Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2022

Kashima Antlers

4 – 4

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Wed 25 May 2022 · 10:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 58' Masaya Tashiro

Overview

Match Preview

Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League .

Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Kashima Antlers 16 games · Avg 2.7 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2022-05-25 Kashima Antlers 4–4 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-11-27 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-05-22 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Kashima Antlers 2020-10-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Kashima Antlers 2020-08-08 Kashima Antlers 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Kashima Antlers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 May	Sagan Tosu FC	H	4–4	D
21 May	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–1	D
14 May	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	4–1	W
07 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–3	L
03 May	Jubilo Iwata	H	3–1	W
29 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	3–0	W

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 May	Kashima Antlers	A	4–4	D
21 May	Kawasaki Frontale	H	0–0	D
14 May	Vissel Kobe	A	0–4	L
08 May	FC Tokyo	A	1–0	W
03 May	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	1–1	D
29 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	A	4–1	W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashima Antlers

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/1

61-75

–/–

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Kashima Antlers have kicked off against Sagan Tosu FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
10' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
20' Kashima Antlers are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
25' Taisei Miyashiro, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Kashima Antlers must find a spark to ignite this game.
31' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Masaya Tashiro makes no mistake. 0-1!
36' With 0 assists to his name this season, Taichi Kikuchi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Kashima Antlers.
38' A goal from the Japan international Taisei Miyashiro! He fires home on 38 to make it 0-2!
43' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Kashima Antlers that had 447 games and scored 468 goals.
48' Japan international Yuto Iwasaki has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
49' Against the run of play, Kei Koizumi has scored! This game has turned on its head.
52' Magnificent from Yuta Higuchi! That is 16 goals in 279 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
57' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Kashima Antlers and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
58' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Masaya Tashiro.
62' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Yuji Ono on, Taichi Kikuchi off on 62 minutes.
67' Ikuma Sekigawa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
68' Goal! Ayase Ueda scores his 79 goal in 83 matches.
73' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 73 minutes.
77' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Yuto Iwasaki exits the field as Wataru Harada enters on 77.
81' A change in the Kashima Antlers ranks — Keigo Tsunemoto exits the field as Shoma Doi enters on 81.
85' Shunta Araki is replacing Taisei Miyashiro for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
89' Itsuki Someno has so much to prove this time. He replaces Koki Anzai on 89 minute.
It finishes all square. Kashima Antlers and Sagan Tosu FC share the spoils 4-4.

Lineups

Kashima Antlers Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

31
Yuya Oki
8
Shoma Doi ↑ 81'
16
Itsuki Oda
19
Itsuki Someno ↑ 89'
7
Juan ↑ 81'
15
Bueno ↑ 89'
35
Ryotaro Nakamura

Coach René Weiler

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Marcelo Ryan	2
Ryohei Shirasaki	2
Masaya Tashiro	2
Kimito Nono	2
Yuta Higuchi	2
Keita Yamashita	2
Yuma Suzuki	2
Ayase Ueda	2

Head to Head

Kashima Antlers Form

2022-05-25 Kashima Antlers 4–4 Sagan Tosu FC D 2022-05-21 Urawa Red Diamonds 1–1 Kashima Antlers D 2022-05-14 Kashima Antlers 4–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2022-05-07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Kashima Antlers L 2022-05-03 Kashima Antlers 3–1 Jubilo Iwata W 2022-04-29 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–3 Kashima Antlers W

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2022-05-25 Kashima Antlers 4–4 Sagan Tosu FC D 2022-05-21 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Kawasaki Frontale D 2022-05-14 Vissel Kobe 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-05-08 FC Tokyo 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC W 2022-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2022-04-29 Kashiwa Reysol 1–4 Sagan Tosu FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.07 Kashima Antlers xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.5 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Kashima Antlers50% Draw23% Sagan Tosu FC27%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.57

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

Kashima Antlers or Draw

73%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

50%

Kashima Antlers or Sagan Tosu FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kashima Antlers37% Draw40% Sagan Tosu FC23%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–4 not predicted

4 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

9.6%

2 – 1

8.7%

2 – 2

6.5%

1 – 2

6.4%

2 – 0

3 – 1

1 – 0

5.3%

3 – 2

4.5%

0 – 0

4.2%

3 – 0

4.1%

0 – 1

3.6%

2 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Kashima Antlers

Handicap	Kashima Antlers covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	15%	70%
-1.5	30%	—	70%
-1	30%	20%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	14%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.