Thursday , 2 July 2026

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 24 Jun 2023 · 10:00 UTC Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka 9,848 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 2' Yuji Ono
0–2 30' Yuji Ono
0–3 49' Yuji Ono pen
0–4 63' Yuki Horigome
0–5 86' Yuta Fujihara
0–6 90+3' Ryonosuke Kabayama

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FCJ. League at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.

Match Details

  • Assistant 1 Takumi Takagi

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jun Sagan Tosu FC H 0–6 L
11 Jun Kashima Antlers A 0–1 L
03 Jun Albirex Niigata H 2–2 D
27 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–1 L
20 May Cerezo Osaka FC H 0–2 L
13 May Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 2–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jun Shonan Bellmare A 6–0 W
10 Jun Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–1 D
03 Jun Yokohama FC A 2–1 W
27 May Kashima Antlers H 2–2 D
20 May Albirex Niigata H 2–0 W
14 May Avispa Fukuoka A 0–0 D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.24 Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.04 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shonan Bellmare25% Draw25% Sagan Tosu FC50%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw
50%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
75%
Shonan Bellmare or Sagan Tosu FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Shonan Bellmare19% Draw41% Sagan Tosu FC40%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–6 not predicted
0 – 6
Actual
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
7.8%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 3
6.3%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
5.3%
0 – 3
5.2%
1 – 0
4%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap Shonan Bellmare covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 46% 54%
+1 46% 21% 33%
+1.5 67% 33%
+2 67% 17% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
14%
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.