Thursday , 2 July 2026

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2022
Shonan Bellmare
3 – 0
Full Time
Sagan Tosu FC
Sat 29 Oct 2022 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 90' Kei Koizumi

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League .

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

6
5
5
Shonan Bellmare 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals Sagan Tosu FC
Last 5 meetings
2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-02-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-02-27 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-10-25 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Shonan Bellmare

Recent Form

Shonan Bellmare
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Sagan Tosu FC H 3–0 W
12 Oct Vissel Kobe A 0–1 L
08 Oct FC Tōkyō A 2–0 W
01 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–1 D
17 Sep Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–0 D
10 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse A 1–1 D
Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Shonan Bellmare A 0–3 L
08 Oct Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
01 Oct Kyoto Sanga FC H 0–1 L
16 Sep Kashima Antlers H 1–1 D
10 Sep Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L
03 Sep Gamba Osaka A 3–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu FC get this one started.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 7' The deadlock is broken! Shuto Machino gets on the scoresheet on 7 minutes.
  • 12' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tarik Elyounoussi, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 17' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 21' A goal from the Japan international Shuto Machino! He fires home on 21 to make it 2-0!
  • 26' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Kawai will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 31' Japan international Yuki Kakita has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 36' Yuto Iwasaki has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 41' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 46' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 51' Taisei Miyashiro has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 56' Shonan Bellmare are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sagan Tosu FC's shape.
  • 61' Fuchi Honda gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Yuji Ono and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 62' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuki Kakita is hanging Shinya Nakano on the field on 62 minute.
  • 67' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 71' The Shonan Bellmare manager makes a substitution. Naoki Yamada departs to be replaced by Takuji Yonemoto.
  • 76' Kentaro Moriya has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 78' The deadlock is broken! Shuto Yamamoto gets on the scoresheet on 78 minutes.
  • 78' The crowd applauds Tarik Elyounoussi as he leaves the pitch. Hiroyuki Abe steps in for Shonan Bellmare.
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Kentaro Moriya. He replaces Jun Nishikawa on 79 minute.
  • 83' Shonan Bellmare manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Wellington is hanging Shuto Machino on the field on 83 minute.
  • 88' Yoshihiro Nakano is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sagan Tosu FC tonight.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kei Koizumi on 90.
  • Shonan Bellmare celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Satoshi Yamaguchi

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Shuto Machino 4
Yuki Ohashi 4
Yuji Ono 4
Cho Donggeon 2
Daichi Hayashi 2
Sho Fukuda 2
Yuta Fujihara 2
Isaac Cuenca 2

Head to Head

2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-02-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-02-27 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-10-25 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Shonan Bellmare

Shonan Bellmare Form

2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2022-10-12 Vissel Kobe 1–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2022-10-08 FC Tōkyō 0–2 Shonan Bellmare W 2022-10-01 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D 2022-09-17 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2022-09-10 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-08 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-01 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kyoto Sanga FC L 2022-09-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashima Antlers D 2022-09-10 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-09-03 Gamba Osaka 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.56 Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shonan Bellmare54% Draw26% Sagan Tosu FC20%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw
80%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
46%
Shonan Bellmare or Sagan Tosu FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Shonan Bellmare36% Draw48% Sagan Tosu FC16%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 0
10.7%
2 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap Shonan Bellmare covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 24% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.