Saturday , 14 November 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sun 3 Dec 2023 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Motoki Nagakura 87' 1–0
Yuji Hoshi 24' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Head-to-Head

2
2
2
Albirex Niigata 6 games · Avg 2.8 goals Cerezo Osaka FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–0 W
24 Nov Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–0 D
11 Nov FC Tōkyō H 0–0 D
28 Oct Kyōto Sanga FC A 1–0 W
21 Oct Sagan Tosu FC H 1–1 D
29 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Albirex Niigata A 0–1 L
25 Nov Kyōto Sanga FC H 0–1 L
12 Nov Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–2 L
28 Oct Gamba Osaka H 1–0 W
21 Oct Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–0 D
30 Sep Shonan Bellmare H 0–2 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
31% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/5
61-75
5/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
Solomon Sakuragawa 4 G
Pablo Sabbag 3 G
Yumeki Yokoyama 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' Albirex Niigata are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 20' Hiroaki Okuno needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 24' It’s gonna be a card for Yuji Hoshi.
  • 29' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 34' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 39' Takahiro Ko has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 415 appearances.
  • 44' Albirex Niigata have won 119 goals from 110 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 49' Leo Ceara has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 11 goals this season.
  • 54' The 34-year-old Yuji Hoshi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 59' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Albirex Niigata and Cerezo Osaka FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 61' Time for substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC. Masaya Shibayama is replaced by Hiroshi Kiyotake.
  • 62' Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hirotaka Tameda is hanging Reiya Sakata on the field on 62 minute.
  • 67' Cerezo Osaka FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 67.
  • 68' Albirex Niigata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Shusuke Ota is hanging Eitaro Matsuda on the field on 68 minute.
  • 73' Cerezo Osaka FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 77' Leo Ceara makes way for Satoki Uejo at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cerezo Osaka FC.
  • 82' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 87' The deadlock is broken! Motoki Nagakura gets on the scoresheet on 87 minutes.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.23 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata51% Draw29% Cerezo Osaka FC20%
Actual: Albirex Niigata win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
80%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
49%
Albirex Niigata or Cerezo Osaka FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata30% Draw54% Cerezo Osaka FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.7%
2 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
4.7%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 14% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 25% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
47% ✗
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.