Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 31 Aug 2024 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan BellmareJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Shonan Bellmare H 1–2 L
25 Aug Vissel Kobe A 0–2 L
16 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 3–5 L
11 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–1 D
07 Aug Kashima Antlers A 0–3 L
21 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Sagan Tosu FC A 2–1 W
24 Aug Nagoya Grampus H 0–1 L
17 Aug Kashiwa Reysol H 1–2 L
11 Aug FC Machida Zelvia A 1–0 W
07 Aug Avispa Fukuoka H 1–1 D
20 Jul Gamba Osaka A 1–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw27% Shonan Bellmare44%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
71%
Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC22% Draw46% Shonan Bellmare32%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.5%
0 – 0
7.8%
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 16% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 21% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
21%
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.