Sagan Tosu FC vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Yuichi Nishimura
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Mikiya Nishimura
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May | Albirex Niigata | H | 2–0 | W |
| 14 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 2–0 | W |
| 07 May | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Apr | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 14 May | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 2–1 | W |
| 07 May | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Yokohama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Apr | FC Tokyo | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium!
- 5' The 25-year-old Hiroki Akiyama has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Kawai will be considering his options from the bench.
- 11' Against the run of play, Yuji Ono has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 16' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 21' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Albirex Niigata are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 26' Michael Fitzgerald has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 439 appearances.
- 31' It’s high time Rikizo Matsuhashi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 36' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 41' Ryosuke Kojima needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 46' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Kohei Tezuka exits the field as Atsushi Kawata enters on 46.
- 51' Kazuhiko Chiba has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 56' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 60' Naoyuki Fujita is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kentaro Moriya at the 60 minute mark.
- 65' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 69' Shunsuke Mito makes way for Yota Komi at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Albirex Niigata.
- 74' It looks surprising Albirex Niigata does not make any changes. Yuto Iwasaki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 76' Poor challenge from Yota Komi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 79' Atsushi Kawata adds to his 0 season tally! Sagan Tosu FC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 80' Atsushi Kawata makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and Sagan Tosu FC are in front.
- 81' A change in the Albirex Niigata ranks — Naoto Arai exits the field as Thomas Deng enters on 81.
- 84' The crowd applauds Yuki Horigome as he leaves the pitch. Hwang Seokho steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
- 85' The whistle greets Yuki Horigome as he departs to be replaced by Hwang Seokho.
- 89' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Ryonosuke Kabayama on, Kohei Tezuka off on 89 minutes.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Naoyuki Fujita.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Sagan Tosu FC players.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
19
Kentaro Moriya ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 60'
-
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Atsushi Kawata 60'
- 7
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Jun Nishikawa 85'
- 30
- 71
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↓ Hwang Seokho 85'
- 23
- 42
- 2
- 5
Bench
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 60'
-
20
Hwang Seokho ↑ 85'
-
18
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 85'
-
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 89'
-
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 60'
- 27
- 35
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Albirex Niigata Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 8
- 35
-
13
Ryotaro Ito ↓ Danilo 69'
- 1
-
2
Naoto Arai ↓ Yuzuru Shimada 81'
-
14
Shunsuke Mito ↓ Yota Komi 69'
-
6
Hiroki Akiyama ↓ Thomas Deng 81'
- 31
- 33
-
9
Koji Suzuki ↓ Kaito Taniguchi 46'
Bench
-
3
Thomas Deng ↑ 81'
-
20
Yuzuru Shimada ↑ 81'
-
17
Danilo ↑ 69'
- 21
-
7
Kaito Taniguchi ↑ 46'
-
16
Yota Komi ↑ 69'
- 15
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kaito Taniguchi | 2 |
| Ayumu Yokoyama | 2 |
| Yuji Ono | 2 |
| Atsushi Kawata | 1 |
| Akito Fukuta | 1 |
| Naoto Arai | 1 |
| Yoichi Naganuma | 1 |
| Kosuke Yamazaki | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Albirex Niigata Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.58
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74
Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
43%
Sagan Tosu FC or Albirex Niigata
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.6%
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.9%
2 – 1
8.8%
3 – 0
6.2%
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Albirex Niigata covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 18% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 25% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
48%
✗
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.