Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2022

Kashima Antlers

4 – 4

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Wed 25 May 2022 · 10:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 58' Masaya Tashiro

Overview

Match Preview

Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League .

Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Kashima Antlers 16 games · Avg 2.7 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2022-05-25 Kashima Antlers 4–4 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-11-27 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-05-22 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Kashima Antlers 2020-10-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Kashima Antlers 2020-08-08 Kashima Antlers 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Kashima Antlers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 May	Sagan Tosu FC	H	4–4	D
21 May	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–1	D
14 May	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	4–1	W
07 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–3	L
03 May	Jubilo Iwata	H	3–1	W
29 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	3–0	W

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 May	Kashima Antlers	A	4–4	D
21 May	Kawasaki Frontale	H	0–0	D
14 May	Vissel Kobe	A	0–4	L
08 May	FC Tōkyō	A	1–0	W
03 May	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	1–1	D
29 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	A	4–1	W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

61% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashima Antlers

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

2/3

46-60

3/2

61-75

2/–

76+

6/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Kashima Antlers and Sagan Tosu FC.
5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Kashima Antlers and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
15' Japan international Kei Koizumi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
25' It’s high time René Weiler made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
30' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
31' What a moment for Masaya Tashiro! That strike on 31 puts his side firmly in control.
36' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 36.
38' The Japan Taisei Miyashiro breaks the deadlock on 38 minutes. 0-2!
43' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Kashima Antlers that had 447 games and scored 468 goals.
48' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
49' GOAL! Kei Koizumi fires home to make it 0-3!
52' GOAL! Yuta Higuchi fires home to make it 1-3!
57' It looks like no one’s ball. Kashima Antlers is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
58' That is a Yellow card for Sagan Tosu FC. Masaya Tashiro will be fuming at that decision.
62' Taichi Kikuchi makes way for Yuji Ono at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
67' It looks surprising Kashima Antlers does not make any changes. Hwang Seokho has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
68' GOAL! Ayase Ueda scores on 68. Assisted by Yuma Suzuki
73' With 0 assists to his name this season, Naoyuki Fujita is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
77' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Wataru Harada comes on to replace Yuto Iwasaki.
81' The crowd applauds Keigo Tsunemoto as he leaves the pitch. Shoma Doi steps in for Kashima Antlers.
85' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Taisei Miyashiro exits the field as Shunta Araki enters on 85.
89' Itsuki Someno is ready to make an impact after coming on for Koki Anzai at the 89 minute mark.
The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

Kashima Antlers Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

31
Yuya Oki
8
Shoma Doi ↑ 81'
16
Itsuki Oda
19
Itsuki Someno ↑ 89'
7
Juan ↑ 81'
15
Bueno ↑ 89'
35
Ryotaro Nakamura

Coach René Weiler

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ayase Ueda	2
Taisei Miyashiro	2
Marcelo Ryan	2
Ryohei Shirasaki	2
Masaya Tashiro	2
Kimito Nono	2
Yuta Higuchi	2
Keita Yamashita	2

Head to Head

Kashima Antlers Form

2022-05-25 Kashima Antlers 4–4 Sagan Tosu FC D 2022-05-21 Urawa Red Diamonds 1–1 Kashima Antlers D 2022-05-14 Kashima Antlers 4–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2022-05-07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Kashima Antlers L 2022-05-03 Kashima Antlers 3–1 Jubilo Iwata W 2022-04-29 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–3 Kashima Antlers W

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2022-05-25 Kashima Antlers 4–4 Sagan Tosu FC D 2022-05-21 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Kawasaki Frontale D 2022-05-14 Vissel Kobe 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-05-08 FC Tōkyō 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC W 2022-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2022-04-29 Kashiwa Reysol 1–4 Sagan Tosu FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.07 Kashima Antlers xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.5 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Kashima Antlers50% Draw23% Sagan Tosu FC27%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.57

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

Kashima Antlers or Draw

73%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

50%

Kashima Antlers or Sagan Tosu FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kashima Antlers37% Draw40% Sagan Tosu FC23%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–4 not predicted

4 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

9.6%

2 – 1

8.7%

2 – 2

6.5%

1 – 2

6.4%

2 – 0

3 – 1

1 – 0

5.3%

3 – 2

4.5%

0 – 0

4.2%

3 – 0

4.1%

0 – 1

3.6%

2 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Kashima Antlers

Handicap	Kashima Antlers covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	15%	70%
-1.5	30%	—	70%
-1	30%	20%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	14%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.