Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Wed 10 May 2023 · 10:30 UTC Saitama Stadium 2002 17,970 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 70' Yoichi Naganuma
0–2 75' Kohei Tezuka

Overview

Match Preview

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Saitama Stadium 2002.

Match Details

  • Referee Hiroyuki Kimura
  • Assistant 1 Takeshi Asada
  • Assistant 2 Taku Nakano

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Sagan Tosu FC H 0–2 L
23 Apr Kawasaki Frontale A 1–1 D
15 Apr Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 4–1 W
09 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 0–0 D
31 Mar Kashiwa Reysol A 3–0 W
18 Mar Albirex Niigata H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Urawa Red Diamonds A 2–0 W
07 May Kawasaki Frontale A 0–1 L
03 May Yokohama F·Marinos H 1–3 L
23 Apr Kyōto Sanga FC A 3–2 W
15 Apr Kashiwa Reysol H 1–1 D
09 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Urawa Red Diamonds this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Urawa Red Diamonds
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/4
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Urawa Red Diamonds
Matheus Savio 4 G
Minamino Harumi 4 G
Takuro Kaneko 1 G 5 A
Hiiro Komori 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.23 Urawa Red Diamonds xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Urawa Red Diamonds or Sagan Tosu FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Urawa Red Diamonds36% Draw29% Sagan Tosu FC35%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Urawa Red Diamonds or Draw
66%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
64%
Urawa Red Diamonds or Sagan Tosu FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Urawa Red Diamonds25% Draw49% Sagan Tosu FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.5%
0 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
7.6%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
3.2%
0 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Urawa Red Diamonds

Handicap Urawa Red Diamonds covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Urawa Red Diamonds keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.