Sagan Tosu FC vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Yuichi Nishimura
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Mikiya Nishimura
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May | Albirex Niigata | H | 2–0 | W |
| 14 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 2–0 | W |
| 07 May | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Apr | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 14 May | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–1 | W |
| 07 May | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Yokohama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Apr | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Sagan Tosu FC and Albirex Niigata get this one started.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 11' Yuji Ono has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 11 minutes.
- 16' Albirex Niigata started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 16.
- 21' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 26' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 31' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 36' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Albirex Niigata are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 41' Japan international Yuto Horigome has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 46' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Kohei Tezuka is replaced by Atsushi Kawata.
- 51' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 60' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Naoyuki Fujita is hanging Kentaro Moriya on the field on 60 minute.
- 65' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 69' Shunsuke Mito makes way for Yota Komi at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Albirex Niigata.
- 74' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Taichi Kikuchi suffering a number of foals already.
- 76' The referee has no hesitation. Yota Komi is booked for Albirex Niigata — Yellow card on 76.
- 79' What a strike from Atsushi Kawata! The score is 2-0.
- 80' Atsushi Kawata has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 80 minutes.
- 81' Naoto Arai makes way for Thomas Deng at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Albirex Niigata.
- 84' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Yuki Horigome by Hwang Seokho on 84 minute.
- 85' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Yuki Horigome is withdrawn and Hwang Seokho gets his opportunity.
- 89' Ryonosuke Kabayama is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kohei Tezuka at the 89 minute mark.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Naoyuki Fujita. He receives a Yellow card.
- The points are shared — Sagan Tosu FC 2-0 Albirex Niigata. Honours even.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
19
Kentaro Moriya ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 60'
-
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Atsushi Kawata 60'
- 7
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Jun Nishikawa 85'
- 30
- 71
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↓ Hwang Seokho 85'
- 23
- 42
- 2
- 5
Bench
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 60'
-
20
Hwang Seokho ↑ 85'
-
18
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 85'
-
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 89'
-
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 60'
- 27
- 35
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Albirex Niigata Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 8
- 35
-
13
Ryotaro Ito ↓ Danilo 69'
- 1
-
2
Naoto Arai ↓ Yuzuru Shimada 81'
-
14
Shunsuke Mito ↓ Yota Komi 69'
-
6
Hiroki Akiyama ↓ Thomas Deng 81'
- 31
- 33
-
9
Koji Suzuki ↓ Kaito Taniguchi 46'
Bench
-
3
Thomas Deng ↑ 81'
-
20
Yuzuru Shimada ↑ 81'
-
17
Danilo ↑ 69'
- 21
-
7
Kaito Taniguchi ↑ 46'
-
16
Yota Komi ↑ 69'
- 15
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kaito Taniguchi | 2 |
| Ayumu Yokoyama | 2 |
| Yuji Ono | 2 |
| Naoto Arai | 1 |
| Yoichi Naganuma | 1 |
| Kosuke Yamazaki | 1 |
| Michael Fitzgerald | 1 |
| Soya Fujiwara | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Albirex Niigata Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.58
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74
Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
43%
Sagan Tosu FC or Albirex Niigata
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.6%
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.9%
2 – 1
8.8%
3 – 0
6.2%
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Albirex Niigata covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 18% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 25% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
48%
✗
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.