Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 3–5 | L |
| 11 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Aug | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Aug | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Aug | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Jul | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Shonan Bellmare gets underway.
- 5' The travelling Shonan Bellmare supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' Wataru Harada has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 15' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Akito Fukuta, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 25' It’s high time Satoshi Yamaguchi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 30' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Tsubasa Terayama has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 31' Shonan Bellmare is taking the lead after the goal scored by Akito Suzuki on 31.
- 36' Shonan Bellmare is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 41' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 41 minutes.
- 46' It’s gonna be a card for Konsuke Onose.
- 46' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Keisuke Sakaiya by Tojiro Kubo on 46 minute.
- 51' Vykintas Slivka needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 58' It’s gonna be a card for Lukian.
- 62' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Akito Fukuta by Shota Hino on 62 minute.
- 63' Another substitution for Shonan Bellmare to replace Akimi Barada by Kohei Okuno on 63 minute.
- 64' A meaty challenge results in booking for Junnosuke Suzuki on 64.
- 68' The referee calls foul for Sho Fukuda. He receives a card.
- 70' The whistle greets Yoshiki Narahara as he departs to be replaced by Yusuke Maruhashi.
- 75' Shonan Bellmare started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 75.
- 79' Hiroshi Kiyotake has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hikaru Nakahara on 79 minute.
- 80' It is a substitution in Shonan Bellmare team. Takuya Okamoto is replaced by Taiga Hata on 80 minute.
- 81' Shonan Bellmare manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sere Matsumura is hanging Junnosuke Suzuki on the field on 81 minute.
- 84' GOAL! Seiji Kimura scores on 84. Assisted by Kento Nishiya
- 87' GOAL! Sho Fukuda scores on 87.
- 89' Luiz Phellype has so much to prove this time. He replaces Masaki Ikeda on 89 minute.
- 90' Sagan Tosu FC player sees a card in front of him.
- The final score is 1-2.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 22
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Shota Hino 62'
- 77
- 71
- 8
- 42
- 27
- 37
-
32
Keisuke Sakaiya ↓ Tojiro Kubo 46'
- 20
Bench
-
28
Yusuke Maruhashi ↑ 70'
-
55
Hiroshi Kiyotake ↑ 79'
- 4
- 31
-
24
Tojiro Kubo ↑ 46'
-
18
Shota Hino ↑ 62'
-
33
Kento Nishiya ↑ 62'
Coach
Naoyuki Iwata
Shonan Bellmare Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Takuya Okamoto ↓ Taiga Hata 80'
- 8
- 99
- 5
- 11
-
14
Akimi Barada ↓ Kohei Okuno 63'
-
18
Masaki Ikeda ↓ Luiz Phellype 89'
-
29
Akito Suzuki ↓ Sho Fukuda 46'
- 33
- 30
- 88
Bench
-
27
Luiz Phellype ↑ 89'
- 7
-
15
Kohei Okuno ↑ 63'
-
3
Taiga Hata ↑ 80'
- 1
-
32
Sere Matsumura ↑ 81'
-
19
Sho Fukuda ↑ 46'
Coach
Satoshi Yamaguchi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shuto Machino | 4 |
| Yuki Ohashi | 4 |
| Yuji Ono | 4 |
| Yuta Fujihara | 2 |
| Isaac Cuenca | 2 |
| Cho Donggeon | 2 |
| Daichi Hayashi | 2 |
| Sho Fukuda | 2 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Shonan Bellmare Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59
Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare 73% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Shonan Bellmare win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
71%
Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.5%
0 – 0
7.8%
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Shonan Bellmare covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 16% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 21% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 13% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

