Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Nov | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Nov | FC Tokyo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Oct | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | Albirex Niigata | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Nov | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Oct | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Sep | Shonan Bellmare | H | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Albirex Niigata gets underway.
- 5' Cerezo Osaka FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' Cerezo Osaka FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 24' It’s a booking for Albirex Niigata player. Yuji Hoshi gets a card.
- 29' Masaya Shibayama has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 34' A quiet spell here at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Cerezo Osaka FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 39' Albirex Niigata seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 44' The energy levels are beginning to show. Akio Kogiku might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 49' Capixaba needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 54' Australia international Thomas Deng has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 59' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 61' The Cerezo Osaka FC bench stirs into life. Masaya Shibayama is withdrawn and Hiroshi Kiyotake gets his opportunity.
- 62' Hirotaka Tameda is ready to make an impact after coming on for Reiya Sakata at the 62 minute mark.
- 67' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Eitaro Matsuda made 302 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 68' Albirex Niigata make a change. Eitaro Matsuda trudges off to be replaced by Shusuke Ota on 68 minutes.
- 73' It is a cagey affair so far. Albirex Niigata in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Cerezo Osaka FC's compact 4-2-1-3.
- 77' Satoki Uejo is replacing Leo Ceara for the Cerezo Osaka FC side.
- 82' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Albirex Niigata and Cerezo Osaka FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 87' A goal from the Japan international Motoki Nagakura! He fires home on 87 to make it 1-0!
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Albirex Niigata players.
Lineups
Albirex Niigata Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3
- 8
- 19
- 1
-
22
Eitaro Matsuda ↓ Shusuke Ota 68'
- 2
- 25
- 14
- 7
- 15
-
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↓ Yota Komi 77'
Bench
- 6
- 21
-
11
Shusuke Ota ↑ 68'
-
16
Yota Komi ↑ 77'
- 18
- 32
-
27
Motoki Nagakura ↑ 68'
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
4-2-1-3Starting XI
-
9
Leo Ceara ↓ Satoki Uejo 77'
- 27
- 8
- 25
- 3
- 29
- 16
- 24
- 21
-
30
Reiya Sakata ↓ Hirotaka Tameda 62'
- 48
Bench
-
6
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↑ 77'
-
13
Hiroshi Kiyotake ↑ 61'
- 33
- 17
-
19
Hirotaka Tameda ↑ 62'
-
7
Satoki Uejo ↑ 77'
- 1
Coach
Akio Kogiku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Motohiko Nakajima | 2 |
| Lucas Fernandes | 2 |
| Eitaro Matsuda | 1 |
| Rafael Ratao | 1 |
| Motoki Hasegawa | 1 |
| Hiroaki Okuno | 1 |
| Ken Yamura | 1 |
| Hirotaka Tameda | 1 |
Head to Head
Albirex Niigata Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.23
Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Albirex Niigata win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Albirex Niigata or Draw
80%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
49%
Albirex Niigata or Cerezo Osaka FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.7%
2 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
4.7%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
1.4%
Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata
| Handicap | Albirex Niigata covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 14% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 25% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 15% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.