Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Kashima Soccer Stadium.
- Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Hiroyuki Kimura
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Apr | Albirex Niigata | A | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Apr | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 May | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Apr | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Kashima Antlers | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #3 |
| 45 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 15 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 40 | Scored | 46 |
| 20 | Conceded | 44 |
| +20 | GD | +2 |
| 2.50 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 83% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season
Kashima Antlers this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kashima Antlers
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Kashima Antlers and Nagoya Grampus get this one started.
- 5' Rikuto Hirose is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
- 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 12' Yuma Suzuki is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
- 17' It’s high time Daiki Iwamasa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 22' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 27' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 29' What a moment for Yuma Suzuki! That strike on 29 puts his side firmly in control.
- 34' Denmark international Kasper Junker has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 39' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 44' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Kashima Antlers that had 447 games and scored 468 goals.
- 49' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Diego Pituca has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 53' Ryuji Izumi gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Takuya Uchida and will look to change the dynamic.
- 57' Time for substitution for Kashima Antlers. Hayato Nakama is replaced by Kaishu Sano.
- 62' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kashima Antlers needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 64' Kei Chinen has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuki Kakita on 64 minute.
- 65' The Kashima Antlers bench stirs into life. Shintaro Nago is withdrawn and Shoma Doi gets his opportunity.
- 68' Poor challenge from Shoma Doi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 73' The whistle greets Yuma Suzuki as he departs to be replaced by Arthur Caike.
- 78' Over 78 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 83' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Naomichi Ueda suffering a number of foals already.
- 84' Kei Chinen adds to his 0 season tally! Kashima Antlers lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
- 86' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Ryoga Kida comes on to replace Sho Inagaki.
- 88' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Kaishu Sano on 88 minutes.
- 90' A moment of madness from Diego Pituca on 90 minutes earns him a card. Kashima Antlers will be frustrated.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Kashima Antlers 2-0 Nagoya Grampus.
Lineups
Kashima Antlers Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 55
- 21
- 2
-
40
Yuma Suzuki ↓ Arthur Caike 73'
-
30
Shintaro Nago ↓ Shoma Doi 65'
- 5
- 14
-
22
Rikuto Hirose ↓ Keigo Tsunemoto 57'
-
33
Hayato Nakama ↓ Kaishu Sano 57'
-
37
Yuki Kakita ↓ Kei Chinen 65'
- 29
Bench
-
13
Kei Chinen ↑ 65'
- 3
- 31
-
8
Shoma Doi ↑ 65'
-
17
Arthur Caike ↑ 73'
-
32
Keigo Tsunemoto ↑ 57'
-
25
Kaishu Sano ↑ 57'
Coach
Daiki Iwamasa
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 6
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Ryuji Izumi 53'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Noriyoshi Sakai 65'
- 1
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Yuichi Maruyama 86'
-
15
Sho Inagaki ↓ Ryoga Kida 86'
- 13
- 4
- 10
- 17
- 77
Bench
-
5
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 65'
-
3
Yuichi Maruyama ↑ 86'
- 16
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↑ 53'
-
9
Noriyoshi Sakai ↑ 65'
- 24
-
42
Ryoga Kida ↑ 86'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hayato Nakama | 4 |
| Shoma Doi | 3 |
| Mateus | 3 |
| Tomoya Inukai | 2 |
| Takashi Kanai | 2 |
| Kei Chinen | 2 |
| Takashi Kanai | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
Head to Head
Kashima Antlers Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.25
Kashima Antlers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Kashima Antlers to win 62% + Over 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashima Antlers win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Kashima Antlers or Draw
84%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
38%
Kashima Antlers or Nagoya Grampus
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashima Antlers win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.2%
3 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 1
4%
4 – 0
4%
3 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Kashima Antlers
| Handicap | Kashima Antlers covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 19% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 22% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 9% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

