Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 09 Mar | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–4 | L |
| 02 Mar | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 4–0 | W |
| 24 Feb | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Dec | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Mar | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Feb | FC Tōkyō | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Dec | Albirex Niigata | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/4
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Sagan Tosu FC launch into their encounter with Cerezo Osaka FC.
- 5' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' Cerezo Osaka FC is showing some good football. However, Cerezo Osaka FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Cerezo Osaka FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' It’s high time Akio Kogiku made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 35' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 40' Yuki Horigome has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 42' Yuki Horigome is having his name booked by the referee on 42.
- 46' The Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes a substitution. Shinji Kagawa departs to be replaced by Vitor Bueno.
- 48' What composure from Vitor Bueno! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 53' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Cerezo Osaka FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 58' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
- 59' Marcelo Ryan is replacing Cayman Togashi for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
- 63' Time for substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC. Jordy Croux is replaced by Masaya Shibayama.
- 64' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Masaya Shibayama makes no mistake. 0-2!
- 68' Shota Hino is ready to make an impact after coming on for Akito Fukuta at the 68 minute mark.
- 73' Jordy Croux needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 76' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FC — Satoki Uejo on, Ayumu Yokoyama off on 76 minutes.
- 80' The referee shows Cerezo Osaka FC player a card on 80.
- 83' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Leo Ceara by Taichi Kikuchi on 83 minute.
- 85' Controversy at the stadium! Masaya Shibayama argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cerezo Osaka FC's shape.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Cerezo Osaka FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↓ Marcelo Ryan 59'
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Shota Hino 68'
- 28
- 88
- 71
-
21
Yuki Horigome ↓ Vinicius Araujo 68'
- 42
- 2
- 5
- 13
- 20
Bench
-
11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 68'
-
99
Marcelo Ryan ↑ 59'
- 16
- 23
- 31
-
18
Shota Hino ↑ 68'
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
-
11
Jordy Croux ↓ Masaya Shibayama 63'
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↓ Vitor Bueno 46'
- 25
- 6
- 14
- 10
- 2
- 33
-
19
Hirotaka Tameda ↓ Capixaba 63'
- 21
Bench
-
27
Capixaba ↑ 63'
- 24
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↑ 46'
- 31
- 7
- 17
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 63'
Coach
Akio Kogiku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Mendes | 3 |
| Kato Mutsuki | 3 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 2 |
| Hiroaki Okuno | 2 |
| Fuchi Honda | 2 |
| Tatsuhiro Sakamoto | 2 |
| Tokuma Suzuki | 2 |
| Yuta Higuchi | 2 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.13
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
68%
Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 1
10.4%
1 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.3%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 19% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 21% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

