Sagan Tosu FC vs Yokohama F·Marinos, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Sagan Tosu FC

1 – 3

Full Time

Yokohama F·Marinos

Wed 3 May 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 11,354 HT 45' · FT 45'

Fuchi Honda 3' 1–0

1–1 11' Yan Santos

1–2 21' Yan Santos

1–3 60' Elber

Y 54' Takuya Kida

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Yokohama F·Marinos — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Yokohama F·Marinos 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Hayato Shimizu
Assistant 1 Takumi Takagi
Assistant 2 Koji Morikawa

8 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 6.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 14 games · Avg 2.5 goals Yokohama F·Marinos

Last 5 meetings

2023-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F·Marinos 2022-07-16 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Yokohama F·Marinos 2022-03-18 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-08-25 Sagan Tosu FC 0–4 Yokohama F·Marinos 2021-06-23 Yokohama F·Marinos 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	1–3	L
23 Apr	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	3–2	W
15 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–1	D
09 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–1	L
01 Apr	FC Tōkyō	H	1–0	W
18 Mar	Vissel Kobe	H	0–1	L

Yokohama F·Marinos

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Sagan Tosu FC	A	3–1	W
29 Apr	Nagoya Grampus	H	1–1	D
22 Apr	Vissel Kobe	A	3–2	W
15 Apr	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–1	D
08 Apr	Yokohama FC	H	5–0	W
01 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–2	L

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

17% Clean Sheets
Yokohama F·Marinos this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Yokohama F·Marinos

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

3/2

46-60

5/1

61-75

3/2

76+

3/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Sagan Tosu FC get us underway at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
3' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Fuchi Honda makes it 1-0.
8' Yokohama F·Marinos are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
11' Goal! Yan Santos scores his 27 goal in 386 matches.
16' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
21' Yan Santos doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
22' A stunning finish from Yan Santos — that came from absolutely nowhere!
27' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
32' It looks surprising Yokohama F·Marinos does not make any changes. Kota Watanabe has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
37' Supporters expect more eagerness from Eduardo, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
42' Wataru Harada has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 15 cards already picked up this season.
47' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
52' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
54' Takuya Kida is having his name booked by the referee on 54.
55' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Yuji Ono exits the field as Atsushi Kawata enters on 55.
60' Brilliant from the ! Elber makes it 1-4 with a superb finish on 60.
65' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
68' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Kentaro Moriya is replaced by Yuki Horigome on 68 minute.
73' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
74' Kota Mizunuma gets the nod from Yokohama F.Marinos. He replaces Yan Santos and will look to change the dynamic.
75' Fresh legs for Yokohama F.Marinos! Kota Watanabe comes on to replace Takuya Kida.
78' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 78 minute. Yuto Iwasaki leaves to be changed by Jun Nishikawa.
83' Ryotaro Tsunoda has so much to prove this time. He replaces Eduardo on 83 minute.
84' Yokohama F.Marinos manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryotaro Tsunoda is hanging Eduardo on the field on 84 minute.
89' Yoichi Naganuma has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

19
Kentaro Moriya ↓ Yuki Horigome 68'
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Atsushi Kawata 55'
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Jun Nishikawa 78'
8
Fuchi Honda
30
Masaya Tashiro
24
Yoichi Naganuma ↓ Ryonosuke Kabayama 68'
71
Il-kyu Park
23
Taichi Kikuchi
42
Wataru Harada
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
5
So Kawahara

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

Yokohama F·Marinos Lineups

4-2-1-3

Starting XI

Bench

10
Marcos Junior
41
Kenyu Sugimoto ↑ 68'
21
Hiroki Iikura
25
Kaina Yoshio ↑ 68'
18
Kota Mizunuma ↑ 74'
6
Kota Watanabe ↑ 74'
33
Ryotaro Tsunoda ↑ 84'

Coach Kevin Muscat

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Erik	3
Daizen Maeda	2
Marcos Junior	2
Yan Santos	2
Leo Ceara	2
Kota Mizunuma	2
Riki Harakawa	1
Kaina Yoshio	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2023-04-23 Kyoto Sanga FC 2–3 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-04-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2023-04-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-04-01 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 FC Tōkyō W 2023-03-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Vissel Kobe L

Yokohama F·Marinos Form

2023-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F·Marinos W 2023-04-29 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2023-04-22 Vissel Kobe 2–3 Yokohama F·Marinos W 2023-04-15 Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Yokohama F·Marinos D 2023-04-08 Yokohama F·Marinos 5–0 Yokohama FC W 2023-04-01 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Yokohama F·Marinos L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.13 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.57 Yokohama F·Marinos xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC27% Draw28% Yokohama F·Marinos45%

Actual: Yokohama F·Marinos win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.7

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

55%

Draw or Yokohama F·Marinos

73%

Sagan Tosu FC or Yokohama F·Marinos

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC20% Draw47% Yokohama F·Marinos33%

Actual: Yokohama F·Marinos win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.8%

0 – 1

9.6%

1 – 2

0 – 0

8.7%

0 – 2

8.1%

1 – 0

6.6%

2 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

5.1%

1 – 3

Actual

2 – 0

4.2%

0 – 3

4.2%

2 – 3

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Yokohama F·Marinos covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	15%	74%
-0.5	26%	—	74%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	22%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	14%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Yokohama F·Marinos keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.