahara trudges off to be replaced by Hiroshi Kiyotake on 79 minutes.
  • 80' The whistle greets Takuya Okamoto as he departs to be replaced by Taiga Hata.
  • 81' Junnosuke Suzuki makes way for Sere Matsumura at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shonan Bellmare.
  • 84' What an equalizer from Seiji Kimura!
  • 87' Goal! Sho Fukuda scores his 14 goal in 418 matches.
  • 89' The supporters are chanting for Luiz Phellype. He replaces Masaki Ikeda on 89 minute.
  • 90' Wataru Harada is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Naoyuki Iwata

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Satoshi Yamaguchi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Shuto Machino 4
Yuki Ohashi 4
Yuji Ono 4
Cho Donggeon 2
Daichi Hayashi 2
Sho Fukuda 2
Yuta Fujihara 2
Isaac Cuenca 2

Head to Head

2024-08-31 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Shonan Bellmare 2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-06-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–6 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-08-31 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Shonan Bellmare L 2024-08-25 Vissel Kobe 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-08-16 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 5–3 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-08-11 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2024-08-07 Kashima Antlers 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-07-21 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L

Shonan Bellmare Form

2024-08-31 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Shonan Bellmare W 2024-08-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-08-17 Shonan Bellmare 1–2 Kashiwa Reysol L 2024-08-11 FC Machida Zelvia 0–1 Shonan Bellmare W 2024-08-07 Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka D 2024-07-20 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Shonan Bellmare W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw27% Shonan Bellmare44%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
71%
Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC22% Draw46% Shonan Bellmare32%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.5%
0 – 0
7.8%
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 16% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 21% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.