Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Masuya Ueda
- Assistant 1 Yukitaka Kumagai (Japan)
- Assistant 2 Hiroyoshi Iwata
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–5 | L |
| 05 Nov | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Oct | Shonan Bellmare | A | 0–3 | L |
| 08 Oct | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Oct | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Sep | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 5–1 | W |
| 05 Nov | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Oct | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Oct | FC Tokyo | A | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Sagan Tosu FC gets underway.
- 3' A stunning finish from Yuki Ohashi — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 8' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Shonan Bellmare backline.
- 13' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Yoichi Naganuma makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 18' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 23' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 28' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Shonan Bellmare are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 29' That is a Yellow card for Sagan Tosu FC. Yuji Ono will be fuming at that decision.
- 34' Taiga Hata has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 36' Against the run of play, Yuki Ohashi has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 40' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Yuki Ohashi makes no mistake. 1-3!
- 45' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Ryota Nagaki.
- 46' Magnificent from Akito Fukuta! That is 6 goals in 279 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 50' Taiyo Hiraoka does the damage! The net is bulging and Shonan Bellmare surge ahead!
- 51' Taiyo Hiraoka is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 54' Yuji Ono adds to his 0 season tally! Sagan Tosu FC lead 3-5 — and this changes everything.
- 55' Goal! Yuji Ono scores his 27 goal in 279 matches.
- 60' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Yuki Ohashi makes it 4-6.
- 61' Ryonosuke Kabayama is replacing Yuto Iwasaki for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
- 62' The whistle greets Akito Fukuta as he departs to be replaced by Masaya Tashiro.
- 64' A goal from the Japan international Kosuke Onose! He fires home on 64 to make it 4-7!
- 65' Time for substitution for Shonan Bellmare. Shuto Machino is replaced by Tarik Elyounoussi.
- 65' Taiga Hata is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 68' A tactical swap from Shonan Bellmare — Junnosuke Suzuki on, Ryota Nagaki off on 68 minutes.
- 73' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shinya Nakano suffering a number of foals already.
- 78' Shonan Bellmare is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 80' Naoyuki Fujita is ready to make an impact after coming on for Fuchi Honda at the 80 minute mark.
- 82' Shonan Bellmare manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Takuya Okamoto is hanging Yuki Ohashi on the field on 82 minute.
- 83' The whistle greets Yuki Ohashi as he departs to be replaced by Takuya Okamoto.
- 88' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Shonan Bellmare are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-5.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Masaya Tashiro 61'
-
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Cayman Togashi 61'
- 29
- 18
-
8
Fuchi Honda ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 80'
-
13
Shinya Nakano ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 62'
- 24
- 71
- 42
- 2
- 5
Bench
- 19
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 61'
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 80'
-
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 61'
-
30
Masaya Tashiro ↑ 61'
- 35
-
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 62'
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Shonan Bellmare Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 22
- 18
-
20
Ryota Nagaki ↓ Junnosuke Suzuki 68'
- 3
- 2
-
17
Yuki Ohashi ↓ Takuya Okamoto 82'
- 4
- 26
-
13
Taiyo Hiraoka ↓ Keita Yamashita 68'
- 1
- 88
Bench
- 7
-
10
Naoki Yamada ↑ 82'
- 23
-
6
Takuya Okamoto ↑ 82'
-
11
Tarik Elyounoussi ↑ 65'
-
9
Keita Yamashita ↑ 68'
-
30
Junnosuke Suzuki ↑ 68'
Coach
Satoshi Yamaguchi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuji Ono | 4 |
| Shuto Machino | 4 |
| Yuki Ohashi | 4 |
| Isaac Cuenca | 2 |
| Cho Donggeon | 2 |
| Daichi Hayashi | 2 |
| Sho Fukuda | 2 |
| Yuta Fujihara | 2 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73
Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Shonan Bellmare win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
75%
Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–5 not predicted1 – 5Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
9.2%
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Shonan Bellmare covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 22% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

