Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sagan Tosu FC
1 – 5
Full Time
Shonan Bellmare
Sat 18 Feb 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 9,663 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 3' Yuki Ohashi
0–2 36' Yuki Ohashi
0–3 45+6' Taiyo Hiraoka
Yuji Ono 45+10' 1–3
1–4 60' Yuki Ohashi
1–5 64' Konsuke Onose
Yuji Ono 29' Y
Y 45' Ryota Nagaki

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Masuya Ueda
  • Assistant 1 Yukitaka Kumagai (Japan)
  • Assistant 2 Hiroyoshi Iwata
11 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 4.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

5
5
6
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals Shonan Bellmare
Last 5 meetings
2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-02-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-02-27 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb Shonan Bellmare H 1–5 L
05 Nov Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–2 D
29 Oct Shonan Bellmare A 0–3 L
08 Oct Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
01 Oct Kyoto Sanga FC H 0–1 L
16 Sep Kashima Antlers H 1–1 D
Shonan Bellmare
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb Sagan Tosu FC A 5–1 W
05 Nov Kashiwa Reysol A 2–1 W
29 Oct Sagan Tosu FC H 3–0 W
12 Oct Vissel Kobe A 0–1 L
08 Oct FC Tōkyō A 2–0 W
01 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium as Sagan Tosu FC face off against Shonan Bellmare in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 3' GOAL! Yuki Ohashi fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 8' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 13' Yoichi Naganuma has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 13 minutes.
  • 18' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Shonan Bellmare's 3-1-4-2 shape.
  • 23' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Satoshi Yamaguchi will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 28' Il-kyu Park has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 29' Controversy at the stadium! Yuji Ono argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 34' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 36' Goal! Yuki Ohashi scores his 42 goal in 418 matches.
  • 40' The Japan Yuki Ohashi breaks the deadlock on 40 minutes. 1-3!
  • 45' That is a Yellow card for Shonan Bellmare. Ryota Nagaki will be fuming at that decision.
  • 46' A stunning finish from Akito Fukuta — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 50' Brilliant from the ! Taiyo Hiraoka makes it 2-4 with a superb finish on 45.
  • 51' Goal! Taiyo Hiraoka scores his 9 goal in 418 matches.
  • 54' Brilliant from the ! Yuji Ono makes it 3-5 with a superb finish on 45.
  • 55' Brilliant from the ! Yuji Ono makes it 4-5 with a superb finish on 45.
  • 60' Goal! Yuki Ohashi scores his 42 goal in 418 matches.
  • 61' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Ryonosuke Kabayama comes on to replace Yuto Iwasaki.
  • 62' The supporters are chanting for Masaya Tashiro. He replaces Akito Fukuta on 62 minute.
  • 64' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kosuke Onose makes it 4-7.
  • 65' The supporters are chanting for Tarik Elyounoussi. He replaces Shuto Machino on 65 minute.
  • 65' Brilliant from the ! Taiga Hata makes it 4-8 with a superb finish on 65.
  • 68' Another change for Shonan Bellmare made on 68 minute. Ryota Nagaki leaves to be changed by Junnosuke Suzuki.
  • 73' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 78' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Shonan Bellmare are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 80' Naoyuki Fujita has so much to prove this time. He replaces Fuchi Honda on 80 minute.
  • 82' Takuya Okamoto is replacing Yuki Ohashi for the Shonan Bellmare side.
  • 83' Shonan Bellmare manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Takuya Okamoto is hanging Yuki Ohashi on the field on 83 minute.
  • 88' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Naoki Yamada has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • The points are shared — Sagan Tosu FC 1-5 Shonan Bellmare. Honours even.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Satoshi Yamaguchi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Shuto Machino 4
Yuki Ohashi 4
Yuji Ono 4
Cho Donggeon 2
Daichi Hayashi 2
Sho Fukuda 2
Yuta Fujihara 2
Isaac Cuenca 2

Head to Head

2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-02-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-02-27 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare L 2022-11-05 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-08 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-01 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kyoto Sanga FC L 2022-09-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashima Antlers D

Shonan Bellmare Form

2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare W 2022-11-05 Kashiwa Reysol 1–2 Shonan Bellmare W 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2022-10-12 Vissel Kobe 1–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2022-10-08 FC Tōkyō 0–2 Shonan Bellmare W 2022-10-01 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC25% Draw26% Shonan Bellmare49%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
75%
Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC19% Draw45% Shonan Bellmare36%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted
1 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
9.2%
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 22% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 16% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.