Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Fri 16 Aug 2024 · 10:30 UTC Sapporo Dome HT 45' · FT 45'
Ryota Aoki 83' Y

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug Sagan Tosu FC H 5–3 W
10 Aug Avispa Fukuoka H 2–2 D
07 Aug Yokohama F·Marinos A 2–3 L
20 Jul Urawa Red Diamonds A 4–3 W
13 Jul Vissel Kobe H 1–1 D
06 Jul Kashima Antlers A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 3–5 L
11 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–1 D
07 Aug Kashima Antlers A 0–3 L
21 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–4 L
14 Jul Gamba Osaka H 0–2 L
06 Jul Albirex Niigata A 4–3 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.08 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo49% Draw23% Sagan Tosu FC28%
Actual: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo or Draw
72%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
51%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo or Sagan Tosu FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo36% Draw39% Sagan Tosu FC25%
Actual: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–3 not predicted
5 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
9%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
2 – 0
5.2%
3 – 2
4.7%
1 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
3.8%
1 – 3
3.7%
0 – 0
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Handicap Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 14% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 19% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 15% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo keeps clean sheet
20%
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.