Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sagan Tosu FC
1 – 5
Full Time
Shonan Bellmare
Sat 18 Feb 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 9,663 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 3' Yuki Ohashi
0–2 36' Yuki Ohashi
0–3 45+6' Taiyo Hiraoka
Yuji Ono 45+10' 1–3
1–4 60' Yuki Ohashi
1–5 64' Konsuke Onose
Yuji Ono 29' Y
Y 45' Ryota Nagaki

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Masuya Ueda
  • Assistant 1 Yukitaka Kumagai (Japan)
  • Assistant 2 Hiroyoshi Iwata

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

5
5
6
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals Shonan Bellmare
Last 5 meetings
2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-02-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-02-27 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb Shonan Bellmare H 1–5 L
05 Nov Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–2 D
29 Oct Shonan Bellmare A 0–3 L
08 Oct Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
01 Oct Kyōto Sanga FC H 0–1 L
16 Sep Kashima Antlers H 1–1 D
Shonan Bellmare
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb Sagan Tosu FC A 5–1 W
05 Nov Kashiwa Reysol A 2–1 W
29 Oct Sagan Tosu FC H 3–0 W
12 Oct Vissel Kobe A 0–1 L
08 Oct FC Tōkyō A 2–0 W
01 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Ekimae Real Estate Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Sagan Tosu FC and Shonan Bellmare.
  • 3' What composure from Yuki Ohashi! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 8' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit 12 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 13' A goal from the Japan international Yoichi Naganuma! He fires home on 13 to make it 1-1!
  • 18' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-1-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 23' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Shonan Bellmare seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 28' It’s high time Kenta Kawai made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 29' Yuji Ono is having his name booked by the referee on 29.
  • 34' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 34 minutes.
  • 36' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Yuki Ohashi makes it 1-2.
  • 40' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Yuki Ohashi makes it 1-3.
  • 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Ryota Nagaki.
  • 46' Goal! Akito Fukuta scores his 6 goal in 279 matches.
  • 50' The deadlock is broken! Taiyo Hiraoka gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
  • 51' Taiyo Hiraoka with the second goal in the match!
  • 54' Brilliant from the ! Yuji Ono makes it 3-5 with a superb finish on 45.
  • 55' Yuji Ono doubles the advantage! 4-5 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 60' Yuki Ohashi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 60 minutes.
  • 61' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryonosuke Kabayama is hanging Yuto Iwasaki on the field on 61 minute.
  • 62' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Akito Fukuta is replaced by Masaya Tashiro on 62 minute.
  • 64' Against the run of play, Kosuke Onose has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 65' The Shonan Bellmare bench stirs into life. Shuto Machino is withdrawn and Tarik Elyounoussi gets his opportunity.
  • 65' Goal! Taiga Hata scores his 5 goal in 418 matches.
  • 68' Junnosuke Suzuki is replacing Ryota Nagaki for the Shonan Bellmare side.
  • 73' Shonan Bellmare have won 315 goals from 418 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 78' Shonan Bellmare are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 80' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Fuchi Honda trudges off to be replaced by Naoyuki Fujita on 80 minutes.
  • 82' Takuya Okamoto is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuki Ohashi at the 82 minute mark.
  • 83' Takuya Okamoto gets the nod from Shonan Bellmare. He replaces Yuki Ohashi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' The travelling Shonan Bellmare supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 1-5 the final result. Sagan Tosu FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Satoshi Yamaguchi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Yuji Ono 4
Shuto Machino 4
Yuki Ohashi 4
Isaac Cuenca 2
Cho Donggeon 2
Daichi Hayashi 2
Sho Fukuda 2
Yuta Fujihara 2

Head to Head

2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-02-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-02-27 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare L 2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-08 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-01 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kyōto Sanga FC L 2022-09-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashima Antlers D

Shonan Bellmare Form

2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare W 2022-11-05 Kashiwa Reysol 1–2 Shonan Bellmare W 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2022-10-12 Vissel Kobe 1–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2022-10-08 FC Tōkyō 0–2 Shonan Bellmare W 2022-10-01 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC25% Draw26% Shonan Bellmare49%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
75%
Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC19% Draw45% Shonan Bellmare36%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted
1 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
9.2%
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 22% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 16% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.