Sunday , 16 August 2026

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2022
Sat 29 Oct 2022 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 90' Kei Koizumi

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Sagan Tosu FC H 3–0 W
12 Oct Vissel Kobe A 0–1 L
08 Oct FC Tokyo A 2–0 W
01 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–1 D
17 Sep Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–0 D
10 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Shonan Bellmare A 0–3 L
08 Oct Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
01 Oct Kyoto Sanga FC H 0–1 L
16 Sep Kashima Antlers H 1–1 D
10 Sep Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L
03 Sep Gamba Osaka A 3–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Shonan Bellmare host Sagan Tosu FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 7' Shuto Machino adds to his 0 season tally! Shonan Bellmare lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 12' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 12 minutes.
  • 17' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 21' Shuto Machino with the second goal in the match!
  • 26' Akito Fukuta has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 31' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 36' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 41' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 46' Shonan Bellmare currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 51' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yoichi Naganuma suffering a number of foals already.
  • 61' The crowd applauds Yuji Ono as he leaves the pitch. Fuchi Honda steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 62' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Shinya Nakano is replaced by Yuki Kakita on 62 minute.
  • 67' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 71' A tactical swap from Shonan Bellmare — Takuji Yonemoto on, Naoki Yamada off on 71 minutes.
  • 76' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 78' GOAL! Shuto Yamamoto scores on 78. Assisted by Hirokazu Ishihara
  • 78' Hiroyuki Abe is replacing Tarik Elyounoussi for the Shonan Bellmare side.
  • 79' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 79 minute. Jun Nishikawa leaves to be changed by Kentaro Moriya.
  • 83' A change in the Shonan Bellmare ranks — Shuto Machino exits the field as Wellington enters on 83.
  • 88' It looks surprising Shonan Bellmare does not make any changes. Tarik Elyounoussi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Kei Koizumi.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.56 Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shonan Bellmare54% Draw26% Sagan Tosu FC20%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw
80%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
46%
Shonan Bellmare or Sagan Tosu FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Shonan Bellmare36% Draw48% Sagan Tosu FC16%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 0
10.7%
2 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap Shonan Bellmare covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 24% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
42%
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.