Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sun 3 Dec 2023 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Motoki Nagakura 87' 1–0
Yuji Hoshi 24' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Head-to-Head

2
2
2
Albirex Niigata 6 games · Avg 2.8 goals Cerezo Osaka FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–0 W
24 Nov Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–0 D
11 Nov FC Tōkyō H 0–0 D
28 Oct Kyōto Sanga FC A 1–0 W
21 Oct Sagan Tosu FC H 1–1 D
29 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Albirex Niigata A 0–1 L
25 Nov Kyōto Sanga FC H 0–1 L
12 Nov Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–2 L
28 Oct Gamba Osaka H 1–0 W
21 Oct Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–0 D
30 Sep Shonan Bellmare H 0–2 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/4
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
Solomon Sakuragawa 3 G
Yumeki Yokoyama 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Denka Big Swan Stadium as Albirex Niigata face off against Cerezo Osaka FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Cerezo Osaka FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' Cerezo Osaka FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' Albirex Niigata started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 24' It’s a booking for Albirex Niigata player. Yuji Hoshi gets a card.
  • 29' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Takahiro Ko suffering a number of foals already.
  • 34' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 39' Japan international Hiroshi Kiyotake has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 44' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 49' Eitaro Matsuda has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 54' Over 54 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 59' Hirotaka Tameda, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 61' Fresh legs for Cerezo Osaka FC! Hiroshi Kiyotake comes on to replace Masaya Shibayama.
  • 62' The Cerezo Osaka FC bench stirs into life. Reiya Sakata is withdrawn and Hirotaka Tameda gets his opportunity.
  • 67' Cerezo Osaka FC have won 399 goals from 373 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 68' The crowd applauds Eitaro Matsuda as he leaves the pitch. Shusuke Ota steps in for Albirex Niigata.
  • 73' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Albirex Niigata and Cerezo Osaka FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 77' Satoki Uejo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Leo Ceara at the 77 minute mark.
  • 82' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 87' What a strike from Motoki Nagakura! The score is 1-0.
  • With this win, Albirex Niigata is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.23 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata51% Draw29% Cerezo Osaka FC20%
Actual: Albirex Niigata win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
80%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
49%
Albirex Niigata or Cerezo Osaka FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata30% Draw54% Cerezo Osaka FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.7%
2 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
4.7%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 14% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 25% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
47% ✗
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.