Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.
- Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Assistant 1 Takumi Takagi
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 0–6 | L |
| 11 Jun | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Jun | Albirex Niigata | H | 2–2 | D |
| 27 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 13 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 2–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun | Shonan Bellmare | A | 6–0 | W |
| 10 Jun | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Jun | Yokohama FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 May | Kashima Antlers | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 May | Albirex Niigata | H | 2–0 | W |
| 14 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu FC.
- 2' A stunning finish from Yuji Ono — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 7' Tarik Elyounoussi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 12 appearances.
- 12' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 17' Both keepers have barely been tested. Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 22' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Taichi Kikuchi suffering a number of foals already.
- 27' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Satoshi Yamaguchi will be considering his options from the bench.
- 30' Yuji Ono is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 35' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
- 40' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Shuto Machino. He replaces Tarik Elyounoussi on 46 minute.
- 49' Yuji Ono has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 49 minutes.
- 54' Yuki Horigome has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 55' The Shonan Bellmare bench stirs into life. Taiyo Hiraoka is withdrawn and Naoki Yamada gets his opportunity.
- 60' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 60 minute. Wataru Harada leaves to be changed by Ryonosuke Kabayama.
- 63' Goal! Yuki Horigome scores his 6 goal in 279 matches.
- 64' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Taichi Kikuchi is withdrawn and Yoshiki Narahara gets his opportunity.
- 66' Another change for Shonan Bellmare made on 66 minute. Kohei Okuno leaves to be changed by Hiroyuki Abe.
- 70' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Cayman Togashi on, Yuji Ono off on 70 minutes.
- 72' Controversy at the stadium! Yoshiki Narahara argues furiously but the card stands.
- 74' The referee calls foul for Yuki Horigome. He receives a card.
- 78' Fresh legs for Shonan Bellmare! Akito Suzuki comes on to replace Yuki Ohashi.
- 82' Naoyuki Fujita gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Yoichi Naganuma and will look to change the dynamic.
- 83' Yuki Horigome makes way for Yuta Fujihara at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
- 86' Magnificent from Yuta Fujihara! That is 2 goals in 279 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Shonan Bellmare 0-6 Sagan Tosu FC.
Lineups
Shonan Bellmare Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
-
16
Shuto Yamamoto ↓ Koki Tachi 66'
- 23
- 3
- 2
- 11
-
17
Yuki Ohashi ↓ Akito Suzuki 78'
-
15
Kohei Okuno ↓ Hiroyuki Abe 66'
- 26
-
13
Taiyo Hiraoka ↓ Naoki Yamada 55'
- 33
- 88
Bench
-
7
Hiroyuki Abe ↑ 66'
-
18
Shuto Machino ↑ 46'
- 20
-
10
Naoki Yamada ↑ 55'
-
4
Koki Tachi ↑ 66'
-
29
Akito Suzuki ↑ 78'
- 1
Coach
Satoshi Yamaguchi
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Cayman Togashi 70'
- 20
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Masaya Tashiro 82'
- 29
- 24
- 71
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↓ Yuta Fujihara 83'
- 23
- 42
- 2
- 5
Bench
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 70'
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 82'
-
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 60'
-
30
Masaya Tashiro ↑ 82'
-
25
Yuta Fujihara ↑ 83'
-
27
Yoshiki Narahara ↑ 64'
- 35
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shuto Machino | 4 |
| Yuki Ohashi | 4 |
| Yuji Ono | 4 |
| Cho Donggeon | 2 |
| Daichi Hayashi | 2 |
| Sho Fukuda | 2 |
| Yuta Fujihara | 2 |
| Isaac Cuenca | 2 |
Head to Head
Shonan Bellmare Form
2023-06-24
Shonan Bellmare
0–6
Sagan Tosu FC
L
2023-06-11
Kashima Antlers
1–0
Shonan Bellmare
L
2023-06-03
Shonan Bellmare
2–2
Albirex Niigata
D
2023-05-27
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Shonan Bellmare
L
2023-05-20
Shonan Bellmare
0–2
Cerezo Osaka FC
L
2023-05-13
Shonan Bellmare
2–4
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
L
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.24
Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.04
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Shonan Bellmare or Draw
50%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
75%
Shonan Bellmare or Sagan Tosu FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–6 not predicted0 – 6Actual
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
7.8%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 3
6.3%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
5.3%
0 – 3
5.2%
1 – 0
4%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 4
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare
| Handicap | Shonan Bellmare covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 21% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +2 | 67% | 17% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

