Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sagan Tosu FC
0 – 2
Full Time
Cerezo Osaka FC
Sat 16 Mar 2024 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Yuki Horigome 42' Y
Y 80' Leo Ceara
R 85' Masaya Shibayama

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

4
4
8
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.6 goals Cerezo Osaka FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-03-16 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-07-08 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-03-12 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-09-10 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 0–2 L
09 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–4 L
02 Mar Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 4–0 W
24 Feb Albirex Niigata H 1–2 L
03 Dec Kawasaki Frontale H 0–1 L
25 Nov Kashiwa Reysol A 2–2 D
Cerezo Osaka FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Sagan Tosu FC A 2–0 W
09 Mar Tokyo Verdy H 2–1 W
02 Mar Kashima Antlers A 1–1 D
24 Feb FC Tōkyō H 2–2 D
03 Dec Albirex Niigata A 0–1 L
25 Nov Kyoto Sanga FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Cerezo Osaka FC gets underway.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Akito Fukuta made 279 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' Hiroaki Okuno needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 20' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. So Kawahara has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 42' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yuki Horigome on 42.
  • 46' Vitor Bueno is replacing Shinji Kagawa for the Cerezo Osaka FC side.
  • 48' GOAL! Vitor Bueno scores on 48.
  • 53' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 58' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 58 minutes.
  • 59' The whistle greets Cayman Togashi as he departs to be replaced by Marcelo Ryan.
  • 63' The Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes a substitution. Jordy Croux departs to be replaced by Masaya Shibayama.
  • 64' GOAL! Masaya Shibayama scores on 64.
  • 68' The supporters are chanting for Shota Hino. He replaces Akito Fukuta on 68 minute.
  • 73' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 76' Satoki Uejo is replacing Ayumu Yokoyama for the Cerezo Osaka FC side.
  • 80' It’s a booking for Cerezo Osaka FC player. Leo Ceara gets a card.
  • 83' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 83 minute. Leo Ceara leaves to be changed by Taichi Kikuchi.
  • 85' It’s gonna be a card for Masaya Shibayama.
  • 90' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Cerezo Osaka FC players.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Akio Kogiku

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kato Mutsuki 3
Bruno Mendes 3
Hiroaki Okuno 2
Fuchi Honda 2
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto 2
Tokuma Suzuki 2
Yuta Higuchi 2
Noriyoshi Sakai 2

Head to Head

2024-03-16 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-07-08 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2023-03-12 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-09-10 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-03-16 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2024-03-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-03-02 Sagan Tosu FC 4–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2024-02-24 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Albirex Niigata L 2023-12-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale L 2023-11-25 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC D

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2024-03-16 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-03-09 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Tokyo Verdy W 2024-03-02 Kashima Antlers 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2024-02-24 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–2 FC Tōkyō D 2023-12-03 Albirex Niigata 1–0 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2023-11-25 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Kyoto Sanga FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.13 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC32% Draw30% Cerezo Osaka FC38%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
68%
Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC23% Draw50% Cerezo Osaka FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 1
10.4%
1 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.3%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 19% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 21% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.