Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.
- Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Assistant 1 Takumi Takagi
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 0–6 | L |
| 11 Jun | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Jun | Albirex Niigata | H | 2–2 | D |
| 27 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 13 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 2–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun | Shonan Bellmare | A | 6–0 | W |
| 10 Jun | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Jun | Yokohama FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 May | Kashima Antlers | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 May | Albirex Niigata | H | 2–0 | W |
| 14 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Sagan Tosu FC kicks off things out of here…
- 2' Yuji Ono doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 7' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 12' Yoichi Naganuma needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 17' Kosuke Yamazaki has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 279 appearances.
- 22' It is a cagey affair so far. Shonan Bellmare in their 3-1-4-2 trying to find a way past Sagan Tosu FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 27' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Yoshiki Narahara has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 30' Against the run of play, Yuji Ono has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 40' Shonan Bellmare currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 45' The energy levels are beginning to show. Satoshi Yamaguchi might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 46' Shonan Bellmare manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Shuto Machino is hanging Tarik Elyounoussi on the field on 46 minute.
- 49' What a strike from Yuji Ono! The score is 0-3.
- 54' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Shonan Bellmare needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 55' The Shonan Bellmare manager makes a substitution. Taiyo Hiraoka departs to be replaced by Naoki Yamada.
- 60' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Wataru Harada has done his job and it is now time for Ryonosuke Kabayama to step up.
- 63' Brilliant from the ! Yuki Horigome makes it 0-4 with a superb finish on 63.
- 64' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Taichi Kikuchi departs to be replaced by Yoshiki Narahara.
- 66' The Shonan Bellmare bench stirs into life. Kohei Okuno is withdrawn and Hiroyuki Abe gets his opportunity.
- 70' Cayman Togashi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuji Ono at the 70 minute mark.
- 72' Controversy at the stadium! Yoshiki Narahara argues furiously but the card stands.
- 74' It’s gonna be a card for Yuki Horigome.
- 78' Time for substitution for Shonan Bellmare. Yuki Ohashi is replaced by Akito Suzuki.
- 82' The whistle greets Yoichi Naganuma as he departs to be replaced by Naoyuki Fujita.
- 83' The whistle greets Yuki Horigome as he departs to be replaced by Yuta Fujihara.
- 86' Yuta Fujihara makes no mistake. The score reads 0-5 and Sagan Tosu FC are in front.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Shonan Bellmare.
Lineups
Shonan Bellmare Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
-
16
Shuto Yamamoto ↓ Koki Tachi 66'
- 23
- 3
- 2
- 11
-
17
Yuki Ohashi ↓ Akito Suzuki 78'
-
15
Kohei Okuno ↓ Hiroyuki Abe 66'
- 26
-
13
Taiyo Hiraoka ↓ Naoki Yamada 55'
- 33
- 88
Bench
-
7
Hiroyuki Abe ↑ 66'
-
18
Shuto Machino ↑ 46'
- 20
-
10
Naoki Yamada ↑ 55'
-
4
Koki Tachi ↑ 66'
-
29
Akito Suzuki ↑ 78'
- 1
Coach
Satoshi Yamaguchi
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Cayman Togashi 70'
- 20
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Masaya Tashiro 82'
- 29
- 24
- 71
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↓ Yuta Fujihara 83'
- 23
- 42
- 2
- 5
Bench
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 70'
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 82'
-
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 60'
-
30
Masaya Tashiro ↑ 82'
-
25
Yuta Fujihara ↑ 83'
-
27
Yoshiki Narahara ↑ 64'
- 35
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shuto Machino | 4 |
| Yuki Ohashi | 4 |
| Yuji Ono | 4 |
| Yuta Fujihara | 2 |
| Isaac Cuenca | 2 |
| Cho Donggeon | 2 |
| Daichi Hayashi | 2 |
| Sho Fukuda | 2 |
Head to Head
Shonan Bellmare Form
2023-06-24
Shonan Bellmare
0–6
Sagan Tosu FC
L
2023-06-11
Kashima Antlers
1–0
Shonan Bellmare
L
2023-06-03
Shonan Bellmare
2–2
Albirex Niigata
D
2023-05-27
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Shonan Bellmare
L
2023-05-20
Shonan Bellmare
0–2
Cerezo Osaka FC
L
2023-05-13
Shonan Bellmare
2–4
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
L
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.24
Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.04
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Shonan Bellmare or Draw
50%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
75%
Shonan Bellmare or Sagan Tosu FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–6 not predicted0 – 6Actual
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
7.8%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 3
6.3%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
5.3%
0 – 3
5.2%
1 – 0
4%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 4
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare
| Handicap | Shonan Bellmare covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 21% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +2 | 67% | 17% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

