Thursday , 2 July 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sun 3 Dec 2023 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Motoki Nagakura 87' 1–0
Yuji Hoshi 24' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka FCJ. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Head-to-Head

2
2
2
Albirex Niigata 6 games · Avg 2.8 goals Cerezo Osaka FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–0 W
24 Nov Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–0 D
11 Nov FC Tōkyō H 0–0 D
28 Oct Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–0 W
21 Oct Sagan Tosu FC H 1–1 D
29 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Albirex Niigata A 0–1 L
25 Nov Kyoto Sanga FC H 0–1 L
12 Nov Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–2 L
28 Oct Gamba Osaka H 1–0 W
21 Oct Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–0 D
30 Sep Shonan Bellmare H 0–2 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Albirex Niigata and Cerezo Osaka FC is underway.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' Hirotaka Tameda has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Albirex Niigata and Cerezo Osaka FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 24' The referee shows Albirex Niigata player a card on 24.
  • 29' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 34' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Reiya Sakata suffering a number of foals already.
  • 39' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Albirex Niigata that had 110 games and scored 119 goals.
  • 44' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cerezo Osaka FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 49' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 54' Yuji Hoshi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cerezo Osaka FC so far.
  • 59' Leo Ceara, a Brazil , has 14 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 61' The crowd applauds Masaya Shibayama as he leaves the pitch. Hiroshi Kiyotake steps in for Cerezo Osaka FC.
  • 62' Time for substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC. Reiya Sakata is replaced by Hirotaka Tameda.
  • 67' Cerezo Osaka FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 68' Albirex Niigata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Shusuke Ota is hanging Eitaro Matsuda on the field on 68 minute.
  • 73' Japan international Masaya Shibayama has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 4 assists in the Array this season.
  • 77' Fresh legs for Cerezo Osaka FC! Satoki Uejo comes on to replace Leo Ceara.
  • 82' Naoto Arai has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 87' Goal! Motoki Nagakura scores his 12 goal in 110 matches.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Albirex Niigata take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.23 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata51% Draw29% Cerezo Osaka FC20%
Actual: Albirex Niigata win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
80%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
49%
Albirex Niigata or Cerezo Osaka FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata30% Draw54% Cerezo Osaka FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.7%
2 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
4.7%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 14% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 25% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
47%
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.