Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sagan Tosu FC
1 – 5
Full Time
Shonan Bellmare
Sat 18 Feb 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 9,663 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 3' Yuki Ohashi
0–2 36' Yuki Ohashi
0–3 45+6' Taiyo Hiraoka
Yuji Ono 45+10' 1–3
1–4 60' Yuki Ohashi
1–5 64' Konsuke Onose
Yuji Ono 29' Y
Y 45' Ryota Nagaki

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Masuya Ueda
  • Assistant 1 Yukitaka Kumagai (Japan)
  • Assistant 2 Hiroyoshi Iwata
3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 4.7 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

5
5
6
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals Shonan Bellmare
Last 5 meetings
2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-02-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-02-27 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb Shonan Bellmare H 1–5 L
05 Nov Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–2 D
29 Oct Shonan Bellmare A 0–3 L
08 Oct Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
01 Oct Kyōto Sanga FC H 0–1 L
16 Sep Kashima Antlers H 1–1 D
Shonan Bellmare
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb Sagan Tosu FC A 5–1 W
05 Nov Kashiwa Reysol A 2–1 W
29 Oct Sagan Tosu FC H 3–0 W
12 Oct Vissel Kobe A 0–1 L
08 Oct FC Tōkyō A 2–0 W
01 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 3' The deadlock is broken! Yuki Ohashi gets on the scoresheet on 3 minutes.
  • 8' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 8 minutes.
  • 13' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Yoichi Naganuma makes it 1-1.
  • 18' The travelling Shonan Bellmare supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 23' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit 12 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 28' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 29' Sagan Tosu FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 29.
  • 34' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 36' GOAL! Yuki Ohashi scores on 36.
  • 40' What composure from Yuki Ohashi! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-3.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ryota Nagaki on 45.
  • 46' Akito Fukuta makes no mistake. The score reads 2-3 and Sagan Tosu FC are in front.
  • 50' Taiyo Hiraoka has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
  • 51' Taiyo Hiraoka is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 54' The Japan Yuji Ono breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 3-5!
  • 55' Yuji Ono has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
  • 60' Against the run of play, Yuki Ohashi has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 61' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Ryonosuke Kabayama comes on to replace Yuto Iwasaki.
  • 62' The whistle greets Akito Fukuta as he departs to be replaced by Masaya Tashiro.
  • 64' The deadlock is broken! Kosuke Onose gets on the scoresheet on 64 minutes.
  • 65' Shonan Bellmare manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tarik Elyounoussi is hanging Shuto Machino on the field on 65 minute.
  • 65' GOAL! Taiga Hata fires home to make it 4-8!
  • 68' Shonan Bellmare manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Junnosuke Suzuki is hanging Ryota Nagaki on the field on 68 minute.
  • 73' Supporters expect more eagerness from Il-kyu Park, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 78' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-1-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 80' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Fuchi Honda trudges off to be replaced by Naoyuki Fujita on 80 minutes.
  • 82' Fresh legs for Shonan Bellmare! Takuya Okamoto comes on to replace Yuki Ohashi.
  • 83' Yuki Ohashi makes way for Takuya Okamoto at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shonan Bellmare.
  • 88' Shonan Bellmare is showing some good football. However, Shonan Bellmare are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • The final score is 1-5.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Satoshi Yamaguchi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Shuto Machino 4
Yuki Ohashi 4
Yuji Ono 4
Cho Donggeon 2
Daichi Hayashi 2
Sho Fukuda 2
Yuta Fujihara 2
Isaac Cuenca 2

Head to Head

2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-02-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-02-27 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare L 2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-08 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-01 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kyōto Sanga FC L 2022-09-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashima Antlers D

Shonan Bellmare Form

2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare W 2022-11-05 Kashiwa Reysol 1–2 Shonan Bellmare W 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2022-10-12 Vissel Kobe 1–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2022-10-08 FC Tōkyō 0–2 Shonan Bellmare W 2022-10-01 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC25% Draw26% Shonan Bellmare49%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
75%
Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC19% Draw45% Shonan Bellmare36%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted
1 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
9.2%
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 22% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 16% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.