Saturday , 14 November 2026

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2022
Shonan Bellmare
3 – 0
Full Time
Sagan Tosu FC
Sat 29 Oct 2022 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 90' Kei Koizumi

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League .

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

6
5
5
Shonan Bellmare 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals Sagan Tosu FC
Last 5 meetings
2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-02-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-02-27 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-10-25 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Shonan Bellmare

Recent Form

Shonan Bellmare
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Sagan Tosu FC H 3–0 W
12 Oct Vissel Kobe A 0–1 L
08 Oct FC Tōkyō A 2–0 W
01 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–1 D
17 Sep Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–0 D
10 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse A 1–1 D
Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Shonan Bellmare A 0–3 L
08 Oct Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
01 Oct Kyōto Sanga FC H 0–1 L
16 Sep Kashima Antlers H 1–1 D
10 Sep Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L
03 Sep Gamba Osaka A 3–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Sagan Tosu FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 7' A goal from the Japan international Shuto Machino! He fires home on 7 to make it 1-0!
  • 12' A quiet spell here at . Shonan Bellmare seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 17' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 21' GOAL! Shuto Machino fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 26' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Shuto Yamamoto has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 31' It’s high time Satoshi Yamaguchi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 36' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 41' Koki Tachi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 46' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 56' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
  • 61' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Yuji Ono trudges off to be replaced by Fuchi Honda on 61 minutes.
  • 62' Yuki Kakita is replacing Shinya Nakano for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
  • 67' Over 67 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 71' Time for substitution for Shonan Bellmare. Naoki Yamada is replaced by Takuji Yonemoto.
  • 76' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
  • 78' Shuto Yamamoto doubles the advantage! 3-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 78' The supporters are chanting for Hiroyuki Abe. He replaces Tarik Elyounoussi on 78 minute.
  • 79' The crowd applauds Jun Nishikawa as he leaves the pitch. Kentaro Moriya steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 83' Shonan Bellmare ring the changes. Shuto Machino has done his job and it is now time for Wellington to step up.
  • 88' Shonan Bellmare is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Kei Koizumi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Sagan Tosu FC.

Lineups

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Satoshi Yamaguchi

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Shuto Machino 4
Yuki Ohashi 4
Yuji Ono 4
Cho Donggeon 2
Daichi Hayashi 2
Sho Fukuda 2
Yuta Fujihara 2
Isaac Cuenca 2

Head to Head

2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-02-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2021-02-27 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-10-25 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Shonan Bellmare

Shonan Bellmare Form

2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2022-10-12 Vissel Kobe 1–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2022-10-08 FC Tōkyō 0–2 Shonan Bellmare W 2022-10-01 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D 2022-09-17 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2022-09-10 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-08 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-10-01 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kyōto Sanga FC L 2022-09-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashima Antlers D 2022-09-10 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-09-03 Gamba Osaka 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.56 Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shonan Bellmare54% Draw26% Sagan Tosu FC20%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw
80%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
46%
Shonan Bellmare or Sagan Tosu FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Shonan Bellmare36% Draw48% Sagan Tosu FC16%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 0
10.7%
2 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap Shonan Bellmare covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 24% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.