Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Sat 27 Nov 2021 · 05:00 UTC Kashima Soccer Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Ayase Ueda 65' Y
Leo Silva 72' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu FCJ. League at Kashima Soccer Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Nov Sagan Tosu FC H 1–0 W
20 Nov Oita FC Trinita H 0–0 D
07 Nov Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–0 W
03 Nov Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 4–1 W
23 Oct FC Tōkyō A 2–1 W
02 Oct Yokohama FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Nov Kashima Antlers A 0–1 L
20 Nov Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–0 W
07 Nov Kawasaki Frontale H 3–1 W
03 Nov Yokohama FC A 0–0 D
23 Oct Gamba Osaka A 0–1 L
16 Oct Shonan Bellmare H 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
61% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashima Antlers
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/
76+
6/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Kashima Soccer Stadium!
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Diego Pituca is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Leo Silva, as he is very good at scoring at Kashima Soccer Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 14' Ayase Ueda doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 19' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 24' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yong-Gi Ryang suffering a number of foals already.
  • 29' It is a cagey affair so far. Kashima Antlers in their trying to find a way past Sagan Tosu FC's compact .
  • 34' The home supporters are growing impatient. Kashima Antlers must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 39' Kashima Antlers are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 44' Juan has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 49' A quiet spell here at Kashima Soccer Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 54' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kashima Antlers needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 59' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 60' Kashima Antlers make a change. Juan trudges off to be replaced by Shoma Doi on 60 minutes.
  • 65' The referee calls foul for Ayase Ueda. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 69' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Keita Yamashita is hanging Noriyoshi Sakai on the field on 69 minute.
  • 70' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Tomoya Koyamatsu by Ryunosuke Sagara on 70 minute.
  • 72' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Leo Silva.
  • 77' Ryotaro Araki has been relatively quiet despite scoring 22 goals in his last 447 appearances.
  • 80' Ryotaro Araki makes way for Yasushi Endo at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kashima Antlers.
  • 81' Another change for Kashima Antlers made on 81 minute. Ayase Ueda leaves to be changed by Everaldo.
  • 86' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Shinya Nakano has done his job and it is now time for Masaya Tashiro to step up.
  • 89' The Kashima Antlers manager makes a substitution. Ryuji Izumi departs to be replaced by Tomoya Inukai.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2 Kashima Antlers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kashima Antlers51% Draw30% Sagan Tosu FC19%
Actual: Kashima Antlers win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.9
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Kashima Antlers or Draw
81%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
49%
Kashima Antlers or Sagan Tosu FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kashima Antlers30% Draw55% Sagan Tosu FC15%
Actual: Kashima Antlers win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
2 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 1
3%
2 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
1.2%

Asian Handicap — Kashima Antlers

Handicap Kashima Antlers covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 14% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 25% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
50%
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.