Thursday , 1 October 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sagan Tosu FC
1 – 2
Full Time
Shonan Bellmare
Sat 31 Aug 2024 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 46' Konsuke Onose
Y 58' Lukian
Y 64' Junnosuke Suzuki
Y 68' Sho Fukuda
Wataru Harada 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

5
5
6
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals Shonan Bellmare
Last 5 meetings
2024-08-31 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Shonan Bellmare 2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-06-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–6 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Shonan Bellmare H 1–2 L
25 Aug Vissel Kobe A 0–2 L
16 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 3–5 L
11 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–1 D
07 Aug Kashima Antlers A 0–3 L
21 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–4 L
Shonan Bellmare
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Sagan Tosu FC A 2–1 W
24 Aug Nagoya Grampus H 0–1 L
17 Aug Kashiwa Reysol H 1–2 L
11 Aug FC Machida Zelvia A 1–0 W
07 Aug Avispa Fukuoka H 1–1 D
20 Jul Gamba Osaka A 1–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Sagan Tosu FC and Shonan Bellmare has kicked off!
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sagan Tosu FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' Kazunari Ono has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 418 appearances.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their trying to find a way past Shonan Bellmare's compact .
  • 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 31' What composure from Akito Suzuki! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 36' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 41' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 46' Controversy at the stadium! Konsuke Onose argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 46' Tojiro Kubo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Keisuke Sakaiya at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 56' Keisuke Sakaiya has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 58' Lukian was booked on 58.
  • 62' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Shota Hino on, Akito Fukuta off on 62 minutes.
  • 63' Shonan Bellmare manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kohei Okuno is hanging Akimi Barada on the field on 63 minute.
  • 64' It’s a booking for Shonan Bellmare player. Junnosuke Suzuki gets a card.
  • 68' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Sho Fukuda.
  • 70' Yoshiki Narahara makes way for Yusuke Maruhashi at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 75' Over 75 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 79' Hiroshi Kiyotake gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Hikaru Nakahara and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' The Shonan Bellmare bench stirs into life. Takuya Okamoto is withdrawn and Taiga Hata gets his opportunity.
  • 81' Time for substitution for Shonan Bellmare. Junnosuke Suzuki is replaced by Sere Matsumura.
  • 84' Seiji Kimura is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 87' GOAL! Sho Fukuda fires home to make it 1-2!
  • 89' Another change for Shonan Bellmare made on 89 minute. Masaki Ikeda leaves to be changed by Luiz Phellype.
  • 90' Wataru Harada was booked on 90.
  • It finishes all square. Sagan Tosu FC and Shonan Bellmare share the spoils 1-2.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Naoyuki Iwata

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Satoshi Yamaguchi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Shuto Machino 4
Yuki Ohashi 4
Yuji Ono 4
Yuta Fujihara 2
Isaac Cuenca 2
Cho Donggeon 2
Daichi Hayashi 2
Sho Fukuda 2

Head to Head

2024-08-31 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Shonan Bellmare 2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-06-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–6 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-08-31 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Shonan Bellmare L 2024-08-25 Vissel Kobe 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-08-16 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 5–3 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-08-11 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2024-08-07 Kashima Antlers 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-07-21 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L

Shonan Bellmare Form

2024-08-31 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Shonan Bellmare W 2024-08-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-08-17 Shonan Bellmare 1–2 Kashiwa Reysol L 2024-08-11 FC Machida Zelvia 0–1 Shonan Bellmare W 2024-08-07 Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka D 2024-07-20 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Shonan Bellmare W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw27% Shonan Bellmare44%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
71%
Sagan Tosu FC or Shonan Bellmare
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC22% Draw46% Shonan Bellmare32%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.5%
0 – 0
7.8%
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 16% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 21% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.