Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2022
Shonan Bellmare
3 – 0
Full Time
Sagan Tosu FC
Sat 29 Oct 2022 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 90' Kei Koizumi

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League .

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

6
5
5
Shonan Bellmare 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals Sagan Tosu FC
Last 5 meetings
2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-02-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-02-27 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-10-25 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Shonan Bellmare

Recent Form

Shonan Bellmare
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Sagan Tosu FC H 3–0 W
12 Oct Vissel Kobe A 0–1 L
08 Oct FC Tōkyō A 2–0 W
01 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–1 D
17 Sep Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–0 D
10 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse A 1–1 D
Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Shonan Bellmare A 0–3 L
08 Oct Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
01 Oct Kyōto Sanga FC H 0–1 L
16 Sep Kashima Antlers H 1–1 D
10 Sep Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L
03 Sep Gamba Osaka A 3–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Shonan Bellmare launch into their encounter with Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 5' Toshio Shimakawa is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sagan Tosu FC tonight.
  • 7' What a moment for Shuto Machino! That strike on 7 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 12' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 17' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 21' Shuto Machino with the second goal in the match!
  • 26' It is a cagey affair so far. Shonan Bellmare in their trying to find a way past Sagan Tosu FC's compact .
  • 31' With 0 assists to his name this season, Yuki Kakita is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Shonan Bellmare.
  • 36' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 41' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 46' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Daiki Sugioka suffering a number of foals already.
  • 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 56' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 61' Fuchi Honda is replacing Yuji Ono for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
  • 62' The supporters are chanting for Yuki Kakita. He replaces Shinya Nakano on 62 minute.
  • 67' Taisei Miyashiro has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 71' Takuji Yonemoto gets the nod from Shonan Bellmare. He replaces Naoki Yamada and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 76' Shonan Bellmare are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 78' A stunning finish from Shuto Yamamoto — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 78' A tactical swap from Shonan Bellmare — Hiroyuki Abe on, Tarik Elyounoussi off on 78 minutes.
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Kentaro Moriya. He replaces Jun Nishikawa on 79 minute.
  • 83' Wellington gets the nod from Shonan Bellmare. He replaces Shuto Machino and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' Supporters expect more eagerness from Naoyuki Fujita, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 90' Kei Koizumi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Shonan Bellmare take all three points.

Lineups

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Satoshi Yamaguchi

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Shuto Machino 4
Yuki Ohashi 4
Yuji Ono 4
Yuta Fujihara 2
Isaac Cuenca 2
Cho Donggeon 2
Daichi Hayashi 2
Sho Fukuda 2

Head to Head

2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-02-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-02-27 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-10-25 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Shonan Bellmare

Shonan Bellmare Form

2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2022-10-12 Vissel Kobe 1–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2022-10-08 FC Tōkyō 0–2 Shonan Bellmare W 2022-10-01 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D 2022-09-17 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2022-09-10 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-08 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-01 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kyōto Sanga FC L 2022-09-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashima Antlers D 2022-09-10 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-09-03 Gamba Osaka 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.56 Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shonan Bellmare54% Draw26% Sagan Tosu FC20%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw
80%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
46%
Shonan Bellmare or Sagan Tosu FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Shonan Bellmare36% Draw48% Sagan Tosu FC16%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 0
10.7%
2 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap Shonan Bellmare covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 24% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.