Sagan Tosu FC vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Yuichi Nishimura
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Mikiya Nishimura
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May | Albirex Niigata | H | 2–0 | W |
| 14 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 2–0 | W |
| 07 May | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Apr | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 14 May | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–1 | W |
| 07 May | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Yokohama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Apr | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Sagan Tosu FC and Albirex Niigata.
- 5' Takahiro Ko is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Albirex Niigata tonight.
- 10' Yuki Horigome needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 8 Yellow cards this season.
- 11' What a strike from Yuji Ono! The score is 1-0.
- 16' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Albirex Niigata are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 21' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 26' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 31' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yoshiaki Takagi, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 36' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yuzuru Shimada suffering a number of foals already.
- 41' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 41.
- 46' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Kohei Tezuka by Atsushi Kawata on 46 minute.
- 51' Albirex Niigata is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 56' Albirex Niigata are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 60' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Kentaro Moriya departs to be replaced by Naoyuki Fujita.
- 65' Albirex Niigata fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 69' The whistle greets Shunsuke Mito as he departs to be replaced by Yota Komi.
- 74' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kenta Kawai will be considering his options from the bench.
- 76' It’s a booking for Albirex Niigata player. Yota Komi gets a Yellow card.
- 79' Brilliant from the ! Atsushi Kawata makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 79.
- 80' Atsushi Kawata adds to his 0 season tally! Sagan Tosu FC lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
- 81' Albirex Niigata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Thomas Deng is hanging Naoto Arai on the field on 81 minute.
- 84' Hwang Seokho has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuki Horigome on 84 minute.
- 85' Hwang Seokho is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuki Horigome at the 85 minute mark.
- 89' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Kohei Tezuka is replaced by Ryonosuke Kabayama.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Naoyuki Fujita is booked for Sagan Tosu FC — Yellow card on 90.
- It finishes all square. Sagan Tosu FC and Albirex Niigata share the spoils 2-0.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
19
Kentaro Moriya ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 60'
-
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Atsushi Kawata 60'
- 7
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Jun Nishikawa 85'
- 30
- 71
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↓ Hwang Seokho 85'
- 23
- 42
- 2
- 5
Bench
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 60'
-
20
Hwang Seokho ↑ 85'
-
18
Jun Nishikawa ↑ 85'
-
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 89'
-
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 60'
- 27
- 35
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Albirex Niigata Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 8
- 35
-
13
Ryotaro Ito ↓ Danilo 69'
- 1
-
2
Naoto Arai ↓ Yuzuru Shimada 81'
-
14
Shunsuke Mito ↓ Yota Komi 69'
-
6
Hiroki Akiyama ↓ Thomas Deng 81'
- 31
- 33
-
9
Koji Suzuki ↓ Kaito Taniguchi 46'
Bench
-
3
Thomas Deng ↑ 81'
-
20
Yuzuru Shimada ↑ 81'
-
17
Danilo ↑ 69'
- 21
-
7
Kaito Taniguchi ↑ 46'
-
16
Yota Komi ↑ 69'
- 15
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ayumu Yokoyama | 2 |
| Yuji Ono | 2 |
| Kaito Taniguchi | 2 |
| Yoichi Naganuma | 1 |
| Kosuke Yamazaki | 1 |
| Michael Fitzgerald | 1 |
| Soya Fujiwara | 1 |
| Koji Suzuki | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Albirex Niigata Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.58
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74
Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
43%
Sagan Tosu FC or Albirex Niigata
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.6%
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.9%
2 – 1
8.8%
3 – 0
6.2%
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Albirex Niigata covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 18% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 25% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
48%
✗
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.