Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 3–5 | L |
| 11 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Aug | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Aug | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Aug | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Jul | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Sagan Tosu FC and Shonan Bellmare has kicked off!
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sagan Tosu FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' Kazunari Ono has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 418 appearances.
- 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their trying to find a way past Shonan Bellmare's compact .
- 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 31' What composure from Akito Suzuki! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 36' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 41' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 46' Controversy at the stadium! Konsuke Onose argues furiously but the card stands.
- 46' Tojiro Kubo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Keisuke Sakaiya at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 56' Keisuke Sakaiya has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 58' Lukian was booked on 58.
- 62' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Shota Hino on, Akito Fukuta off on 62 minutes.
- 63' Shonan Bellmare manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kohei Okuno is hanging Akimi Barada on the field on 63 minute.
- 64' It’s a booking for Shonan Bellmare player. Junnosuke Suzuki gets a card.
- 68' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Sho Fukuda.
- 70' Yoshiki Narahara makes way for Yusuke Maruhashi at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
- 75' Over 75 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 79' Hiroshi Kiyotake gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Hikaru Nakahara and will look to change the dynamic.
- 80' The Shonan Bellmare bench stirs into life. Takuya Okamoto is withdrawn and Taiga Hata gets his opportunity.
- 81' Time for substitution for Shonan Bellmare. Junnosuke Suzuki is replaced by Sere Matsumura.
- 84' Seiji Kimura is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 87' GOAL! Sho Fukuda fires home to make it 1-2!
- 89' Another change for Shonan Bellmare made on 89 minute. Masaki Ikeda leaves to be changed by Luiz Phellype.
- 90' Wataru Harada was booked on 90.
- It finishes all square. Sagan Tosu FC and Shonan Bellmare share the spoils 1-2.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 22
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Shota Hino 62'
- 77
- 71
- 8
- 42
- 27
- 37
-
32
Keisuke Sakaiya ↓ Tojiro Kubo 46'
- 20
Bench
-
28
Yusuke Maruhashi ↑ 70'
-
55
Hiroshi Kiyotake ↑ 79'
- 4
- 31
-
24
Tojiro Kubo ↑ 46'
-
18
Shota Hino ↑ 62'
-
33
Kento Nishiya ↑ 62'
Coach
Naoyuki Iwata
Shonan Bellmare Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Takuya Okamoto ↓ Taiga Hata 80'
- 8
- 99
- 5
- 11
-
14
Akimi Barada ↓ Kohei Okuno 63'
-
18
Masaki Ikeda ↓ Luiz Phellype 89'
-
29
Akito Suzuki ↓ Sho Fukuda 46'
- 33
- 30
- 88
Bench
-
27
Luiz Phellype ↑ 89'
- 7
-
15
Kohei Okuno ↑ 63'
-
3
Taiga Hata ↑ 80'
- 1
-
32
Sere Matsumura ↑ 81'
-
19
Sho Fukuda ↑ 46'
Coach
Satoshi Yamaguchi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shuto Machino | 4 |
| Yuki Ohashi | 4 |
| Yuji Ono | 4 |
| Sho Fukuda | 2 |
| Yuta Fujihara | 2 |
| Isaac Cuenca | 2 |
| Cho Donggeon | 2 |
| Daichi Hayashi | 2 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Shonan Bellmare Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59
Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare 73% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Shonan Bellmare win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
71%
Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.5%
0 – 0
7.8%
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Shonan Bellmare covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 16% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 21% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 13% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

