Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sagan Tosu FC
0 – 2
Full Time
Cerezo Osaka FC
Sat 16 Mar 2024 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Yuki Horigome 42' Y
Y 80' Leo Ceara
R 85' Masaya Shibayama

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

4
4
8
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.6 goals Cerezo Osaka FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-03-16 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-07-08 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-03-12 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-09-10 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 0–2 L
09 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–4 L
02 Mar Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 4–0 W
24 Feb Albirex Niigata H 1–2 L
03 Dec Kawasaki Frontale H 0–1 L
25 Nov Kashiwa Reysol A 2–2 D
Cerezo Osaka FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Sagan Tosu FC A 2–0 W
09 Mar Tokyo Verdy H 2–1 W
02 Mar Kashima Antlers A 1–1 D
24 Feb FC Tokyo H 2–2 D
03 Dec Albirex Niigata A 0–1 L
25 Nov Kyoto Sanga FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Sagan Tosu FC and Cerezo Osaka FC is underway.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their trying to find a way past Cerezo Osaka FC's compact .
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Akio Kogiku will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Cerezo Osaka FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 20' Leo Ceara has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 14 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' Cerezo Osaka FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 30' Cerezo Osaka FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 40' So Kawahara, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 42' Yuki Horigome is having his name booked by the referee on 42.
  • 46' Fresh legs for Cerezo Osaka FC! Vitor Bueno comes on to replace Shinji Kagawa.
  • 48' What a strike from Vitor Bueno! The score is 0-1.
  • 53' Cerezo Osaka FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 58' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 59' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Marcelo Ryan comes on to replace Cayman Togashi.
  • 63' Cerezo Osaka FC ring the changes. Jordy Croux has done his job and it is now time for Masaya Shibayama to step up.
  • 64' Magnificent from Masaya Shibayama! That is 5 goals in 369 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 68' Shota Hino is ready to make an impact after coming on for Akito Fukuta at the 68 minute mark.
  • 73' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 76' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 76 minute. Ayumu Yokoyama leaves to be changed by Satoki Uejo.
  • 80' Leo Ceara has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 80.
  • 83' Leo Ceara makes way for Taichi Kikuchi at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 85' A moment of madness from Masaya Shibayama on 85 minutes earns him a card. Cerezo Osaka FC will be frustrated.
  • 90' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Cerezo Osaka FC take all three points.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Akio Kogiku

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Bruno Mendes 3
Kato Mutsuki 3
Noriyoshi Sakai 2
Hiroaki Okuno 2
Fuchi Honda 2
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto 2
Tokuma Suzuki 2
Yuta Higuchi 2

Head to Head

2024-03-16 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-07-08 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-03-12 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-09-10 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-03-16 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2024-03-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-03-02 Sagan Tosu FC 4–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2024-02-24 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Albirex Niigata L 2023-12-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale L 2023-11-25 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC D

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2024-03-16 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-03-09 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Tokyo Verdy W 2024-03-02 Kashima Antlers 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2024-02-24 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–2 FC Tokyo D 2023-12-03 Albirex Niigata 1–0 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2023-11-25 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Kyoto Sanga FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.13 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC32% Draw30% Cerezo Osaka FC38%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
68%
Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC23% Draw50% Cerezo Osaka FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 1
10.4%
1 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.3%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 19% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 21% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.