Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Urawa Red Diamonds

0 – 2

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Wed 10 May 2023 · 10:30 UTC Saitama Stadium 2002 17,970 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 70' Yoichi Naganuma

0–2 75' Kohei Tezuka

Overview

Match Preview

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Saitama Stadium 2002.

Urawa Red Diamonds 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Hiroyuki Kimura
Assistant 1 Takeshi Asada
Assistant 2 Taku Nakano

11 games this season 🟨 1.2/game ⚽ 3.5 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Urawa Red Diamonds 16 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-05-10 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-10-08 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-03-13 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Urawa Red Diamonds 2021-08-14 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-03-06 Sagan Tosu FC 2–0 Urawa Red Diamonds

Recent Form

Urawa Red Diamonds

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 May	Sagan Tosu FC	H	0–2	L
23 Apr	Kawasaki Frontale	A	1–1	D
15 Apr	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	4–1	W
09 Apr	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–0	D
31 Mar	Kashiwa Reysol	A	3–0	W
18 Mar	Albirex Niigata	H	2–1	W

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 May	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	2–0	W
07 May	Kawasaki Frontale	A	0–1	L
03 May	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	1–3	L
23 Apr	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	3–2	W
15 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–1	D
09 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–1	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
Urawa Red Diamonds this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Urawa Red Diamonds

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

4/–

61-75

3/2

76+

2/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Urawa Red Diamonds and Sagan Tosu FC get this one started.
5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
10' A quiet spell here at Saitama Stadium 2002. Urawa Red Diamonds seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
20' Alex Schalk has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
25' Urawa Red Diamonds have won 403 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
30' It is a cagey affair so far. Urawa Red Diamonds in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Sagan Tosu FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kohei Tezuka, as he is very good at scoring at Saitama Stadium 2002 with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Maciej Skorza will be considering his options from the bench.
45' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
50' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
55' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 55 minutes.
56' The crowd applauds Jun Nishikawa as he leaves the pitch. Yoichi Naganuma steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
60' Shinzo Koroki is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jose Kante at the 60 minute mark.
65' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
67' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Yuki Horigome is replaced by Atsushi Kawata.
68' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kohei Tezuka is hanging Naoyuki Fujita on the field on 68 minute.
70' The Japan Yoichi Naganuma breaks the deadlock on 70 minutes. 0-1!
70' Yoshio Koizumi is replacing Atsuki Ito for the Urawa Red Diamonds side.
71' The crowd applauds Atsuki Ito as he leaves the pitch. Yoshio Koizumi steps in for Urawa Red Diamonds.
75' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kohei Tezuka makes it 0-2.
76' A stunning finish from Kohei Tezuka — that came from absolutely nowhere!
81' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
84' The whistle greets Tomoaki Okubo as he departs to be replaced by Takuya Iwanami.
85' The Urawa Red Diamonds bench stirs into life. Takuya Ogiwara is withdrawn and Ayumu Ohata gets his opportunity.
89' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Yuto Iwasaki is withdrawn and Toshio Shimakawa gets his opportunity.
Urawa Red Diamonds will have plenty to reflect on. Sagan Tosu FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Urawa Red Diamonds Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

30
Shinzo Koroki ↑ 60'
4
Takuya Iwanami ↑ 84'
22
Kai Shibato
14
Takahiro Sekine ↑ 60'
12
Zion Suzuki
66
Ayumu Ohata ↑ 85'
8
Yoshio Koizumi ↑ 70'

Coach Maciej Skorza

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

7
Kohei Tezuka ↑ 68'
4
Toshio Shimakawa ↑ 89'
8
Fuchi Honda ↑ 56'
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 67'
24
Yoichi Naganuma ↑ 56'
35
Kei Uchiyama

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Keita Yamashita	3
Yoichi Naganuma	2
Shinzo Koroki	2
Yusuke Matsuo	2
Ataru Esaka	2
Yuki Muto	2
Yoshio Koizumi	1
Hideto Takahashi	1

Head to Head

Urawa Red Diamonds Form

2023-05-10 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–2 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-04-23 Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2023-04-15 Urawa Red Diamonds 4–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2023-04-09 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2023-03-31 Kashiwa Reysol 0–3 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2023-03-18 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Albirex Niigata W

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-05-10 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–2 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-05-07 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2023-04-23 Kyoto Sanga FC 2–3 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-04-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2023-04-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.23 Urawa Red Diamonds xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.25 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Urawa Red Diamonds or Sagan Tosu FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Urawa Red Diamonds36% Draw29% Sagan Tosu FC35%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.48

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	45%	55%
± 3.5	24%	76%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

Urawa Red Diamonds or Draw

66%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

64%

Urawa Red Diamonds or Sagan Tosu FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Urawa Red Diamonds25% Draw49% Sagan Tosu FC26%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.8%

0 – 0

10.5%

0 – 1

9.3%

1 – 0

9.2%

1 – 2

7.8%

2 – 1

7.6%

0 – 2

Actual

2 – 0

6.1%

2 – 2

4.9%

1 – 3

3.3%

3 – 1

3.2%

0 – 3

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Urawa Red Diamonds

Handicap	Urawa Red Diamonds covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	19%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	20%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Urawa Red Diamonds keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.