Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2021

Kashima Antlers

1 – 0

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sat 27 Nov 2021 · 05:00 UTC Kashima Soccer Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Ayase Ueda 65' Y

Leo Silva 72' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Kashima Soccer Stadium.

Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Kashima Antlers 16 games · Avg 2.7 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2021-11-27 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-05-22 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Kashima Antlers 2020-10-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Kashima Antlers 2020-08-08 Kashima Antlers 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-07-20 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Kashima Antlers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Nov	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–0	W
20 Nov	Ōita FC Trinita	H	0–0	D
07 Nov	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–0	W
03 Nov	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	4–1	W
23 Oct	FC Tōkyō	A	2–1	W
02 Oct	Yokohama FC	H	1–2	L

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Nov	Kashima Antlers	A	0–1	L
20 Nov	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	1–0	W
07 Nov	Kawasaki Frontale	H	3–1	W
03 Nov	Yokohama FC	A	0–0	D
23 Oct	Gamba Osaka	A	0–1	L
16 Oct	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashima Antlers

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/2

46-60

3/5

61-75

3/–

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kashima Antlers

Leo Ceara	11 G
Aleksandar Cavric	4 G	1 A
Takuya Uchida	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Kashima Antlers to score. At the same time, Sagan Tosu FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' Kashima Antlers is showing some good football. However, Kashima Antlers are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
10' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
14' A stunning finish from Ayase Ueda — that came from absolutely nowhere!
19' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
24' The energy levels are beginning to show. Myung-Hwi Kim might look to freshen things up shortly.
29' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
34' international Juan has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
39' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Kashima Antlers side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
44' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
49' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
54' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
59' Koki Machida, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
60' The Kashima Antlers manager makes a substitution. Juan departs to be replaced by Shoma Doi.
65' The referee has no hesitation. Ayase Ueda is booked for Kashima Antlers — Yellow card on 65.
69' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 69 minute. Noriyoshi Sakai leaves to be changed by Keita Yamashita.
70' The crowd applauds Tomoya Koyamatsu as he leaves the pitch. Ryunosuke Sagara steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
72' Poor challenge from Leo Silva. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
77' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
80' The Kashima Antlers manager makes a substitution. Ryotaro Araki departs to be replaced by Yasushi Endo.
81' Another substitution for Kashima Antlers to replace Ayase Ueda by Everaldo on 81 minute.
86' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Shinya Nakano by Masaya Tashiro on 86 minute.
89' Time for substitution for Kashima Antlers. Ryuji Izumi is replaced by Tomoya Inukai.
That’s it! Another goalless match for Kashima Antlers and Sagan Tosu FC (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

Kashima Antlers Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

14
Katsuya Nagato ↑ 81'
31
Yuya Oki
39
Tomoya Inukai ↑ 89'
25
Yasushi Endo ↑ 80'
8
Shoma Doi ↑ 60'
6
Ryota Nagaki
9
Everaldo ↑ 81'

Coach Naoki Soma

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

7
Yoshihiro Nakano
3
Eduardo
37
Kei Koizumi
10
Yuta Higuchi
29
Yuto Iwasaki
40
Park Ilkyu
4
Toshio Shimakawa
22
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Ryunosuke Sagara 70'
44
Keiya Sento ↓ Yong-Gi Ryang 86'
47
Shinya Nakano ↓ Masaya Tashiro 86'
15
Noriyoshi Sakai ↓ Keita Yamashita 69'

Bench

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Taisei Miyashiro	2
Marcelo Ryan	2
Ryohei Shirasaki	2
Masaya Tashiro	2
Kimito Nono	2
Yuta Higuchi	2
Keita Yamashita	2
Yuma Suzuki	2

Head to Head

Kashima Antlers Form

2021-11-27 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2021-11-20 Kashima Antlers 0–0 Ōita FC Trinita D 2021-11-07 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2021-11-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–4 Kashima Antlers W 2021-10-23 FC Tōkyō 1–2 Kashima Antlers W 2021-10-02 Kashima Antlers 1–2 Yokohama FC L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2021-11-27 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-11-20 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2021-11-07 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Kawasaki Frontale W 2021-11-03 Yokohama FC 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2021-10-23 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-10-16 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.2 Kashima Antlers xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.7 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kashima Antlers51% Draw30% Sagan Tosu FC19%

Actual: Kashima Antlers win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes36% 0% No64%

Avg goals/match: 1.9

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	83%	17%
± 1.5	57%	43%
± 2.5	30%	70%
± 3.5	13%	87%
± 4.5	5%	95%

Double Chance

Kashima Antlers or Draw

81%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

49%

Kashima Antlers or Sagan Tosu FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kashima Antlers30% Draw55% Sagan Tosu FC15%

Actual: Kashima Antlers win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

17.5%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

13.4%

2 – 0

10.3%

0 – 1

9.1%

2 – 1

7.4%

1 – 2

4.2%

3 – 0

0 – 2

3.4%

3 – 1

2 – 2

2.7%

4 – 0

1.2%

Asian Handicap — Kashima Antlers

Handicap	Kashima Antlers covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	14%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	25%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	14%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet

50% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.