Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Kashima Soccer Stadium.
- Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Hiroyuki Kimura
11 games this season
🟨 1.2/game
⚽ 3.5 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Apr | Albirex Niigata | A | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Apr | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 May | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Apr | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Kashima Antlers | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #3 |
| 45 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 15 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 40 | Scored | 46 |
| 20 | Conceded | 44 |
| +20 | GD | +2 |
| 2.50 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 83% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
42%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
61%
Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season
Kashima Antlers this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kashima Antlers
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/–
76+
6/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Kashima Antlers and Nagoya Grampus get this one started.
- 5' Kashima Antlers is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 12' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Yuma Suzuki makes it 1-0.
- 17' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 22' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 27' It is a cagey affair so far. Kashima Antlers in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Nagoya Grampus's compact 3-4-2-1.
- 29' Yuma Suzuki doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 34' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 39' Kasper Junker has been relatively quiet despite scoring 42 goals in his last 61 appearances.
- 44' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 49' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 53' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Takuya Uchida exits the field as Ryuji Izumi enters on 53.
- 57' Kaishu Sano is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hayato Nakama at the 57 minute mark.
- 62' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 64' The whistle greets Yuki Kakita as he departs to be replaced by Kei Chinen.
- 65' Shoma Doi is replacing Shintaro Nago for the Kashima Antlers side.
- 68' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Shoma Doi.
- 73' Arthur Caike is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuma Suzuki at the 73 minute mark.
- 78' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 83' Nagoya Grampus have won 396 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 84' What a strike from Kei Chinen! The score is 3-0.
- 86' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Sho Inagaki by Ryoga Kida on 86 minute.
- 88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kaishu Sano on 88.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Diego Pituca on 90 minutes.
- It finishes all square. Kashima Antlers and Nagoya Grampus share the spoils 2-0.
Lineups
Kashima Antlers Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 55
- 21
- 2
-
40
Yuma Suzuki ↓ Arthur Caike 73'
-
30
Shintaro Nago ↓ Shoma Doi 65'
- 5
- 14
-
22
Rikuto Hirose ↓ Keigo Tsunemoto 57'
-
33
Hayato Nakama ↓ Kaishu Sano 57'
-
37
Yuki Kakita ↓ Kei Chinen 65'
- 29
Bench
-
13
Kei Chinen ↑ 65'
- 3
- 31
-
8
Shoma Doi ↑ 65'
-
17
Arthur Caike ↑ 73'
-
32
Keigo Tsunemoto ↑ 57'
-
25
Kaishu Sano ↑ 57'
Coach
Daiki Iwamasa
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 6
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Ryuji Izumi 53'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Noriyoshi Sakai 65'
- 1
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Yuichi Maruyama 86'
-
15
Sho Inagaki ↓ Ryoga Kida 86'
- 13
- 4
- 10
- 17
- 77
Bench
-
5
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 65'
-
3
Yuichi Maruyama ↑ 86'
- 16
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↑ 53'
-
9
Noriyoshi Sakai ↑ 65'
- 24
-
42
Ryoga Kida ↑ 86'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hayato Nakama | 4 |
| Shoma Doi | 3 |
| Mateus | 3 |
| Takashi Kanai | 2 |
| Kei Chinen | 2 |
| Takashi Kanai | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Yuma Suzuki | 2 |
Head to Head
Kashima Antlers Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.25
Kashima Antlers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Kashima Antlers to win 62% + Over 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashima Antlers win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Kashima Antlers or Draw
84%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
38%
Kashima Antlers or Nagoya Grampus
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashima Antlers win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.2%
3 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 1
4%
4 – 0
4%
3 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Kashima Antlers
| Handicap | Kashima Antlers covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 19% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 22% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 9% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

